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  2. This would be awesome. Blocking plus strong stj
  3. I'll be watching my 9% eclipse IMBY tomorrow. There's a parallel universe where I'm in a hotel right now in Reykjavik cussing out the forecast for tomorrow.
  4. Part of the line is now bowing to the southwest following the outflow boundary which is also going southwest from Morristown to Knoxville. I find that interesting.
  5. I'm not sure I understand your point? You think this year is different from the 2017-25 average because you had a localized thunderstorm?
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  7. Yeah I’m not saying it couldn’t be historically bad… I’m just not going to brace mentally for the all-time bad outcome. I’d think 20-25% below normal could be a reasonable expectation, but I’m not ready to assume 50%+ or something like 2015-16.
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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  9. . 72 here. I have mosquitoes the size of bald eagles. And they ain't bald!
  10. there have been mass releases of Wolbachia-infected mosquitos in the DC region this year https://wtop.com/montgomery-county/2026/06/silver-spring-business-releases-600000-infected-mosquitoes-in-dc-area/
  11. Real close presentation to how it actually played out albeit 50 or so miles more southward.
  12. Nothing noticeable to me but I've never been able to see anything when this happens despite the occasional headline and notorious past events
  13. Curious to know if you saw anything of note!
  14. Oh my. There are no words...except maybe Ewwwwwww! That ranks up there (down there?) with @H2O's Vienna sausages in gelatin!
  15. Well I guess here starts another stretch of boring typical DMV weather lol
  16. Yeah that line coming in from Tennessee looks nasty.
  17. Looks like Buckethead will get the brunt first. Nasty bowing segments along the line that extends well W.
  18. Lower midwest too. El Nino STJ has long tracking moisture storms across the lower part of the country.
  19. Today
  20. It's a pretty smoothed out map though. >1"/month over a 9-year period for like 50% of a region is pretty strong! If you go through year-by-year, almost every Jul-Aug has been above average in the eastern 1/2
  21. This is ugly https://x.com/steveoweathaguy/status/2087291143151395060?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  22. @John1122 it is trying to make it down to your area. I wonder if there will be a transition to a training cells scenario on the western end of this line.
  23. Definitely broad brushes it considering what has fallen imby, but it has me AN at least.
  24. Summer regional rainfall seems like it would be SO difficult to average out because of the highly localized and connective nature of rainfall in most areas.
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