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Today's new CPC Winter forecast

NOPE, no rest for the heat-weary. It hit 95 degrees THIS LATE in the day, 5.52pm, and the dewpoint is back at 82 and we have a heat index of 119 degrees. It's HELL out there today folks. No mercy at all. None.

Snuck in 0.24". Still waiting for a flush hit

At least that’s salvageable and it didn’t snap at the graft.

We about to pour anyways

Something interesting to ponder is after the 23-24 Super Nino, the Atlantic was warmest ever in 2024. Does the recent trend of -AMO prevail, or do we see the same warming next year (it did have a head start in 2023)?

11th 90 of season

3 closest Wunderground stations range from .83 to 1.38 on the day, closest is at 1.03, each had about .2 prior to midnight last evening.

Raining for the second time today. So much for “stein”, and so much for anything remotely interesting despite what a couple of people kept harping on. Sad

I guess this apple tree is too young to have unstaked.

big if true

Stein wins. After that sorry excuse for a storm, two nearby PWS stations are at .24 for the month. Hopefully Monday holds.

Dang

65F/ .24" total

https://www.wcax.com/2026/06/18/possible-tornado-tears-through-woodstock/ NWS team to investigate Woodstock tomorrow.

Pretty nice evening. Wasn’t it going to storm?

.02 rain and max wind was 44 mph

Parts of the region will see a shower or thundershower tonight. Not all areas will see rain. The wind will gradually diminish overnight. Tomorrow through the weekend will feature high temperatures mainly in the lower 80s. Monday and Tuesday will be cooler days. Rain is likely on Monday. The potential exists for a general 0.50"-1.50" rainfall. No excessive heat appears likely through at least June 25th. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.3°C for the week centered around June 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.95°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was +3.87 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.261 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 78% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.8 (1.8° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Pretty meh here as expected. Congrats to those seeing more. Looks like Woodstock VT may end up the winner when all is said and done. Pretty significant damage there and a likely TOR according to news reports.

Hopefully not another 97/98 that was warm and had lots of severe weather including tornados. it only takes one cold air intrusion timed right to get a good winter storm. I would be surprised to see lots of below normal temps.

I think it was windier earlier today than it is now.

Absolutely a snoozer. Next

Temp up to 88.5. High of the day, doesn’t feel it due to the strong wind

Kind of a snoozer

Looks like the southern cells threw out an outflow boundary ahead of them, which would tend to curb the tornado threat as the storms are now outflow dominant.