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Right on both counts. You can afford to miss the snow because the snow gods have the Mid Atlantic in their sights this winter and there is going to be so much snow that many snow enthusiasts are going to be so tired of snow they will be snoozing a lot this winter. Also, because they will be so exhausted from shoveling snow tallies approximately 400 percent above normal in many communities. Congrats! Enjoy the snow! There will be tremendous amounts of snow this entire low sun season! This is destined to be a Brobdingnagian snow winter in the entire Mid Atlantic!

If anything, it’s light and short. We’ll take it though. We don’t need much.

OK, I THINK it has finally stopped snowing (at least accumulating) so I'm gonna go see what is on the board to get a final number. It has snowed for a bit over 18 hours straight! Be right back...

As of this morning we’d picked up 6-7” of snow in the valley from our most recent Clipper, and Bolton Valley was reporting 10” of new snow in the last 48 hours. Based on my tour up at Bolton yesterday afternoon/evening, I knew that all the additional snow that fell overnight was going to create some excellent conditions. Temperatures were in the single digits F this morning, so I considered touring at Timberline with its lower elevations and typically warmer conditions, as long as the snowpack looked like it was ready. Indeed the base depths and powder seemed fine even down at 1,500’. In terms of powder depths, I was finding 8-12” around 1,500’ at the Timberline Base and roughly 12-16” up near 2,500’. The snow was quite dry (liquid analyses for the storm revealed an average of 4-5% H2O), and that was helpful, because it was deep enough that you needed to be on moderate to steep pitches for good speed. The cold temperatures made the snow even a bit slower, so low-angle areas weren’t enough if you were in untracked powder. With bright sun and no wind, the temperatures were actually quite comfortable for touring, and the feel was much different than what single digits F feel like with clouds, snowfall, and wind.

ashley simpson special

Currently temp is-15

She prolly faking it. Meg Ryan storm

Hard to tell if she is coming.

yeah

At 10:20 PM EST, Wake Forest [Wake Co, NC] Public reports Snow of 0.80 Inch

Canadian looks mediocre. Same issue we’re seeing right now. Energy doesn’t dig and just traverses north of us. No good

At 10:40 PM EST, 4 SW Raleigh [Wake Co, NC] Public reports Snow of 0.40 Inch

Cmc is way north. Good for New England.

Cmc way further north .

Walked back to my dorm and it started moderately snowing again with some decent flakes. Was so nice I ended up lying down and taking a jeb hammock nap for 30 minutes! It just wants to snow

12/14 is better than 18z but worse than 12z on the gfs. Probably a 1-3” deal south of pike

18z GFS total snowfall between now and Christmas Eve. Obviously not to be taken seriously but man, that’d be something. Especially inland Details to be ironed out on how the pattern evolves from here, but we are definitely in the game for something solid by end of year

Looks like GFS brought 12/14 back again.

It's an equation for summing all of the projected snowfall for a given forecast period, along with accounting for compaction.

No. .

Add 4.3 today. Winter total of 7.5

0Z GFS looks like it reverted back closer to the 12z solution - more ridging out west and a more consolidated vort. However, us in the lowlands need this thing to dig more or it ends up being too warm

GFS finally gives "northern crew" some meaning

0z gfs for Sunday

That would be a blast!