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I mentioned a few days ago we do a really good job of kicking the can. The other thing we seem to do well in the mid-south is whiff when the pieces of the puzzle on a large scale line up. We've at least gotten past kicking the can for the ridge of doom in the Aleutians. Now to see if we can buck the second thing we are good at between Jan 15 and 25th. I'm cautiously optimistic.

How’d the EPS/Ensembles look after mid month today?

37/34 here, snow and ice is mostly gone from paved surfaces

It would be our luck.

Yea i think it might be at least setting the table for a threat. Baby steps.

Lots of mid 40's temps in the SW part of CT. Still stuck at 37 here. Melting but was hoping for more.

GREAT MOMENTS IN "includes sleet"

Looking at 4Season’s data, maybe 9” was the most I had in 1 storm last season

61 at home, 75 in Dallas (work travel)

It's still early but I feel like it's probably time to punt the Jan 15 window. I guess if a storm perfectly bombed out at our latitude we could maybe get a paste bomb but its like 40 degrees in Montreal during the window. Not a good sign when the freezing line is north of the Adirondacks.

He's not yet. He just, in another tweet, basically was hinging that Greenland Blocking was why, lol. Of course, as we know, strong Greenland Blocking can mitigate even strong warm MJO effects. However, from Larry's research that is not what the reason was but, something to do with La nina and the location of it, if I remember correctly.

RIP

I still have the Craftsman if needed. Haven’t started it in a while though.

I think it could handle it, but would probably need to recharge/swap batteries several times. The auger part is very powerful.

Briefly hit 61.7° - now back down to 59.5°.

It’s funny because the name is somewhat original and makes sense from a DC point of view, but the brand appeal just isn’t there. Similar issue the Wizards have faced.

This season it was 7”. I don’t remember the individual events from last year. I always counted on KevinW’s databases (for the last several years at least) and that is gone now. I should have saved it. maybe 10-12” last season?

Yeah and would you have any reservations about it in a 3' March blue bomb like we got a few years ago?

Sun has finally popped a bit more the last hour or so. It’s gonna be difficult for me to work past 4 today.

The fog has really held down our temp this week. Yesterday, mid to upper 40s turned into 30s. Today, it's in the upper 50s in Ottumwa, but we are still in the upper 30s. It is finally sunny, but there is not enough time left to heat up too much.

generally 7 isn't the best phase, but I think it actually depends on the ENSO state. I think MJO 7-8-1 are better in Ninas, and MJO 8-1-2 are better in Ninos

It’s from cpc think it’s all. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/Composites/Temperature/

MJO 7 is a transition phase which is usually a precursor to our biggest storms (but not always of course).

Retirement gives you the wait option. Back in the day would have used the edge of your coffee cup.

torching here today-feels tropical after the cold-made it to 47