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If my guess is correct that changes come fall once the warm pool gets pushed way east from all the big WWBs we are continuing to see this summer and the MC convection gets suppressed from the +IOD forcing

I just don't want it to be 99/82 in my neighborhood like last June's heat wave. That was ridiculous. It does look like 100+ is a lock in the lowlands. How hot can we get? Stay tuned! I think 102F is in reach for areas just away from the water.

Are we going to collapse the electrical grid?

f- that. it can be hot during the work week, but Friday is a holiday and I'd like to get some yard work done without dying.

So July 1911 is probably the closest that we could get to something like that in this area then? Or August 1975? That 98F max at PVD on April 19, 1976 still baffles me. I wonder how hot it would've been if we had that same setup in July.

Oh F this. How far north do I have to go? Acadia must be nice this time of year….

Look at all of that big Dust Bowl heat they had in the Plains and Midwest…and we weren’t even able to pull a monster heat day with those ridges in the 1930s.

That was an east flow downslope off the Cascades with torched mid levels. Everything lined up for them with that…they’re closer to Tip’s Sonoran heat source region. We’re just way more downstream. Even when they advect in here they’re moderated.

0.62” total

The record heatwave into the 100s to start July in the East is another example of how the seasonal models don’t handle long range Maritime Continent forcing very well especially when it’s out of phase with the ENSO forcing. The long range July forecast was just focused on the developing super El Niño forcing. This has been a common theme as the more recent forecasts show much stronger Maritime Continent forcing than the seasonal long range forecast did. So just looking at the seasonal guidance you wouldn’t get any indication that there would be a 594 DM+ heat dome in the East producing record highs over 100°. So we often get multiple regions of forcing matching the locations of the warmest +30C SSTs. Old July seasonal forecast New July forecast

Any particular reason for this? I would've thought that the westerly flow off the ocean would make it more difficult for Seattle but obviously that wasn't the case in June 2021. But before that event, Boston had a higher record than Seattle.

One more

Probably some sort of feedback between the atmosphere and melting ice.

You just love to see all of this

Scattered showers for 4th of July weekend here

I don't know how true it is, but i saw on Twitter/X that an Iraqi or Iranian hacker group took down the nws website as well as the ecmwf website

I know . I was inferring the dry ground is helping add a few degrees at BDL

Deep, deep summer

Derechos Tuesday night and Friday?

I'll bet you're glad you're retired from H20 work now!

Beer? Wed is in the MOS plotting window on the Plymouth site now

Drought feedback helping?

Really wish that MCS exiting stage right tomorrow night would turn a bit and exit the Maine seacoast instead. Slam a door through the region and prevent this heat wave.

Wow MEX has 3 straight days of 100° for BDL. B2B 100s for MHT 102° for CON, TAN, and BAF

IMO, its much more difficult in these parts versus the PAC NW.