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Good tune

The all-time Nino 3.4 C record was 29.8C set in November 2015. The Euro did a great good job with that forecast. There was some skepticism when it was forecasting a peak near +3.0. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/ 18NOV2015 23.8 2.0 28.0 2.9 29.8 3.0 30.3 1.7 https://www.ecmwf.int/en/newsletter/151/meteorology/2015-2016-el-nino-and-beyond

Sucks the weekend is well below normal.

Looks like more rain than expected. Especially out by hippie.

Nice stretch of a few days of above normal coming up.

that was you, when i did that map on March 2nd. On the March 3-4th storm you tagged me with 0.5" so that should put you at 73.2"

Pretty impressive for Nino 3.4 SSTs to be approaching 29C in early May. This is near the record for so early in the El Niño development. The 30C warm pool is fairly expansive near the Dateline.

.07 rain from the event.

46F and a trace of rain so far in E CT

Models backing off on the cooler temps they were recently showing to start May. We should make it into the 80s this week on the warmer days. The cooler days should be closer to 60° which is an improvement than cooler days are earlier in the spring. Looks like the coldest departures will settle in over the Great Lakes with a little warmer near the coast.

If today’s system was in winter the cliff diving would be epic like epic epic

Rain is starting to pick up a bit 41.1°

Yeah. Its from 2015 and I never covered it and have only had to replace the battery on the igniter twice and the burner covers. Its well built with stainless steel everything including the fastners. Easily will go another 10 years.

last 3 days Ive picked up 1.21

I didn't know it was going to rain all night. Picked up another .17" from this little event.

Plus, it's peak bird flu season (I think). High(er) risk from any migratory flyover droppings or waterfowl flock intermingling. Always clean boots when going between farms/chicken runs, too.

A bit of snow is falling tonight. This is the 5th year since 2016 to see May snow. Chuck called a cool May 2 months ago.

Snow mixed with rain here. In recent years it has snowed in May in 2026, 2023, 2021, 2020, & 2016.

Snow mixed with rain in Rolling Meadows about 7pm this evening. Fought it off with a cigar and firepit though.

No way this is accurate we have been the same color since late jan we have had so much rain for a month plus.

Stop exaggerating. This is nowhere near the coldest spring in 40+ years. March and April were well above average. Top 10 warmest, in fact. Almost half of the springs since 1980 were colder than this year's March and April. And you're lying if you say you've never run the heater in May before. (Does May 9, 2020 ring a bell?) Also, we're not getting a year with "no summer". Keep in mind, the last significantly cold summer in this area was 2009. The most recent cool summers, like 2014 and 2023, are very near the 1981-2010 averages.

I am really concerned with this COLD weather. In tonights 18z, I counted at least 8 days in the next 15 days with lows in the mid to upper 30's and many days not breaking out of the low 50's. This is by far the coldest spring I can remember in 40 + years. Snow flurries and graupel a real good possibility at these temps if moisture shows its face at the right time. Cloudy days will force me to run the heater. I have never run the heater in May before. The sycamore leaves are now gone and wilted from the freeze. The other PA forum indicates strawberry damage in Lancaster and York and complete fruit tree bud destruction. This maybe the year with "no summer" again at this juncture. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_Without_a_Summer

54.5° for the high here. You torched comparatively.