All Activity
- Past hour
-
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Not really. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
-
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Newman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
The Euro has been ticking slowly to the GFS for the 15-16th deal. We really need the southern vort to not get stuck behind the northern energy or else you get destructive wave interference. The 6z Euro jumped closer to better phasing and more favorable orientation. Continue watching for now, I don't think we've seen the final solution yet (for better or for worse). The 0z GFS was bonkers and probably the ceiling lol -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Who cares ?plenty of hits EPS -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
ORH_wxman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yeah I’m not trusting the GFS when it’s basically on an island for next Friday. I’ll want to see other guidance get back on board for that system. Although both skynet models like next Friday too. Maybe Arnold comes through. -
lol thank you. I even use it all the time to look back at a storm or season real quick or to filter for regions/amounts. I still update the site almost daily with new things and when theres a big addition or update i keep a running log of that. So if you ever want to see whats new/added you can check that out. This is always a work in progress and i have a lot of plans for 2026. Including (not limited to), revising seasonal snowfall maps + 95-99 seasons, adding Tri-State to seasonal snowfall, more historic level storms pre-1994, updating all historic storms and including "Lower Northeast" wide view maps and adding N. MA and S. NJ only events that didn't make the archive...and more. I'm almost done with 94-95 season and should have that completed within the next week, that's what im working on right now. Then the main archive will be totally complete. If you or anyone else ever sees any major mistakes or dead links let me know. There's over 400 unique pages on the site so it can be hard to keep everything clean, organized and working properly.
-
Agreed. I have their pay version, which adds a number of weenie benefits like Kuchera and close up maps, for $99/yr. At only $8.25/month, you can't beat it imho. Only gripe I have is that their Eps maps are limited to the Conus, but Hemisphere maps are available at Tropical Tidbits for free.
-
Radar has been green to yellow over me since 4 am. I have only received .05" !!
-
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I’m still digging out of “good times” that you mentioned. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Lava Rock replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
You use microspikes? Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
ineedsnow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Lots of black ice this morning. Snow took a beating -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Lava Rock replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Pack took a bit of a beating overnight. Low 36f Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk -
AI models coming around Model madness. Not shocking this far out.
-
Euro has been horrendous. Positive PNA pattern supports good times.
-
Indiana is a wagon right now. I don't see Miami stopping them.
-
I mean, 6z isn’t too far off that idea actually
-
Those maps show two different waves due to timing differences. The first event, roughly slated for Thurs the 15th is already downstream in the Atlantic on the GDPS and the next wave is rolling in. It showed a progressively and positively tilted trof for wave 1. The GFS is wrapped up and cut off southeast of NY harbor so it is much less progressive aloft. Wave 2 is in the northern US and upper MS valley.
-
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yeah low prob -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
6z Euro still not on board -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
UnitedWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Hey, that's what I call TorchyT -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I really like that 15-16th deal .That’s the one to track -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
UnitedWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Black ice everywhere here in Westfield as well. 33 degrees -
Wow at the 0z GFS aloft. 6z ECM-AI is starting to get a neg tilt look too. It's improved for several runs. But counter to that, the GFS-AI has ticked slightly worse for the same number runs. The GFS in particular shows potential to get a high-end trof alignment even without any southern stream energy rounding the base of the trof... Kind of intriguing. Noteworthy how little support there is for an event near the 15th. 0z GEFS offered a little support, but 6z has withdrew most of it and EPS and GEPS offer almost nothing. The AI models offer more support than the ensembles. This is an interesting test of their relative values. AIs vs ensembles.
-
My positivity is about to go out the window..
-
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
-PNA so that is what happens. Hopefully we get some action.
