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White rain all afternoon but snowing again now and quickly coated up

Sounds like you had a great trip. The view of Jungfrau and the North face of the Eiger is a sight to see also. And spot on about the Eiger aerial tram. It provides some great views with the right weather. If you want to do some great hiking in the late spring through Sept or Oct, the passes at the head of the Rhone Valley where the Furka, Gimsel and another pass meet are incredible. If you know where to look, you can see up close the Swiss gun emplacements guarding the passes, which are covered fake rocks and camouflaged boulders. The creativity in how they hide in plain sight is impressive. Switzerland has the proverbial picturesque appeal, but it is also the only country with a bomb shelter position for the entire population plus any visitors should they be attacked. Yea, I know... who is going to attack Switzerland?

Yeah, 2015 was one that took several years to form. People were predicting el nino as early as 2012. Definitely by 2014, you just knew a super el nino was going to form when the ingredients came together. It didn't again in 2014, but in 2015 it did, after 3-4 years. It's no surprise the 2015-16 event was one of the strongest el ninos on record. All I know is that a super el nino is going to form at some point in the near future. It may not be this year, and even if the trades come back later this spring, it may just be delaying the inevitable until the following year.

You'd have to be out of your gourd to sit through a game at Fenway tonight. I don't care how drunk you may be.

31° Pack is all iced back up. I can already walk on it. It’s cold.

Ray, this am on the fence post, was gone by noon......

We stayed in Lauterbrunnen for two nights as well lol. Apparently was Tolkien's inspiration for Rivendell. Just a beautiful place.

Don't you mean April? And I think these temperatures are severely underestimated. This April looks like it's going to be near record warm.

We’re only good at a couple types of central tendency and the mean is not one of them.

The season of extremes.

A super Nino really needs all ingredients to come together to achieve it. I suppose it might be a little easier these days with the abundance of warm water everywhere but it’s still not easy. I would think we would need WWB to continue after this strong one to get us to super later this year. If trades come back later this spring, I don’t think we get to super.

So, this summer our local Reading and Northern Railroad will be hosting the massive Union Pacific Big Boy steam engine as it makes its way from Scranton to Philly. A special excursion will run behind the Big Boy from Nesquehoning to Pittston. Meanwhile our own stream engine (the 2102) will also be running in conjunction with it. After that, it appears that the Big Boy will run the rest of the Reading and Northern trackage to Reading and then eventually Philly. If it does this, it'll pass through Tamaqua along the way. It's going to be one hell of a railroad and steam event.

Comparing this year to 4/1/15, 2015 was warmer in 3, 3.4 and 4. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/wksst9120.for But after the pending wwb, there's nothing in site like it on the Cfs2. I don't know about other models however.

I've been a train fan since I was a kid. One of my dreams was to have a basement model railroad, but so far it hasn't happened.

Entropy should probably be saved for another forum. Lol

I know you already know this, but until 13.8 billion years ago absolute zero was the rule, and thermodynamics was the anomaly. Nothing is efficient at heating itself and there's no getting around it.

We had originally intended to do Zermatt and do the Italy trip that you note, but we were hitting multiple countries and had limited time in Switzerland. We ended up choosing Lauterbrunnen as a base and went up to Jungfraujoch for my high-altitude fix. The Eiger Express aerial tram is a smooth piece of engineering. Still hope to do northern Italy and the Matterhorn at some point in my life.

Cooler conditions have returned to the region. Temperatures will likely top out in the 50s through Thursday. Highs tomorrow will struggle to reach the lower 50s. Tomorrow morning could see the low temperature approach 32° in New York City. Should the mercury reach 32°, New York City would see its second consecutive April with a freeze (last year's last freeze was April 9). The last time that happened was 2015 and 2016. Temperatures will return to the 60s on Friday. The warmth will extend into the weekend. It could turn even warmer next week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around April 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was -9.23 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.944 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 66% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 55.5° (1.8° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

It's funny that you mentioned this. For years I have wanted to paint and mechanically restore a custom passenger diesel and cars, specifically dedicated do everyone on our thread. I'm going to start that project this fall and you guys are going to love it when it's done. The cpa weather express is coming this winter.

MOS should bust cool on Thursday

Not a bad forecast. We still have above normal water temps so I wouldn’t go for a really low number. I would focus in on home grown systems. The MDR will likely be hostile with increased shear .

Technically at that altitude you are supersonic.

I'm not sure if you're familiar with Autism and trains. lol you have to forgive my messy basement but I might like trains just a little bit . I got just a few on my walls. Some of my nicer steam engines are back on the left corner, I also probably have over a hundred diesels and steam engines that still need restored packed away in my crawl space. I immensely appreciate both real and toy trains and think they are the most beautiful and interesting marvels of engineering humanity will ever create.