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  2. Are there temp and snowfall maps for 82-83/97-98? Well, I know the temp maps are out there.
  3. The just released WCS daily PDO for yesterday was up to -0.58! They haven’t been this high since way back in late June. It has risen ~1.07 over just the last 10 days:
  4. The only thing I am sure of is it will probably act much closer to 82-83/97-98 than it will 15-16 and 23-24, those last 2 just had numerous oddities that more resembled La Ninas, there is probably no chance that is happening this time, especially since the last 2 winters showed signs of moving away from that pattern we had been seeing for the previous 5-6 winters.
  5. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  6. I got ~0.6” 9-10AM from a nice batch of convection moving NNE over almost the entire SAV area.
  7. SPC has a green check mark day 1 marginal risk out today just for 5% damaging winds stalled frontal boundary shenanigans .
  8. Not even fall yet, and 2021 was pretty warm so we'll see.
  9. Warmest fall on record looks likely
  10. 1973 is the one I don't like, but I don't expect the strongly +AO that that season had...even NAO maybe more favorable. Biggest issue here maybe the ridge suppressing storms at times.
  11. A +1.5C (+2.7F) winter in Detroit is a DJF temp of 31.1F. A -1.0C (-1.8F) winter in Houston is a DJF temp of 53.4F. I better pack my cowboy boots and hat now
  12. I expect some 2019 records get broken in a few places. Fortunately looks like it’ll retrograde back west soon after so I don’t see persistence of the heat as much as that year
  13. I know youre likely exaggerating, but I have friends in the UK and I can guarantee Chicago will have a colder/snowier winter than London.
  14. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  15. Record warmth now covers most of the Gulf. northern Caribbean Sea, and portions of the Atlantic. Wouldn't take much for a spin-up to occur in a prime spot with the right steering flow to put parts of the US in danger over the coming weeks. I do worry that the narrative of "record low" activity (which is true) is going to cause people to let their guards down. @GaWxshowed proof of that. Additionally, if this combo does not occur in 2026, then that becomes extra concerning for 2027, especially if there is a flip back to a cool ENSO state.
  16. Today
  17. 0.01” here for September, hopefully this weekend produces
  18. Both the Euro and GFS are hinting at a record Southeast ridge next week.
  19. in a few years the definition of torch will be +20
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