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Torch. See you in Fall 2027.
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March 2026: Avg max: 39.9 +1.1 Mildest: 65, 10th. Only 2006 and 2012 have warmer maxima. Avg min: 19.7 +2.6 Coldest: -16, 2nd Mean: 29.8 +1.8 Precip: 3.04" -0.65" Wettest day: 0.95", 16th Nine of the past 10 months have been BN. The 10-month total of 25.10" is 15.70" BN. Snow: 15.7" -1.3" Snowiest day: 6.5", 22nd This is the 3rd consecutive March in which the biggest snowfall came after the equinox. Avg depth: 11.3" 5.7" BN Tallest pack: 20" on 4-6. Another month with nothing of long-term note. It started cold, with lows of -16 & -12 on 2 & 3, then the 4th-17th had temp 8.1° AN. The next 12 days were -3.2, with 30-31 significantly AN to finish the month.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 82 (1978) NYC: 83 (1917) LGA: 80 (1978) JFK: 75 (1978) Lows: EWR: 28 (1969) NYC: 12 (1923) LGA: 27 (1969) JFK: 26 (1969) Historical: 1786: A heavy snowstorm in the Northeast dumped a foot of snow from New Jersey to New Hampshire. Five piers of the Charles Bridge were destroyed at Boston, MA by gale force winds and high tides. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1807: 30 inches of snow fell at Danville, VT with total snow depth of 60 inches on the ground. Heavy coastal damage occurred from huge waves. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1875: The London Times published the first daily newspaper weather map. The first American newspaper weather map would be issued on 5/12/1876 in the New York Herald. Weather maps would first appear on a regular basis beginning on 5/9/1879 in the New York Daily Graphic. 1912 - A tornado with incredible velocity ripped into downtown Houston, TX, breaking the water table and giving the city its first natural waterspout. (The Weather Channel) 1918: A strong cold front moved through the upper Midwest. Temperatures ahead of the front climbed into the 60s and 70s. Meanwhile, temperatures fell into the 20s by the end of the day behind the front. Fayette, IA had a high temperature of 79° and a low temperature of 23°. This 56 degree diurnal temperature change is the greatest ever recorded there. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1923 - Residents in the eastern U.S. awoke on "April Fool's Day" to bitterly cold temperatures. The mercury plunged to -34 degrees at Bergland MI and to 16 degrees in Georgia. (David Ludlum) 1924: April Fool's coastal low pressure dropped 5.5 inches snow in Washington, DC an April record and 10 inches in Frederick, MD. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1945: Snow fell across Denver and northern Colorado for 51 consecutive hours on this date through April 3rd. While the storm was did not produce excessive snow, the long duration made the event a heavy snow producer. Downtown Denver reported 10.7 inches while 9.5 inches was reported at Stapleton Airport. This was an unusually cold air mass for this time of year. The high temperature of 26° on April 2nd and 17° on April 3rd were low maximums for the dates. The high of 17° on April 3rd was a record low maximum for April. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1960: The first weather satellite, TIROS 1 (Television and Infra-Red Observation Satellite) began sending pictures back to Earth. The TIROS series would have little benefit to operational weather forecasters because the image quality was low and inconsistent. The most critical understanding achieved from the new technology was the discovery of the high degree of organization of large-scale weather systems, a fact never apparent from ground and aircraft observations. 1970: 11 inches of snow fell at O'Hara Airport, Chicago closing the airport. This is the biggest snowstorm for so late in the season. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1973: A tornado touches down near Brentsville, Virginia, then traveled to Fairfax hitting Woodson High School. This F2 tornado injured 37 and caused $14 million in damage. 1974: A wind gust of 82 mph was recorded at Nashville, TN, the fastest known wind gust ever recorded in the city. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1978: The maximum temperature for the date is 88°F. in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) In Latrobe, PA, a gust of win picked up an elderly man and hurled him into the sidewalk; he was killed. Winds at the Latrobe airport were measured at 85 mph. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA) 1987 - Forty-five cities across the southeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Lows of 37 degrees at Apalachicola FL, 34 degrees at Jacksonville FL, 30 degrees at Macon GA, and 22 degrees at Knoxville TN, were records for April. (The National Weather Summary) 1987 - A tornado touched down briefly during a snow squall on the south shore of White Fish Bay (six miles northwest of Bay Mills WI). A mobile home was unroofed and insulation was sucked from its walls. (The Weather Channel) 1988 - A powerful spring storm produced 34 inches of snow at Rye CO, 22 inches at Timpas OK, 19 inches at Sharon Springs KS, and up to 35 inches in New Mexico. Severe thunderstorms associated with the same storm spawned a tornado which caused 2.5 million dollars damage at East Mountain TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Up to six inches of snow blanketed the Adirondacks of eastern New York State and the Saint Lawrence Valley of Vermont. Up to a foot of snow blanketed the Colorado Rockies. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Texas, from southern Arkansas and northern Louisiana to southern Georgia, and from northern South Carolina to the Upper Ohio Valley during the day and evening. Thunderstorms spawned a tornado at Evergreen AL, and there were more than eighty reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorms produced baseball size hail north of Bastrop LA, and produced damaging winds which injured one person west of Meridian MS. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1997: Mother Nature played a cruel springtime joke on the northeast. After the area had basked in 70 degree warmth for several days, a strong nor'easter moved up the coast, dumping up to 3 feet of snow in some areas. The storm began on March 31st, and winded down by midday on this date. A 978 millibar low cutoff just south of New England spun a tremendous amount of moisture in from the Atlantic with southern New England and eastern New York bearing the full brunt of the storm. 500,000 people lost power because of the heavy, wet snow and high winds. Five people were killed. At its peak, the storm knocked out power to nearly 13% of New England or 750,000 people. Boston, MA recorded 25.4 inches of snow for the storm, all in 24 hours for its greatest 24 snowfall on record, its third biggest snowstorm overall and their snowiest April ever. (Ref. The Major Late Season Snowstorm) Ref. (NWS Ranking for Storms between 1956 and 2011) This is the 38th Worst Snowstorm(Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2004: Lightning hit a townhouse near Sinking Springs, Pennsylvania. It came through a glass door and struck a metal cane inches away from where an elderly woman was using her recliner. She was unhurt but a 4-alarm fire was ignited in a nearby townhouse by the bolt. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2012 Accord Pub. 2011, USA)
- 40 replies
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- april showers bring may..
