All Activity

That’s terrifying. 2022-2023 was a nonexistent winter for those south of central New England. The west throuhh upper Midwest and Great Lakes/ north New England did great. South of there was like spring all winter

Tenor of the season to Ray’s delight Just glad that we’re already starting to look at a reshuffle as we move into peak climo. We can’t get close to climo down here with pennies and bounced checks.

Yeah. These winter chinook patterns are obnoxious, and it has been going on for 3-4 weeks now. MT, WY, CO, ND, NE, and SD have essentially had no winter so far…and these are not exactly tropical locations. Even in areas further east, it is a horrendously boring pattern. And west of the Rockies, it’s warm too. So it’s a bad winter pattern for the entire lower 48, which is ridiculous to be occurring during the heart of winter. Even when chilly NW flow occurs east of the chinook, it’s horrendously dry. And the ridge/chinook is always lurking, so it often becomes warm for a few days here when the ridge shifts east a bit, and melts any modest snowfall which may have occurred prior. What will shake this pattern up? Models occasionally show signs of it changing, but the chinook seems to try reestablishing itself. It’s frustrating to see 30s and 40s in MT on the models, even at the coldest time of the day (12z). If I lived there, I would be going crazy this winter. At least Alaska is experiencing winter. Extreme cold inland, and very snowy in Juneau and nearby areas.

Exactly what I had in mind

Give it 5 minutes

An inch or 2 seems likely here tomorrow into Monday night.

There ya go

I mean, I might start pushing if I have to hear how great this winter has been in CT one more time. We get it, there was a good storm there. Apparently that’s going to play for the rest of the winter

I remember a huge -epo in early 2018, I think.

The night time runs have been terrible lately. Just ask Mitch west

Costed up here...

Pretty dismal offense after first drive

And many of you sound like you’d push Connecticut into the Atlantic if you could

This. We won with this setup in December 2013.

Kinda question a modoki later ,in 2023 many people said the same thing but it never happened,we are actually headed towards the same scenerio but with even more questions if this will might even happen,its still why i like the 2022-2023 analogs winter,the top was around the same time in 2023,the bottom is 2026 latest

12z eps / 18z gefs both have a retrograding +pna that becomes -epo. Did this happen a lot in 2013-14, or in more recent la nina winters before 2022? I wasn’t around much except for 2016

Came across this. Sub in last time 6" and Weymouth MA, and we have the meme for CoastalWx's sentiment these days! LOL.

Ray is right, it’s palatable through the holidays, but instantly becomes miserable now. Give me a shot at some bigger systems, or flood the northeast with warmth. And yes, before the fangs come out, I know it’s been half decent in CT lol

Can’t wait for the warmth. Hopefully it gets real warm, flush the road salt and sublimating 2” from clippers.

lol I agree. But tenor of the season!

Yes, in comparison. I live in York County, VA. Currently, 27.2. The last cold night for a while.

This pattern is the worst now that Xmas is over.....you can F right off with the 1/4" every couple of days and cold, windy weather....it's just a giant PIA and am glad it's warming up.

Bingo. Give me a -EPO with some blocking and a flattish pna. Nice gradient type pattern with waves ejecting across the south into an established cold dome. The bob chill bowl / train tracks pattern. Much rather that than have both a roided EPO ridge and a spiked PNA. Simple overrunning setups work around these parts. They haven’t come very often over the past decade, but when they do.. they produce

Fully expect to go to sleep here soon and wake up to winter canceled again.