All Activity

That town every two years has something.

https://x.com/FEscrutinio/status/2069927854846988376/video/1

Nice pocket of higher wind potential is going to slam right through the metro

terrible

Yes they are. 2 steps forward, 5 steps back. They just aren't very good. That being said, other than about 3 teams, the AL completely sucks.

We got hit good up this way in late May and am over 7” in the past 5 weeks.

From an outdoor worker, kindly take this forecast and shove it lol

O’s are pathetic.

One thing of note is that data doesn't take into account demographics. Specifically: - The rate of change is not population-adjusted - It does not account for age As our population ages (boomer bubble) the rate of deaths from both heat and cold, all other things being equal, are going to rise, since older people are more susceptible: https://www.thinkglobalhealth.org/article/out-cold-most-common-wintertime-injuries-warming-world It's also very much a measurement problem. Whether or not someone has died as a cold-driven or heat-driven factor is very subjective. E.g. that same data shows a far lower number - and decreasing not increasing - for worldwide cold-related deaths:

Might get hot.

tornado possible near Chicago

Tomorrow and Friday will be pleasantly warm days with highs in the lower 80s. Some showers are possible tomorrow night and then again Friday night or Saturday. A warming trend could commence during or after the next weekend. Some of the guidance suggests that hot weather could return to conclude June. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.7°C for the week centered around June 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.42°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.22°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -22.92 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.406 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 91% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.5 (1.5° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

small supercell with 0.75" hail at Algonquin IL

i came here hoping to see this...didn't let me down. most of the time there's watch collab, so may be the spc or lot.

Related how? The data presented shows they very much are related, in time. I didn't intend to address/imply a *causal* relationship - that increased CO2 / global warming actually causes increased food supplies. While there is probably some driver there (e.g. myriads of data shows that higher levels of CO2 generally results in more plant growth, and warmer temperatures could open up new areas to agriculture that were previously too cold) - the main driver has been simply higher levels of production - more yield per acre. As you say this is due to a myriad of factors including hybridization etc. One big factor certainly has been mechanization - the development and more ubiquitous use of more efficient harvesting and processing tools (combines etc.), more efficient transportation (trucks, trains, ships, etc.) - things that rely on fossil fuels. The main point of the data presented is to disprove the notion that climate change will not be causing "food shortages" - i.e. making food production trend downward relative to population. There is zero evidence of that, as the data makes clear.

Pretty wild the Huntley/Algonquin storm in Illinois doesn't have a tornado warning on it

Picked up 0.01" this morning. This evening's stuff is a whiff just to the northeast.

We sweated that one, but in the end all the damage was parallel to slightly divergent and just too wide a path for a tornado. You're not really likely to pull a half mile wide QLCS tornado around these parts. https://x.com/NWSGray/status/2069904757599134055

half of the people on the planet don't have significant, or any, access to technology or electricity to operate the technology

They're loaning me to BOX for that week. Time to do some damage.

Again with the late city addition to the watch. Why does the SPC kept doing that; so dumb.

An absolute banger of a day.

calling me willfully ignorant is a bit ironic after missing this post I made before yours: nice touch, but there are numerous and varied factors hat influence food production; specific evidence is required to conclude they are directly related look, I agree that the apocalypse (your word) isn't going visit you or me, largely because we both have the necessary resources to deal if it does. the point I am trying to make is most of the human population around the world aren't in a financial position to manage an apocalyptic (your word) weather event statistically relatable to AGW

It's flawless imho today.

Yeah I've had a sentence floating around the internal monologue lately that sums up ... "we seem to just be geologically incapable". I've been following heat waves since before the "synergistic heat wave" was identified ( recently decades) as a real track-able phenomenon, and since they have ... we've gotten our "heat waves" but ... I dunno - it really doesn't seem like we can do the synergy thing here. The wave spacing miss-alignment with the continental girth during seasonal contraction of the r-wave lengths idea seems to be the best fit that I've seen, too. Same. I was thinking that very same thing, we just need some very rare/long return rate timing perhaps. Maybe it's 1::300 year deal here. Or, it can't. At this point it's been 23 years since France and we've seen 610 dm high ridge nodes recurring everywhere it seems except here. Hell, Japan's had one or two.