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I really hope something changes moving through December. But I hope this really isn't another year of major wave breaking along the West Coast that pumps up a massive ridge across the eastern third of the country and we just see cutting/weakening storms as the approaching trough lifts out then we get several days of cold/dry on the backside of the systems and just rinse and repeat as the next wave break occurs and the next ridge builds. I think a month or two ago I made some comments that I didn't think ENSO will be a big player in the overall regime but kind of looking ahead...I actually wonder if (regardless of what ENSO indices show) the hemispheric pattern this winter may be reflective of what you would see in a stronger Nina event.

Link doesn't work.

So are we gonna have an epic winter with big snows or is it gonna be cold, dry and windy? That's the question.

We've gotta get old fashioned sustained blocking back. If so, those averages will increase.

Do all of that and that’s how to get a shot like these! (From WV/VA border and 4000+ ft at 12:30am)

Maybe, Kammerer is right

Lol. The Sanfrancisco treat.

Maybe, Doug Kammerer is right

82%. Nice.

As a photographer enthusiast all you really need is 1. Tripod 2. 10 second shutter 3. Lowest f stop possible lens (2.8 is good) 4. 1600-3200 iso 5. preemptively use manual focus on a distant light to ensure your focus is good! Happy photographing!

Would that be because of the government shutdown? I'm frankly impressed that so many services are still functioning, the Weather Service in particular.

I'm sitting here trying how to use my 10-year old DSLR camera that has been on the shelf for years because iPhones are easy. F-stops, ISO, etc.

This may be the person you’re referring to in Henniker, but we had a sick heron on our property about 10 years ago and we took it to her and about two weeks later we picked the bird up completely rehab and re-released it on our pond. She was great at least with our bird. But I think she specializes in birds And I don’t know her name.

what do you think the answer to those questions are

Yes, indeed. Couple comments on the AMS journal article I linked to. The authors cite the prior record statewide storm total snowfall as 42.0" at Gratiot, Ohio, from April 19-22, 1901. 42.0" of snow was also observed by the observer at Canton, Ohio, from that same storm, although it looks like those observations have never been digitized. Additionally, 44.0" was reported at Steubenville, Ohio, from November 24-29, 1950, during the Great Appalachian Storm of 1950, which is probably the true record besides this 1996 LES storm. Interestingly, they conclude that a snow depth of 48" reported by a nearby observer was incorrect and inflated. One would think the more reasonable conclusion is the snowfall amounts were underreported due to the infrequency of measurements. Also, as further evidence of inflation, the author points out that only 1" remained on the ground at the end of the month at that site, while 6" was observed at the other site. However, this could easily be explained by one location being in a sunnier and more exposed location, or by the other spot receiving more snow the remainder of the month. It sounds like another 7 or 8" fell there even after this storm. Either way, that is an impressive duration of snow cover for the month of November - even for the "snow belt" of Ohio.

South trend came 12z GFS but now it’s too far south and all rain central/southern VA

HRRR/RAP making me inclined to make somewhere in Loudoun or far-western FFX the target. MD not looking amazing

If it is behind the trade off is it may be less intense but we shall see. Either way yes we need a south Bz.

There's one near me Brian in Cape Neddick, don't know much about it though.

CME arrival appears to be running a bit behind the initial forecast of a 15-18UTC hit. Seeing indications of a 21-00UTC (4-7pm EST) hit instead, but I guess we'll see. And of course, we need a southward (negative) Bz for the storm to be geoeffective!

That happened in the 1962-63 winter. It's England's coldest winter since the little Ice Age. Major +PNA/-EPO combo in December and January. -10 to -20 temps in mid December here and nearly half a foot of snow on Christmas eve.

41 today

Not loving these persistent clouds

October of 2024

I haven’t made that stuff in forever. I need to get some.