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Ultimate Grand Slam on an 0-2 count. Amazing.
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High of 90. Dew points in the mid 60's for July is amazing. Feels great in the shade.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Part of this is because these ensembles are not very good at spotting troughs in the summer. They tend to over smooth. I think the N Pac will begin to organize by late August/early September. -
2.75” for this event up to 9.96” for the month
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Do you mean El Niño possibly carrying over like 1957-8/1958-9? That’s the closest I could find followed perhaps by 1940-1/1941-2. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
EasternLI replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah noticed that too, near mid August is the target date to me for maybe something like that to start to show up. AI-ENS on board too and has been. Didn't really look like the standard EPS was as interested as that yesterday. Maybe that idea is starting to gain a little traction. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think he’s referring to the GLAAM. Nonetheless, I’m sure I’ll wake up to another 10 posts here tomorrow about how it’s 5 degrees in longitude off from some height anomaly map from a century ago so it’s not el niño. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The entire decade of the 1980’s was in the last -AMO cycle. It went from the tail end of the 1970’s to the mid-1990’s. The current +AMO cycle took over in 1995 -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I wouldn't call a little -0.25 area on a 324hr map "El Nino taking over the Hemisphere". -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Classic El Niño forcing is taking over the Northern Hemisphere. ++GLAAM -
Severe wx warnings never verify here, and every organized storm has a STW these days. I think I've had 43 severe storms warnings since my last severe storm (wind).
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
N Pac finally waking up to El Niño? This is what you’d expect in the warm season (weak Aleutian Low that slowly deepens). -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
If anyone is interested in where the 19 current stations that feed our current active philly burbs of Chester County PA area weather data below is a map along with what type of station/reporter they have. Let me know if any questions. Thanks! There is also an interactive map with more detailed station detail that you can hover over on the ChescoWx website at https://chescowx.com/detailed-station-data/ -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
If anyone is interested in where the 19 current stations that feed our current active philly burbs of Chester County PA area weather data below is a map along with what type of station/reporter they have. Let me know if any questions. Thanks! There is also an interactive map with more detailed station detail that you can hover over on the ChescoWx website at https://chescowx.com/detailed-station-data/ https://on-data/@DrewForecast -
Possibly related to Dit? Twins separated at birth?
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I can even see the el nino being so strong that it carries over into a 2nd year, but ending in fall 2027. This will give a head start to developing la nina, which peaks very strong in 2028-29, kind of like 1988-89. It will probably be a one-year la nina, but boy, will it be very strong. -
Dewgust 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Whole month overall looks warmish with war near EC. Any cooling will be mainly west of apps -
You limited your local review to only 3 chesco stations - My review with AI had more local stations than you including Sadsbury, Devault 1W, Kennett Square and Morgantown- I focused on only local stations in or on the immediate borders of chesco like Morgantown/Elverson to better identify if there is any actual support based on the raw data that was able to identify if any significant drifts occurred at any stations near Coatesville 1SW to suppor the NCEI chilling adjustments. The statistical analysis clearly does not support the NCEI adjustments for Coatesville 1SW
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Dewgust 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Yeah warm next week and then cooler post 10th. -
97-98 does show up as an analog for me but it’s vastly overwhelmed by more positive ones. 2010,11,12 had a lot of similarities to 2026 summer and spring. I’ve got about 5 more also but gotta find my notes
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
