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Did I let you know? I honestly forget. I think it was 72.7.

Rollercoaster temps for the 1st week of the month here in TH.

I have to be honest...I'm taking it with a grain of salt at this stage, too....to be fair to Adam. If it still looks like that in October, then it may be time to take it more seriously.

So the model is simultaneously correct in jumping to a stronger Nino, but INCORRECT in staying consistent with a cold winter look in the Great Lakes, similiar to the last 2 winters. Got it.

May 1 1966: Winter makes a last stab at Minnesota with a low of 5 at Cook. A widespread freeze hits the rest of the state. 1935: An unusually late snow and ice storm hits east central Minnesota. The heaviest ice accumulations are between St. Paul and Forest Lake and westward to Buffalo in Wright County, with accumulations of 1 to 1.5 inches on wires. The downtown Minneapolis weather bureau records 3 inches of snow. For Friday, May 1, 2026 1854 - The Connecticut River reached a level of nearly twenty-nine feet at Hartford (the highest level of record up until that time). The record height was reached in the midst of a great New England flood which followed sixty-six hours of steady rain. (David Ludlum) 1935 - Snow, ice and sleet brought winter back to parts of southeast Minnesota. Minneapolis received three inches of snow to tie their May record which was established in 1892. (1st-2nd) (The Weather Channel) 1954 - The temperature at Polebridge MT dipped to 5 degrees below zero to establish a state record for the month of May. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms produced large hail and heavy rain in Texas. Baseball size hail pounded Dublin, and 3.75 inches of rain soaked Brady. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Strong southerly winds ahead of a cold front crossing the Rocky Mountain Region gusted to 90 mph at Lamar CO. High winds created blinding dust storms in eastern Colorado, closing roads around Limon. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced heavy rain in the southeastern U.S. Rainfall totals of 1.84 inches at Charlotte NC and 2.86 inches at Atlanta GA were records for the date. Strong thunderstorm winds uprooted trees in Twiggs County GA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from northern Alabama to North Carolina. There were sixty-three reports of large hail or damaging winds, with hail four inches in diameter reported near Cartersville GA. Ten cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date as readings warmed into the 90s. Jacksonville FL reported a record high of 96 degrees. Late night thunderstorms over central Texas produced up to ten inches of rain in southern Kimble County and northern Edwards County. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

I disagree. While the mean of a strong Nino is a milder than avg winter in the north, keep in mind theres tons of hugging the warmest and/or least wintry Ninos on record in here by some. Thats not how weather always works. The strong El Nino of 1911-12 was a brutally cold winter, one of the coldest on record. It definitely didnt fit the mold of a typical strong Nino. And yes, even back then (before we hear about a different climate) strong Ninos generally produced mild winters, including 1877-78 (year without a winter in the upper midwest) and 1918-19 (a winter far less snowy than any ive ever experience). Using the more common post-1950 list. Moderate are a mixed bag- several cold winters in there. And several of the strong Ninos averaged on the average to cool side of average here.

Nice morning, I'm enjoying this coolness. You know it'll be in short supply soon.

I had ~0.05” yesterday morning, which brought me up to a total of ~1.5” for April, <50% of the normal of ~3.25” but ~double what I got in March (which was almost all on March 8th by the way). The last 1” of the 1.5” was received just since April 26th on 3 different days with most of that (0.8”) falling on 4/26.

This looks like a terrific opportunity for Brian to end up under one of those stationary diurnal cloud streets while it's sunny a mi E and W of his immediate neighborhood ?

Haven't gone this route yet. I did go soy-free a year or two ago on your rec, and I think it's made a big flock-health difference, so I'm willing to try this.

Do I laugh at this, like it, or thank you? I chose none of the above. I couldn't decide.

Figured this is appropriate given today's date.

DLH for April avg temp 37.8 (-1.7),and precip 3.66" (+1.13). TH ended with 6.83" (+4.18) at CoCoRAHS site Two Harbors 2.0 ENE. 6.16" (+3.51") at the TH Co-op (3rd wettest). 2001 pcpn 8.83 1 1 1 0 1894 pcpn 6.71 2 2 2 0 *2026 pcpn 6.16 3 3 3 0 1948 pcpn 5.72 4 4 4 0 1968 pcpn 4.73 5 5 5 0

Builders take topsoil??? That should be considered a legitimate crime.

