All Activity
- Past hour
-
You would’ve liked it in the 1500s when there was actually vegetation there.
-
You have a kid now. You’re going to appreciate the warm season doing more with your son. I’m telling you.
-
Chris, 1. The writeup you linked us to specifies what we already knew: the U.S. now incorporates RONI for its official ENSO updates vs the Euro still not doing so. So, to approximate RONI based on the current difference, ~0.5C should be subtracted from the Euro progs since they are still predicting a straight ONI. 2. The following shows that although the Euro’s too warm ASO ONI prog was highest for April progs in 2017 (+1.4), it was also significantly too warm in 2025 (+0.8), 2022 (+0.7), 2021 (+0.6), 2020 (+0.8), 2014 (+1.2), and 2012 (+0.6). Moreover, misses to the cold side were much less frequent and smaller. So, based on averaging out the misses, a notable warm bias is evident although it isn’t as large when El Niño actually verifies. None of this means ONI will definitely verify colder than the April Euro prog, but rather to not be surprised if it verifies several tenths colder based on a bias corrected ONI prog:
-
That’s good. .
-
I guess I was more tipsy than I thought yesterday. I just looked to see which WWS I purchased, but apparently I bought two 4 packs of the 120.
-
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
That’s all you got? 57F/DP 35F -
This week will go a long way to getting our course open. I haven’t heard a projected opening date yet.
-
48/26, chilly today Last year I made it to June 1st before installing
-
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I know KYW heavily reported on that. it's the season in Jersey! CPC (or what is left of it) put out their last La Nina Advisory and has started an El Nino Watch - https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml There was some historical data compiled for strong El Nino years to show general trends. The data goes back to the late '50s through to 2016 - https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/el-nino As an obs, I bottomed out at 42 this morning and am currently a sunny 57 with dp 37. -
I already put away mine . I do have 3 jackets out just incase.
- 332 replies
-
- april showers bring may..
- rain
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
-
Still in a Nina, heading towards neutral.
-
Will the airports even hit 2” of precip for April??
-
Which WWS? The one they had at their store in Rehoboth was the Wake Up version from a few years ago. Its good and I bought some but I like the Triple Decadence better. Maybe they had it but I didn't see it in my inebriated state lol.
-
-
It was a blast! I liked the 120 a lot. Enough to pick up a four pack of that and the WWS. Sam Calagione got annoyed with me because I kept asking when they were bringing back Palo Santo Marron.
- Today
-
Tuesday is looking to be the real Ambrose jet day. Marine forecast has the wind going from sw to south and increasing which is a tell. Wednesday has the best potential for 80 on the south shore with light winds in the morning. .
- 332 replies
-
- april showers bring may..
- rain
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
-
95 west of the Garden State Parkway, 55 just east of Sandy Hook. That must be showing a ridiculous Ambrose Jet.
- 332 replies
-
- april showers bring may..
- rain
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
-
I’m surprised no one is talking about this. Likely the most intense storm in several years. https://x.com/zeb199818/status/2043312086869287255?s=46&ct=rw-null .
-
this was probably the last day i worn the winter gear until this fall..
- 332 replies
-
- april showers bring may..
- rain
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
-
yeah, kinda concerned about flooding potential in the area this week, especially as soils are pretty saturated already
-
54 off a low of 34. Last day of suck before we warm up
- 332 replies
-
- april showers bring may..
- rain
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
-
April is the windiest month. BTW, how many aces have you got?
-
Hello 60 degree dews. Oh how I haven’t missed you.
