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  2. The only snow piles are the ones in the parking lots.
  3. https://x.com/Ham_BklynWx/status/2030018538727956893?s=20
  4. I think the point of the article is to convey the data, not to assess causality - just for clarity. They are pretty explicit in saying so. This last decade's d(warm) was .15 deg C > than the previous fairly stable .2 C increase spanning 45 years. I went on to offer that the climate curve in pure temperature is a 'serrated' course... 2023/2024 may he been a particularly sloped year. The previous delta could certainly return. I don't disagree that 10 years in a vacuum isn't very useful to describe the complexities of an entire planetary system- that's quite intuitive. However, technically the study was 55 years: 10 years vs the previous 45. It doesn't refute the fact of the numbers. As to it's significance, that remains to be seen.
  5. For those of you that like this weather….i hope your dog leaves you.
  6. This the fucking worst. Five days of this shit up this way. And no way do I avoid the bdcf thing tomorrow. This is brutal - it’s too long without sun and this much gray…
  7. First tornado warning of the year for SW Michigan.
  8. Waiting for you in mid April
  9. I got about half inch of snow in top of all of that. I shoveled off the dust on the crust to facilitate melting. Lol. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk
  10. After the one cold week (3/16-22), which is still coming, an AN signal emerges like it has on prior runs in most of the E US although the NE still has just a neutral signal in today’s EW: 3/16-22: nice 3/23-29: nice (from my standpoint) is over
  11. Chilly today, low 40s. Where’s my warmth?!
  12. Yes, If you just regressed the past 10 years there would be a problem due to the short time period and natural variability; but, that's not what was done. Here's the underlying journal article and a blog which describes the procedure in layman terms. To summarize they are using: 1) data since 1880, 2) accounting for the predominant sources of natural variation (enso, volcanoes and solar), 3) Applying statistical models that allow the warming rate to change if justified by the data. Per chart below the acceleration is apparent after enso has been accounted for. https://tamino.wordpress.com/2025/06/08/picking-up-speed/ https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025GL118804
  13. Based on the high helicity environment right on the warm front and the broad rotation I thought it was working up to something 20 minutes ago.
  14. Leaning towards being shut out this month. Was a great season though. 90/100 Close to perfection if we snowed in March and if were able to generate a 20+ event. Came really close.
  15. I’m not convinced this changes the character of this Winter in any respect, but you do you. I’ve noticed some posts suggesting this winter wasn’t actually that cold by some of the Gretanistas, but it falls flat for most (those of us that went outside anyway). Its gets warmer in Spring. We’re all fine here.
  16. I busted out of the clouds here, was as high as 63ºF earlier. Still around 61ºF
  17. There is a cc drop on the cell that is now tor warned after the fact.
  18. It's police scanner traffic so take it with a grain of salt, but a house may have just been hit with a tornado (or downburst) in Cass Co. MI.
  19. It's 66F and sunny at the cabin and 47F and clouds down in Calvert. March at the Chesapeake Bay is the worst weather month anywhere on the planet.
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