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The sleetcap is murder

You got it. Our largest storm since 2016! Definitely pumped lol.

Why do you think it will come further northern west if you don’t mind

I like these storms that pop up and we are just a day or two away from getting NAM'ed

I’m glad I shoveled in stages yesterday and finished this morning.

BTW everyone is praising the AIFS and it did do really well but it was southeast at day 5-6 also juts not by as much adjust what it shows now the same way this adjusted and we’re good

Norfolk and Boston... We know what that reminds us of

This cold air is taking its sweet time. Back up to 29. I guess we need darkness to drop the temps.

Don't want to be in the bullseye this far out anyways, I think this is going to come further north and west, I'd be more concerned on where it matures right now.

Thanks, this is helpful! 10" seems more correct.

Euro is purgatory. We can just pray that these turd dusters are enough to offset sublimation.

FWIW the SPC introduced two areas of heavy snow associated with the potential nor'easter.

There’s nothing preventing them tbh. I submitted an internal app feedback form to our engineering team to fix that shit asap

How is the drifting situation out there anybody need to be dug out

A couple things are adding to the low predictability of this setup. 1. For every mile THE PV retrogrades west thats a mile it has to come back east. It ends up taking much longer for the troff axis to move through. The opposite is true if it retrogrades less. 2. Every bit of vorticity that consolidates with the western lobe also leaves less vorticity for the eastern lobe, we get weaker confluence plus a stronger troff. Opposite is true if it splits further east Combine all this and we will probably be getting windshield wiper runs for a couple of days. We don't usually get snow from setups where the 50/50 low is this far south, so its not gonna be easy to get a favorable track.

Just looked at my phone, apparently I'm getting 12.46 inches of snow on Saturday. Good to know

Thanks. I don’t know much, but I know I don’t love that. That’s a basement and low lying area nightmare. Get your storm drains cleared now. .

We shoveled snow yesterday then used our super scooper today to get at the compacted sleet. This thing is a game changer. Scraped the sleet off like a hot knife through butter. Currently being passed around the neighborhood, hope we get it back. Its a game changer. What is nice too is the bottom is like a sled so you just slide it up the snow bank and dump. Super easy on the back

oh im not, in fact, i make sure to use the main climo sites in every map...and Blue Hill/NWS Norton COOP. So whatever the final is, itll be on there.

I think that’s what weather underground/WeatherBug do.

That map is accurate for MBY. An inch of snow prior to the ice, and about 0.5" of snow last night. The roads were TREACHEROUS this morning in Kingsport. Solid sheet of ice w/ snow on top. Wind chills were around 6F when I got up. They have hovered there all day w/ the current gusts.

Toronto City as it is now known used to be a first-order station from its founding in 1840 through to about the 1980s, it gradually became more of a well-maintained climate station but the data have been reported more or less daily all along and I took it upon myself to maintain the data base even though Environment Canada nowadays seem to ignore that data base and only give out press releases about YYZ (Toronto airport, located about 12 miles west of downtown Toronto) where the period of record is 1938 to present. So there are a lot of very significant climate records like the 1936 heat wave that aren't in the YYZ data base. Toronto City has always been located somewhere within 0.5 miles of its longest situated location at the old headquarters building of the former Dominion of Canada weather service at 315 Bloor Street West. This building, next to Varsity Stadium, is now part of the U of T campus. Before 1908 the observations were made about 0.5 miles southeast of there near what is now Hart House and was then Kings College, basically a block west of Queens Park (the Ontario legislature building). Some time around 2003 they stopped making observations at the old h.q. building (which had been replaced by a much larger modern version in suburban Toronto), and moved the instruments to a suitable well-exposed location near Trinity College on the university campus. I assume it is read once daily around 0800h and also the instruments seem to be capable of sending some data hourly because the station reports are hourly as well as daily even nowadays. There was a problem with missing data, I worked through all missing data cases and found that 90% of them could easily be estimated from the hourly observations because those "missing" days were only missing an hour or two and not usually ones critical for estimating max and min temps. Whether by luck or design, almost all the missing days (I would say maybe a total of 50 from 2003 to 2025) are evidently dry days from regional zero reports. I also found that 2020 rainfall data had been compromised to some extent by daily small values that appeared to be the result of lawn sprinkler water getting into rain gauges (Toronto City was showing rain almost every day for several months when other stations were dry). So it's a bit of a challenge to maintain this data base but I have done it best as I can -- as they close in on 200 years of data, I feel they should duplicate my work (I know from experience they won't accept anything I say as in Canada I am basically a non-person) and bring the records back from the dead. Up until around 1980 there was a fully maintained data base with daily records etc. So I have basically extended that to the present day. I was going off memory quoting some of the all-time records, now that I have my file open I can be more precise. The existing one-day records and top ten calendar day amounts (any before 1978 were originally recorded in inches and those after 1978 have been converted from metric) for Toronto City are 1. 19.0" Dec 11 1944 t2. 18.0" Feb 14, 1850, Feb 22, 1846 t4. 16.0" Feb 5, 1863 and Mar 27, 1870 6. 15.7" Jan 23 1966 t8. 15.0" Jan 20 1867 and Mar 21, 1867 and Dec 25 1872, Dec 29 1855 12. 14.9" Jan 2 1999 (38.0 cm) Two-day record values (probably overnight storms) are 23.0" Dec 25-26 1872 (15.0 + 8.0) 22.5" Dec 11-12 1944 (19.0 + 3.5) 22.0" Feb 22-23 1846 (18.0 + 4.0) 20.0" Mar 15-16 1870 (10.0 + 10.0) 19.5" Jan 23-24 1873 (14.3 + 5.2). 18.0" Jan 20-21 1867, 16.6" 18.0" Feb 5-6 1863 (16.0 + 2.0) and also 24-25 1868 (12.0 + 6.0) (18.0" Feb 1850 daily value was not increased by any amounts either side) 16.6" Jan 22-23 1966 16.5" Mar 21-22 1867 15.5" Mar 8-9 1931 (12.5 + 3.0) also Mar 20-21 1876 (9.0 + 6.5) _______________________ The Nov 2d record is 12.5" from Nov 24-25 1950 and the April record is 9.4" from Apr 2-3 1975. As you can see almost all the top ten snowstorms were before YYZ data began. The average snowfall in 19th century winters was about 25% greater than any 30-year averages in the 20th century. 1869-1870 was the snowiest winter back in that era.