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If I were you I'd take a deep dive into station history metadata if your using raw values. One of the biggest issue I found was time of observation bias for temperature. Easily can throw things off 1-2 degres Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

I don’t know if it can. Our Cape values are 250ish compared to WV 500-1000.

It was just a few years ago we had graupel and laural summit had 11.8" of snow close to now Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

There’s people all over the Weather community, in here NWS, text messages from some Mets, and LinkedIn all talking about how bad the RRFS is.

Stephens City is about to punch a hole in it. I hope it skips over and reforms just east of Stephens City and crushes everyone else.

Agree with Damaged, if you feed the grass, it will help keep the weeds at bay. I do early season and late season fertilizer applications, before the weeds start growing, and after they have more or less stopped.

RRFS is hot garbage. Most agree with that. Hopefully it continues to be evaluated.

0.38" with a nice little thunderstorm. Chilly tho with temps right around 51. 1.07" for the month so far.

Pretty nice line. Hope it holds for the rest of us.

Earrhlight BTW .. what happened to Allsnow from NJ? Any intel ?

HAIL

Certainly not worthy of any awards....that's for sure.

I agree. This past winter the new model i thought was horrendous

@Bluewave Here comes the next WWB/DWKW ^ “#ElNiño is taking over the global atmosphere. We're gonna get a brief spat of trade winds over the East Pacific due to an Equatorial Rossby Wave, followed by another large WWB as the MJO traverses back into the Pacific. Models are showing low-frequency forcing setting up over the East/Central Pacific. Looking like a very strong, classic, coupled, canonical +ENSO event starting.”

Need the video with Clapton in it.

Hope this line coming doesn’t screw up the inbound fight from Chicago that we take tomorrow early am to get to Vancouver.

That a top 12 bummer for you

More is not always better. Too many models as it is, so this is good "cleaning house." They were supposed to stop the HWRF and HMON before last hurricane season, but haven't. HAFS has proven itself big time, so just move on. As I have said, having too many models that have less skill overall hang around just allows hype-masters to find the ONE model that shows "what they want to see," and run w/ that.

My new top 12 power rankings June June June July July July May May May August August December

30 days hath September, April, June, and November!

John is a long time poster here. "Rufus" seemed pretty bad in some of the winter events this season. We posted it frequently and it seemed to be on its own island (not the correct one either). But we'll see how it goes.

Nice explanation from him but even he seems a bit uncertain about the transition. I think they should have left the older models (at least the NAMS) in place and let them run operationally for another year alongside the RRFS. He thinks the V2.0 will be an improvement but who knows when that will be available operationally. Will be interesting once the older models disappear to see how things shake out. I'm personally still going to miss the NAMS in winter events since it handled low level thermals better than any other model, IMO.

First time I seen the Models get wetter near game time.