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How does area look?

I'll believe we have a -PDO this winter when I see it. Last winter was the least -PDO in quite awhile. My hunch is neutral is the best we are getting on that scale. I do think what Steve D/Joe B are harping on has some merit that the non Nino region SSTs being so warm is going to likely interfere in some form with the El Nino behaving as a similar type El Nino may have behaved back in the 70s/80s/90s. That assumes IF those non Nino region SSTs are still that warm in Nov-Feb, but given they have been crazy warm like that for seemingly a decade now I'd assume that remains that way this winter. I have no idea what that result is, it certainly does not guarantee it'll be 09-10 or 87-88 again in BWI/DCA but it may mean the winter is markedly colder/snowier than 15-16 23-24 97-98 82-83 were. I just toss 23-24 in the garbage as it basically was a totally nonsensical strong Nino.

Was always fascinated by wx when I was kid. When I went into the Army, I became a wx observer. WX balloon ops, and all that comes with it. That fascination has never ended. Wx is so cool!

59.4

For sure, northern front range did very well this week. Even Thornton did quite well. Sorry you guys didn’t.

Nope, beautiful day. I think it was just his time ha. Yeah I have a neighbor who is a tree guy and his crew is here right now taking care of it, glad it's nice conditions for them.

Probably up enough to end water restrictions soon

Temps stayed in the mid/upper 70's yesterday. Point has backed off the heat for the weekend. Screw the heat, just bring some good stms

In my experience it doesn't work in Tapatalk but works otherwise

July 24 1987: A historic deluge ends in the Twin Cities. Two-day totals include over a foot of rain at Bloomington. Nearly 10 inches falls in downtown Minneapolis, and near 9 inches is recorded in St. Paul. At one time the water reaches a depth of 13.5 feet on I-494 near East Bush Lake Road. I-494 in Bloomington would be closed for nearly 5 days. 1891: Heavy frost hits Elkton in Mower County in southeast Minnesota. The frost kills all vegetable crops. The low in Elkton is 34, and the Twin Cities have a low of 49. For Friday, July 24, 2026 1886 - Rain fell at Lawrence, KS, for the first time in four weeks. Rain fell over much of the state of Kansas that day relieving a severe drought which began in May. The very dry weather ruined crops in Kansas. (David Ludlum) 1936 - A record all time Kansas state high temperature set just 6 days earlier was tied in the town of Alton, located in Osborne County. (US National Weather Service Wichita) 1942 - The temperature at Las Vegas, NV, hit 117 degrees to set an all-time record for that location. The record was tied on July 19, 2005. 1947 - One of the most powerful strokes of lightning ever measured yielded 345,000 amperes of electricity in Pittsburgh, PA. (The Weather Channel) 1952 - The temperature at Louisville, GA, soared to 112 degrees to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1980 - Claudette, a weak tropical storm, deluged southeastern Texas with torrential rains. The Houston suburb of Alvin received 43 inches, a 24 hour record for the U.S. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Twenty-one cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 91 degrees at Beckley, WV, was their hottest reading in 25 years of records, and marked their third straight day of record 90 degree heat. Bakersfield, CA, dipped to 60 degrees, marking their eighth straight morning of record cool weather. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced large hail and damaging winds in Oklahoma, and over Nebraska and Wisconsin. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Brainerd, NE. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Afternoon thunderstorms produced some flash flooding in New Mexico. Albuquerque, NM, was deluged with an inch and a half of rain in forty minutes. Evening thunderstorms soaked Whie Pine, PA, with two inches of rain in one hour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) Observances: 24 Fri National Tequila Day 24 Fri Cousins Day 24 Fri National Drive-Thru Day 24 Fri Pioneer Day 24 Fri International Self Care Day 24 Fri Amelia Earhart Day 24 Fri National Cousins Day 24 Fri National Day of Motoring 24 Fri National Thermal Engineer Day 24 Fri Tell An Old Joke Day

For sure. That was amazing!

For @Yardstickgozinya or any other tree dudes who want to chime in. Pic of the uprooted base.....

Just a nasty mix of weed smoke, sawdust, and gasoline exhaust clouding vision

Next week kind of all over the place on models in NNE, some aren’t bad, and some wash out like 3 days.

An aug 1944 like stretch could be staring them right in the face and they wouldn't even be able to tell with all the curtains of smoke wafting between them and the computer screen

@chubbs you didn't answer my previous post "The problem that NCEI and Charlie has is that in reality Coatesville was home to Lukens Steel — a continuously operating steel mill since 1810, one of the largest specialty steel producers in the country, still headquartered there through 1982 and beyond this is a station within a mile of significant industrial activity! This of course is a textbook candidate for a persistent local warm bias — waste heat, paved/industrial surfaces, altered local airflow. But here's the problem for NCEI and Charlie to address - the Coatesville 1SW move explanation doesn't match the data adjustments made by NCEI. The facts are that Lukens was arguably at its industrial peak in the postwar decades (1946–82) — yet that's exactly the period where the adjustment (and the residual) is smallest, not largest. If growing industrial heat were the main driver, the bias should have gotten worse over the 20th century, not better. So it is not TOB adjustments and clearly not site moves behind these adjustments so what say you Charlie?

hope we shatter some records. Or at least get a few days 80+ dews

I need some feedback before a website page that's basically a report which is better a, b or c Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

I tested the “worst forecast summer ever” claim by verifying KMDT MOS guidance against routine MDT observations and comparing the same partial-season dates in every usable year from 2017 through 2026. The broad claim does **not** hold up. Using equal within-model ranks for GFS and NAM temperature, dew point, and wind speed, 2026 ranks **5th-worst out of 10** for both Memorial Day–July 15 and June 1–July 15. In other words, this season lands in the middle of the pack overall, not at the bottom of the archive. That does **not** mean the complaints were imagined. Dew-point guidance was poor, overnight-low forecasts were the real train wreck, and several NBS, NBE, and MEX temperature busts reached **15°F**. NAM wind guidance also had some ugly stretches. Meanwhile, daytime temperature guidance, heat-index guidance, and precipitation probabilities were comparatively solid. So this was an **uneven** forecast season, not a universal collapse. Bottom line: **2026 was not the worst overall, but it absolutely had some loud, memorable failure modes**. I attached the infographic panels below Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

The format comes through fine for me.

Falls Lake is recovering nicely and has risen 2 feet since the low point.

Somebody had made a comment on the cold 80+ N area the other day, but worth noting that sea ice continues to remain near record lows for the date.

Recent trends of all the nino regions together. You can really see nino 4 leveling off while the others continue to build.

53 here for the low. More please.

In fact, I think that the odds of this changing into fall are pretty good. At some point the el nino pattern may just break in as tropics and midlatitude better connect with time.