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After 3 99s this summer so far, KSAV had 100 today!
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+5c -PDO warm pool lol
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The haves - Southern Chesco and have nots Northern Chesco continue with some rain totals today as of 645pm DEOS stations - Atlgen 0.93" / Longwood Gardens 1.43" / Nottingham 1.96"/ Kennett Square 2.17" / West Grove 1.28" / Atglen 0.99" / West Bradford 1.03" / West Chester 0.34" / Chester Springs 0.00" / Glenmoore 0.04" / Warwick 0.04" -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
The haves - Southern Chesco and have nots Northern Chesco continue with some rain totals today as of 645pm DEOS stations - Atlgen 0.93" / Longwood Gardens 1.43" / Nottingham 1.96"/ Kennett Square 2.17" / West Grove 1.28" / Atglen 0.99" / West Bradford 1.03" / West Chester 0.34" / Chester Springs 0.00" / Glenmoore 0.04" / Warwick 0.04" -
Third straight day with only a trace of rain
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https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=PHI&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off While probability outlooks could still change significantly being 7 days out, early ML & AI outlooks have currently identified a 15%-30% probability for severe weather occurrence associated with this system. As details on this system become more defined, will have to continue to monitor synoptic fluctuations in model guidance to help identify any hazards associated with this system in the coming days.
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Some additional showers and thundershowers are possible early tonight. A few could bring heavy downpours. Tomorrow will feature high temperatures in the upper 80s. A few of the hot spots could approach or reach 90°. Showers or thundershowers are again possible. The weekend will turn somewhat cooler with highs mainly in the lower 80s. No excessive heat appears likely through mid-month. However, some of the guidance has grown hotter near mid-month so that situation will bear watching. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI is not available due to data feed issues. This could be an extended issue. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.814 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 65% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 78.9° (1.4° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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Summer of '57 is a bit before my time but I know KCMO had terrible flooding. Mercifully that's not the case this year. That said, parts of the Midwest have experienced flooding this summer. Summer of '97 was meh heat in the Plains. Y'all have to refresh my memory here. Let's see what the next 2-3 weeks brings out there.
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1.00” here
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
KakashiHatake2000 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Gotcha Jeff . -
I was in Piscataway 36 years and remember losing power during Gloria and Sandy, and maybe like 3 other times haha. Im not sure why we lose it so often here
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Strikeout here in 21057. A little drizzle/light rain
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
nrgjeff replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'll take the other side of that. Kalshi and Poly both have weather I believe. Even saw it on Draft Kings predictions, which could be dangerous lol! -
High of 100 at 5:40pm, currently 96/102 HI. 0.00" in the bucket, but we could use a break.
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Dundalk got hit hard. North Point at Kane is flooded out
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
What in the 8-bit Nintendo is going on here? -
The 18z NAM image is for 22z tomorrow?
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
SouthernNJ replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
-PDO warm pool might be a higher std than El Nino right now. -
Wow. Here I lose power maybe once every 2 or 3 years on average.
