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  2. Smoke has vanished in Vienna.
  3. A SPC 45% damaging wind probability is … high Next Tuesday to me even looks like a higher chance of severe. Have a Death Cab For Cutie concert at Merriweather Tuesday night and already and making plans to not go.
  4. 84/47 ... lot of mid 40s dps. Our source tomorrow is behind a warm boundary smearing through circa 10am to 2 ... after which we sector wedge 88/72's like lower Michigan - maybe. Getting from here to there seems like a warm over instability op tonight.
  5. Yeah, northern edge has pushed south into eastern PA and NJ. WV looks relatively clear. But a firehose of smoke pointed right at central MD
  6. Stuck in a holding pattern. NY airspace closed. Probably some douch bag's son is late for a golf lesson.
  7. Looks like MD has the worst of the plume on vis sat.
  8. Big time boom or bust potential tomorrow. It all hinges on how fast can we clear out after the warm front lifts through
  9. Enhanced severe risk as well
  10. Flood watch issued for most..city on west
  11. 95/85 feels like 126. I think that is the highest feels like I have recorded. Walked outside and my glasses fogged over.
  12. Today
  13. Your Modoki Nino composite has cool anomalies in the east greater than warm anomalies in Nino 4. That's not accurate. Actually, a Modoki Nino typically has no negative anomalies anywhere in ENSO. +0.4c max in the west vs -0.6c max in the east is not an El Nino.
  14. Just eyeballing out my office window, it had improved a bit around 11am-12pm but has gotten thicker again since
  15. Smoke can do a bunch of stuff but the two things that you see most often are: 1. Smoke can create differential heating on smoke vs. non smoke areas. Causing pseudo surface cold fronts. 2. Mid/Upper level smoke can absorb sunlight and transfer that energy to the surrounding environment; creating warmer mid-levels while also reducing surface heating. Both combined makes caps more robust than would otherwise be expected.
  16. Pass. I threw out a crap ton of groceries the other week after the power outage. Can't afford to keep doing so
  17. I would. Actually they were offering a thousand, hotel and transportation and flight out tomorrow. I almost bit
  18. Jet extension is going full steam in the southern hemisphere winter, with copious amounts of snow in the Andes:
  19. BWI VIS at 2mi. Not a huge improvement.
  20. Will CAE finally reach 100? They’ve already reached 99.
  21. Sounds like I might not need to water our new plantings tomorrow. Glass half full.
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