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Trace of precipitation yesterday. Rivers are dropping fast around here. Heat is parked overhead

GYX has those posted essentially every day from mid-may to mid-june.

https://youtu.be/2R57PlZFAeM?si=S55RPv8A7Ug1iUzz

Storm total here 2.39 inches

The neighbor's

Congrats on day 100!

May 25 2008: An EF-3 tornado strikes Hugo, MN. 1 fatality and 9 injuries are reported. For Monday, May 25, 2026 1917 - A tornado ripped through southeast Kansas, traveling 65 mph. The average speed was a record for any tornado. (The Weather Channel) 1955 - Two tornadoes struck the town of Blackwell, OK, within a few minutes time during the late evening. The tornadoes killed 18 persons and injured more than 500 others. Early the next morning a tornado virtually obliterated the small community of Udall KS killing 80 persons and injuring 270 persons. More than half the persons in the community were killed or injured by the tornado. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms spawned fifteen tornadoes in West Texas. One thunderstorm spawned a powerful tornado near Gruver, TX, along with golf ball size hail and 75 mph winds. A man on a boat on Lake Bistineau in northwest Louisiana was struck and killed by lightning, while the other three persons in the boat were unharmed. The man reportedly stood up in the boat and asked to be struck by lightning. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) (Note: Stupid is as stupid does. Ask and you shall receive. Wow!) 1988 - Unseasonably cool weather prevailed in the Upper Midwest. Marquette, MI, reported a record low of 26 degrees. Thunderstorms in the north central U.S. produced wind gusts to 62 mph at Idaho Falls, ID, and produced 4 inches of rain in less than four hours in northern Buffalo County. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a strong cold front produced severe weather from Oklahoma to Ohio through the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned nine tornadoes, and there were 155 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Hail three and a half inches in diameter was reported at Dittmer, MO, and thunderstorm winds gusting to 90 MPH caused twenty million dollars damage at Rockville IN. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Evening thunderstorms spawned four tornadoes in Kansas and Missouri, and there were three dozen reports of large hail or damaging winds. Thunderstorms produced hail two inches in diameter at Cole Camp, and wind gusts to 72 mph at Rosebud. Heavy thunderstorm rains produced flash flooding in central Missouri. Flood waters swept through Washington State Park southwest of Saint Louis, and nearly one hundred persons had to be rescued from water as much as twenty feet deep. The flood waters swept away a number of vehicles, some were carried as much as four miles away. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

Always fun to revisit our favorite climate alarmist - Mr. Al Gore to see how his "predictions" from The Inconvenient Truth have done with now 20 years of real data to assess his accuracy. Ice-Free Arctic Summers: Gore claimed there was a 75% chance the north polar ice cap would be completely ice-free in summer within five to seven years (by 2013-2016). The Arctic sea ice minimums have fluctuated but persist. Disappearing Snows of Kilimanjaro: He predicted that by 2016, Africa’s Mount Kilimanjaro would have no more snow. Measurable snow and glaciers remain on the mountain. Melting Glacier National Park: The film claimed that by 2021, Glacier National Park would lose all of its glaciers. The park's glaciers have shrunk, but they are still present, prompting changes to park signage. Escalating Hurricane Frequency: The documentary argued that global warming would cause a dramatic increase in the frequency and severity of hurricanes. Global data shows no trend of increasing frequency, and global accumulated cyclone energy has remained highly variable without a net upward trajectory.

Southington is def not SW CT I wouldn't even consider Waterbury as being in SW CT...probably more so getting towards Southbury

Had at least a 70% chance of rain every day since Thursday so going on 5 days and have only recorded measurable rainfall twice

4.54 event total

Well your first mistake is saying that my area is SW CT…anybody who knows my area knows this is not even close to SW CT. SW of you For sure…but not SW CT. WOR Central CT is the accurate location. It was raining everywhere west of the river by Saturday morning. So your call was way off in that regard. East and Northeast areas, where you are managed to stay dry. But for the majority of CT it was a wet Saturday.

Heat kicked on this morning

Ya we gotta be over 2” here…a big soaker for sure.

Temps evened out after the heat prior, imagine that. Some are too slow to understand. .15" additional rain, 1.80" total

But again the facts remain - either way we look at the data both raw and altered still shows a widening gap since 1970 - no reason to think that gap will not continue to widen.

mm what stands out to me is that all these operational runs are wildly colder than their respective ensemble clusters at 850 mb by several degrees. Just a-priori on operational model guidance in meridian/slope flow types, they tend to carry an amplitude bias in the mid range to a significant correlation frequency. I'll concede if by hour 72 the means have deepened, otherwise for this type of synoptic hemisphere we've seen this kind of cold sell before.

Visiting my wife's sister near Liberty, NC. I do not envy you piedmonters your red clay. They are doing a lot of construction on their property and there is a ton of bare ground, which is currently a gelatinous quagmire.

Close to 3 inches here-what an awful holiday weekend at least we salvage this PM to some extent.

back edge coming through here finally-that dropped another .75

11/4/2

More on the BoM warm bias: We remember how bad it was in 2023. But also: only 2 weeks ago, it had ~+1.15C for May (see image below) vs the latest’s only ~+0.55C in the image I posted in the previous post! It’s been doing this for 2 months and that’s the kind of thing it kept doing in 2023. We’re still likely headed for a super-Nino, but very likely not as warm as the RONI based ~+3.0C 3 month average super-super Nino the BoM is showing. It could easily be 0.5C too warm based on April/May and based on it being ~0.75C too warm around this point in 2023:

Just emptied the rain gauge. 2.04 inches since last Wednesday night.

Yes. They don't need to start completely over in terms of the players. That is why I think this can be turned around in a much shorter timeframe than before, and that another fire sale isn't necessary (not too many sellable veterans left anyway, lol).

What a deluge this morning. 49° R+