- rain
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partly cloudy here 73
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2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
@bluewaveLooks to me like the Pac jet was up to it's old tricks again in March, as the blocking for met winter abated and the MJO, albeit largely favorable, remained weak. -
Yeah clouds rolled in quickly here...went from nice and bright to probably needing to turn a light on
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kdix back up!
- 40 replies
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- april showers bring may..
- rain
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(and 2 more)
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Too many effing clouds
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Poppin
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77 out. Nice breeze out there helping to keep my AC off with West to East cross ventilation. Getting the smells of the Frederick Co. farmland wafting in.
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2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, I could buy some vestige of it remaining, but it's probably overdone. -
These shots are beautiful and show the trees in a different light. The oldest Ms. J is graduating from AU in May and her and her friends have their gowns. But they chose to not take graduation photos with the cherry trees in full bloom. It is a part of DC but it is not DC to them if that makes sense. One shot Ms. J wants is in her gown standing at the Tenleytown-AU metro sign as she will be mourning the loss of her UPass.
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2026-2027 El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I see it has some split forcing showing up with some lingering convection in the west pacific. Also appears to be more basin-wide. I agree - i think a +TNH outcome like that is probably overkill even if there’s split forcing. -
Amazing how fast stuff popped these last two days . Went from Chernobyl to Augusta National
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Agreed ... Brian and I have had this discussion in the now distancing past but again, those heat explosions that took place in the Pac NW and London ...SE Asia, step country of the Urals, Moscow and Austrialia ...those were all synergistic events. That's when several factors, not just the synoptic footprint, feed back and the modeling technology just doesn't really do that? SO you end up with product that far surpasses expectation. The closes we've come to seeing that E of the Mississippi Valley and N of the Mason Dixie, in modern era whence these synergistic heat waves became a recurring global phenomenon, is the 2012 heat wave. However, that was restricted to far SW and was squeezed further S and eventually demolished by a massive Derecho/processing event. Simply put, we have not had one here. Despite 102 once in awhile, that's not it. We could possibly argue that the May heat up in Ontario the bled into NNE a couple years around the early 2020s but 90s mmm there was some resonate feedback going on there, but it was mostly just lacking the DP input into those that drove that. It was multi-sourced and "bursting" over modeling either. I've actually begun to suspect that it is harder for this area to achieve the synergy. We just have too many available negative inputs... squeezing our circumstance manifold down to lesser ways to get that to happen - it becomes lower odds.
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34F and dreary.
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Nope, mind posting?
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
^CPC was putting out long range Winter outlooks that looked like that: warm in the SE, cooler in the NE. Then last month they updated with a full on El Nino composite for the Winter. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jns2183 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That 68 wind guest should be 28:for Harrisburg, haha Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
The new Cansips has winter anomalies significantly colder in the NE than the SE: For all of the Ninos peaking at +1.5+, not a single one going back at least to 1895-6 had a colder NE than SE anomaly wise! Not even one! These are the winters: 2023-4, 2015-6, 2009-10, 2002-3, 1997-8, 1991-2, 1987-8, 1986-7, 1982-3, 1972-3, 1965-6, 1957-8, 1940-1, 1930-1, 1925-6, 1918-9, 1902-3, 1899-00, and 1896-7. That’s 19 winters, a nice sample size suggesting the CANSIPS E US winter temp. anomalies and a strong El Niño prog aren’t at all jibing with history. Here is the aggregate of those 19 winters: Edit: Even going all of the way down to peaks of +1.0 yields the same result, no winter colder in NE than SE. That adds 13 more for a total sample size of 32! Here’s the average of the 13 moderates:
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2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Ask the White House... -
BDL hit 80 yesterday. 70 here currently. Rapid green-up underway. Just saw some forsythia really starting to pop on my walk.
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Nice, been there a couple times. It’s worth it for the experience. Kenwood is another spot, though I gotta think the homeowners get annoyed sometimes lol. One of my weird hobbies is trying to predict the time based on the moon phase and location in the sky. The moonset of what looks like a 10-11pm moon phase lines up with those predawn pics.