Omega 3 time is fun

Ended up at 56.4, tied for 10th. Two tenths off, I'll strive to be better.

High of 95 on 4/17, low of 35 on 4/8. 1.74"

Never a doomer myself and always laughed at them. Especially the bunker-type (although I still laugh at them - first was on the premise of end-times being near, but now for thinking their efforts will matter (they won't)). Thought it was just mankind being mankind, thinking the end is near. My tune has changed since the Epstein files were released. I always sort of knew capitalism ruled, and 99.9% of people are just a means to the elites end, but never realized the span and depth of their control. People can shout conspiracy, but it's pretty much validated now - democracy isn't real, you are merely a dollar sign, nothing you do or say matters (beyond hyper-locally), and it's top vs. bottom, not left vs. right. But the SS change has sailed. Unless it's a full-scale revolution of the 99% stomping out the 1% - but we're too fat/happy/distracted to pull that off now. The total control/surveillance state is actually here (hi!) after 2+ decades of slowly normalizing it. --- One of the silent issues nobody is talking about is the exponential proliferation of data centers and the economic and environmental impact they'll continue to have. We're rapidly being pushed towards a economic and natural resource crisis that'll result in the total takeover of the 99% - and it'll be done without a single bullet, quite easily. And by the time it happens there will still be people shouting about climate change, and gender identity, and human life being a bad use of tax dollars (while not mentioning the tax dollars that are used to line pockets), and whether or not their favorite public figure is a pedophile.

38 imby

It might zygote as cat paws or even some mangled bow-tie pastas if the cold infant CCB head gets this far NW Sunday morning, too. Kind of an interesting day. 12z could have some cold rain mixing in if the CCB head gets as far W as Worcester to SE NH, then is sharply clears by 10 or 11am as the back edge rolls out with that fast moving developing coastal. It's not a big system. Compact actually... those tend to have a sharper back edge on rad and sat. So you're sitting there in misery, and then least expecting a brilliant sun bursts forth through the S windows. That backside environment appears to only be weakly CAA mixing as there's not a steep vertical delta-T...while also being down slope. That might allow the temperature to get near 50. I was looking at the 700 and 500 mb level RH and the %ages are < 50. Some DVM may offset the pancake destruction. Point being, going from Labradorian nut sack to at least a C+ afternoon is an interesting sensible flip.

Anything coming through a NW flow is going to underperform in QPF department regardless what models show. That has become more than evident over the last year

Today's a sneaky mild naper. In fact, with May sun potency now lasing the land and man, might even subjectively argue it gets warm out there mid afternoon for an hour or two. (altho hold on. One caveat: not sure if we pancake destruct this, which would cap temp rise....) Sunday morning? there may be wet snow falling around the top and tuck towns of the Worcester Hills. That sure is fuck won't be normal - it would objectively be well below normal actually... However, (today's sneak warm) + ( Sunday morning cold butt pump)/2 = typical bullshit godless NE spring climate by average so yeah...I guess that argues near normal in the aggregate It's a matter of magnitude. Does the cold anomaly on Sunday out weigh today's warmth? It might be a fun 4 min comparison on Tuesday morning for nerds that like to crunch those numbers. Tuesday and Wednesday are going to be close to bigger warmth. It's going to depend on whether the warm boundary that is more and less defined among the models, ...actually gets through here. Climo says it doesn't and gets shunted some how, some way. Even when there is no physics to shunt, Earth seemingly comes up with physics ( like interdimensional weather) in order to get what it wants: pumping NE spring enthusiast bum. Seriously though, if we can get S of the perceived boundary, we surge from Sunday local era nadir to AN for those two days. That'll prooobably seal the first 7-day's worth of the month as +

48.5" Branchburg NJ

Nova Scotia wet snow bomb incoming

Nature gonna do its thing but that hummingbird bit would have ruined my next three hours. Cost of eggs doesn’t sound so bad anymore…