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The Drought Continues unabated......................................... 14 sprinkles overnight.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Hopefully the grid collapses . We need this -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
qg_omega replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Euro is alone and wrong -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
weatherwiz replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
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Winter 2026-2027 Seasonal Outlook
WinstonSalemArlington replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
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Winter 2026-2027 Seasonal Outlook
WinstonSalemArlington replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
How did these pre-winter models do last winter? -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Nino 3 at +3.878 is currently showing the most anomalous warmth relative to all-time records for any time of year. The Euro and CFS both have the Nino 3 peak in December well above the previous 1997 and 1982 records. There is so much accumulated warmth on the long range CFS, that it’s showing El Niño conditions lingering into early next summer. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/ 16SEP2026 25.3 4.6 28.6 3.8 29.6 3.0 29.6 1.0 26NOV1997 25.8 3.7 28.4 3.3 28.9 2.2 29.3 0.7 29DEC1982 26.1 2.7 28.5 3.2 29.1 2.6 28.8 0.4 -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
SouthCoastMA replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
RGEM looks similar. Look at how much slower the 0z Euro was compared to yesterday. I'm waiting a bit to lock. maybe like 12Z or 0z tonight -
Not off to a good start. NWS forecast for "a half to three quarters of an inch" overnight - actually still completely dry. Month to date precip? 0.3".
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
weatherwiz replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Hopefully utility companies getting some help on standby -
.09 yesterday, .33 so far today. hoping the gfs is right and keeps the coastal further out to sea for the weekend.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
57 degrees this morning. The rain kind of done it disappearing act last night…Again .14” of rain over night definitely an underachieving storm from what they originally was predicting. -
Possibly, but Philly area might be impacted more Friday into Saturday than for my area here on LI. The one thing you might have to worry about is if Amtrak starts doing more construction/track/excavation work in the Tri-State area…yikes.
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That depends on which model you trust. If you trust the EURO, yes. If you trust the GFS, no... unless you're flying out of nova scotia.
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Will the Noreaster have an impact on my flight? I'm taking off from PHL at 8:05 pm on Saturday night, and headed for Italy.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Masswx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
6z icon fun for all -
Been dancing back and forth to fish for us and right off the coast of the Forks every other model run of GFS. Gonna be a long couple of days haha
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Definitely not ready to dismiss the Euro. 4 to 5 days out is an entirety also. I’d prefer the miss myself but I can’t see it not having some kind of impact Friday to Sunday.
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This will be a good test of the new google deep mind AI model which is similar to the Euro and AIFS looping back west toward the coast.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
57 and rainy when I left the house. First time breaking out the fall jacket. Wasn’t able to get a rain measurement this morning, will have to wait until tomorrow. -
Wtf are you talking about. The best model is a strong hit. Unless that changes then it will hit.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Big damage for all -
The EURO is not a miss unless you live in California.
