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The blinds were closed for a week and I just peaked out to see the UKMET still showing less than 0.1" liquid through the end of its run. The CMC has a few tenths through day 10 but it's rain. And no consensus among the other models for a clear threat through the mid-range. I really hope it won't be another close-the-blinds week.
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
TimB replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yikes, did we even get half an inch? -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
snowchill replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Starting to snow pretty good in west Kingsport now
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also every time I make an excuse for not going in this forum I am actually coping. Not happy that I booked my surgery for Aspen trip day. It's a 3-day trip so not worth a day late arrival. But it might as well snow if I can't go...
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
snowchill replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Most of the 12Z mesoscale guidance today showed that the organized snow would have a really tough time making it into the DC Metro area, and that seems to be playing out.
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The ensembles suggest multiple waves days 5-12. But the spread-out nature of the QPF suggests disagreement about timing and significance of each in succession. I don't believe we have a clear signal yet for specific storm events or dates. The most tangible is the first, mid-week wave but even this nearer threat is still evolving.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
It's snowing now #1 this is fun because I guaranteed somebody no snow before 6pm #2 snow brain saying omg 2" on the way bro -
One run ago had nothing for Saturday/Sunday lol. Take with a large grain of salt At the moment.
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Goes to show how warm its been this decade + when the period has felt so cold yet it barely ranks in the top 50 coldest.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Duca892 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Hoping the Valentines Day timeframe is still there on Monday. it can start being taken really seriously and i can showcase my true lack of knowledge but model jumping and humping run to run. -
Well then We better get that midweek system if that’s gonna verify.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
It’s coming you already know it! -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Voyager replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
What's it like to my West? It is snowing up here in Hazleton. It's light, but it is snowing, and I did see it blowing around on 81 with the traffic. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
So, that was 10.3” of snow, 2.6” of sleet, and 0.07” freezing rain take! -
February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
Ji replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Disastrous -
Dont believe that nonsense.
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Yeah basically 72 consecutive hours of precipitation - mostly snow! It ejects a bigger piece of the Pacific trof hitting CA day 4 out ahead of the consolidated ULL. This evolution doesn't have much support unfortunately among the other models save for maybe a few GEFS members. The height field evolution across the northeast days 4-6 is also very different from model consensus right now. I expect a lot of run to run variability for next week for the next few days. I don't like seeing the 2/11 wave trend a little warmer in recent runs across most guidance.
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Friday February 6 FROPA / WINDEX small event
Cyclone-68 replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
It was right around this date three years ago we actually had a legit severe thunderstorm roll through complete with frequent lightning. Will never forget that especially in February
