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Hopefully we get beneficial abundant Rain from it but there is a very real possibility of formidable downsloping Winds in the great Valley (particularly the central and northern Valley) unfortunately, if the NHC Current Track and 500 MB Structure then is realized.

Seeing a bunch of 44-45’s in my neighborhood. We’ll see how much lower it goes.

So sorry for your loss Buddy. I lost mine when I was 24 but sometimes it seems not so long ago and the pain comes back. Praying for comfort.

Carver, so sorry for your loss. Prayers for you and your family.

I haven't been very active here in the last month or two, focusing all my energy on following the White Sox playoff push. It's looking like picture-perfect weather for the Sox to clinch their first ALCS appearance in 21 years tomorrow. I'll be there today (and tomorrow, if necessary).

Down from 60 to 41.

https://isotherm.rsmas.miami.edu/heat/weba/atlantic.php for updated TCHP maps. Sadly, many of the old NCEP and CPC sites are MIA these days for oceanic and atmospheric data.

Got chilly pretty quickly! 29.5° at Canaan NWR

wishing away? let's ramp that baby up and get a severe LA/MS hit, up and into the OV/NE

I think my Syosset station runs higher with its DP and my Muttontown station has a more accurate DP compared to ASOS stations. If winds are calm I can see upper 30s happening and potential for mid 30s in pine barrens, etc. Syosset has a DP of 41 compared to Muttontown with a DP of 33 currently.

Let’s take her out well south. Watch for east trends next few days.

Anyone have latest links for Tomer Burg super ensemble and TCHP maps? Been away during the CONUS tropical respite over the past couple of years and some of my links seem to no longer be valid....Tomer seems like he is moving his stuff around. Found this one for TCHP, but don't love it. https://cwcgom.aoml.noaa.gov/cgom/OceanViewer/index_phod.html# This was my go-to, hasn't been updated for a couple of years. https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/goos/gliders/images/tchp_conditions_latest.png

I was at 53 at 7am at the house at 4360 while 1.5 miles away it was 41 at my office at the bottom of the mountain at 3200'. Never ceases to amaze me. Sent from my SM-S948U using Tapatalk

Yea, should be more a hydro concern than a wind issue....strikes me as a system that will be weakening well before landfall.

Not going to lie, thinking on flipping the heat on tonight, it got cold in the house last night.

Mid 70's today. Beautiful early Oct wx.

Sure…not saying it was cold overall. Just that there were still periods of record cold east of the Rockies and within a Std Dev of snowfall. Summer 1816 had some 90s up here too. But yeah, there weren’t many cold shots in the upper plains and midwest that winter. Blowtorch.

Also, @uofmiami dewpoint is also 42, so im going with 42...

Does Freedom Fuel sell home heating oil?

the 5 closest Davis weather stations and my own are all at 42. i guess all 6 could be wrong...

Yeah no kidding. These microclimates around here are fun to watch.