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Its elevation dependent . Only those that live high enough in the mountains of wv might see blizzard conditions.

I'd take those ECM runs every time. Weekend, daytime snow. 8-12hr duration. Temps freezing or below. We pray.

i don't think I want that!

I deleted my post. I realize you probably were talking about him. I don't find him to be all that bad. Not compared to a lot of these other bozos.

Glass half full: Most are above average snowfall by 12/15 with 9/10 days left for models to mute the Christmas torch and associated cutter, if still applicable

Whoa….I somewhat positive post; are you ok? Delirious from fever?

actually way better

EPS also better

Not you...the northeast weather alerts guy you referenced.

The Friday system is moisture starved and the Sunday one is basically a cold front with most of the energy further north: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=z500_vort&runtime=2025120918&fh=114 I guess we can find a way into a light snow event from both systems, but the real snow producers are when we get some southern stream influence which has been really hard to come by in these neck of the woods.

Back up to 13.5/3.6°F so that was short lived.

18z Euro keeps us in the game for the late Saturday night into Sunday chance.

The CAPE storm

Please work out

Wow, that might be the best look we’ve had in years here if that verified

pretty soon we won't even have to post on here AI will post for us knowing what we would say and when we would say it

16° here but it should slowly climb the rest of the night

High of 39.2 and low of 26.4

New York poster are scared because no water in the reservoirs means no water for them regardless of how the polluted Hudson looks. The bitter cold is locking up the streams everywhere with ice too- so the water intakes in the rivers will be the talk too. Just look around hear- the Jordan creek is already frozen over with the little water that is in it. It might as well be empty. We really ne3d a 3-5 in rain event with 50 degrees for a 3-4 day duration event. Any one see that in their crystal ball?

Already down to 16°.

Fwiw, the energy responsible for the Sunday system is over Siberia and crosses over north of AK tomorrow night and finally into Canada by Thursday during the day. So we could still see some decent changes.

Today is the 9th day in a row of highs below 60 at SAV and below 50 at GSO, extending the record! Before this SAV had never even had this for Dec 1-7 going back to 1874. GSO had had a 7 day period one other time.

no relatives but watch what comes out of DRBC the next few weeks. A basin wide drought warning maybe implemented by them by mid January if we do not get any moisture Up this way. The southern jet stream is simply too far south and the northern jet stream will not bend to bring it up. Their is enough short waves below Memphis but they are dying on the vine in the Tenn Valley. WE NEED TN VALLEY SHORTWAVES FOLKS TO PRODUCE UNTIL THEN YOU GET NOTHING TO TRACK.

'Dangerous game' you are playing sir. Be careful!