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even when i went out this morning temps mid 30's with less wind it did feel kinda warm wearing a hoodie coat hat and gloves..

Of course they were calling for snow last week...

Those are weak records for 4/1.

GEFS, EPS, and Euro all throw us well into the warm sector now. Highs at least 60 degrees for many, even if it rains.

Time to change the avatar to summer. Its coming..

I think we get 1 more shot in April

No warmth on the Euro N of the Pike and ... heh, fronts seldom stall there, so may as well drill it to Morristown NJ... BD Tuesday relays to a cold front/CAA --> cycles all over again out to 300 hours, ending in an April snow storm. Have a nice day

April (just in case) DCA _ NYC _ BOS _ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 1.5 0.5

Yes. It was a horrible and very disappointing March. Winter just gave up after that storm late last month. Usually it puts up much more of a fight until the equinox

pretty much perfect weather at the moment

Ice melted days ago. Almost 2 weeks ago.

53, feels ok. Winds are truly annoying.

Surprisingly windy today. Trying to clean up leaves and had quite a few gusts around 25. At least it was warm in the sun.

Bents/Sawyers Pond in HUBB is basically ice free.

So, at worst you'd get an ice-cold dunk and drag your ass to shore. I friend of mine fell through ice and the water was about 5-6 feet, we dragged him out, problem was it was single digits and his clothes turned to ice taking him home.

Think it could get active as we get into April for a bit.The problem with the MJO is the ERW in which caused twin cyclones and has caused social media hysteria like its never happened before from a ERW.But this is from the Coriolis effect,which makes storms on both sides of the equator and move east to west Its like living the Polar Vortex again since what,OVER decade ago?But this has happened since at least the dinosaur era and beyond ?..LOL I dunno,seems like to me the MJO has been back into Africa the last few days,its caused lots of deaths in that region and the MJO signal is getting totally destroyed by this ERW,could just as well be the transition into NINO

Absolutely, and we will be until the turn of the decade, but there are ENSO driven deviations from the multidecadal cycle....look at 1957....also near solar max and preceded by consecutive -PDO +ENSO events.

The snow season is officially over: https://x.com/epawawx/status/2038305484810092870

Very cool this weekend after 85 on Thursday and Friday. That cold blast last week screwed up my plants. My day lilies have yellowed leaves, azaleas black leaves, and dead buds. Also my gardenias buds are black. This up and down weather has ruined my spring plants.

Loop of the March 14th-16th blizzard and severe weather system https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Mar_14_2026_GFS_surface_loop.html

Easy A- grade here Climo is lower in my hood but over 14" is climo+ and having a 2 week period of complete snowcrete cover is quite rare. Accum snow in each month DJFM + plenty of cold temps made it a door to door winter appeal. Again, pretty rare. Had snow on snow during the snowcrete stretch and that's always a nice bonus in any winter. Only reason I can't go A is I couldn't manage a 4"+ single storm. There's plenty of history down this way with bigger storms in the 6-18" range. Just missed that on the Carolina big storm as areas just 30 miles to my south picked up 6" or more. Had that event produced (I got 2.5"), it would have been an easy A grade. A+ (imho) requires a double digit snow even along with all the other important factors

30 here…thinking that may be the last sub freezing reading of the season. What do yall think?

From this mornings 20's to some 80's 3 days later NWS Wednesday temps:

Right near shore it was actually over 10". The thinnest I went to was 4", as that's minimum safe thickness. The cold temps the last two nights actually really hardened and locked it up pretty good The PFD is for when I go test the thickness lol. This place is only like 6 ft deep as well.

Great example of UHI from this morning. Approximately 80 miles apart and similar coastal locations, elevations and latitude. KCPK 34 KFOK 13 Not to derail a great discussion. I have been following you’re great analysis of the SW climate change induced warming over the years. .