All Activity

Nice!

Also btw pivotal says it’s snowing but frankly the soundings to me look like rain.

NOAA missed the boat on their winter temp prediction around these parts, as well as other areas around the country. I put little faith in these predictions.

So will this mirror that last one of 50+ the day before and then snow?

But it won’t ?

46 here after a high of 50. Snowpack dwindling but still about 80% coverage. When I look out my kitchen window I still see a snow covered landscape, from my wooded area to the farm field beyond. I think there have been 26 days with snow otg this winter. Pretty impressive.

Let it go.

yep that’s all she wrote. I sacrificed myself for Ji to get the good one Monday/tuesday. Fine with it.

is it bad I'm skeptical of the torch considering every promised warmup this winter felt muted?

It's not over until we say, it's over! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?

WB 18Z GFS: big tick south on precip compared to 12Z. On to early next week threat.

Touch less amped. Still snows but it has begun to give up

With feet OTG?

GFS pretty similar early on.

It’s gonna melt fast

Not at all. As I said above, only 3-4 of the members out of 50 show 6+ inches of snow. While this shows depth mean, since we had no snow on the ground it gives you the idea.

Probably the Horseshoe Curve, which would make sense given such high seasonal totals and also being that timeframe was Altoona’s Pennsylvania RR heyday where a lot of that kind of reporting was likely done along the mainline. That’s close to halfway up the Allegheny Front (leading ridge of the Laurels) between the city itself and the top at Gallitzin/Cresson. It’s hard to find much reliable data for the city itself. KAOO is more than 15 miles and one ridgeline over SE of the city. The airport doesn’t get as much snow, esp in upslope/LES and clipper situations being just that much further away from the Laurels with downsloping. Then of course, the really high variance from the city to the top of the Laurels in just a 5-10 mile drive. I consider roughly 40-50” an average season here, using the much more reliable snow data up in State College as a general baseline (45.9 since 1893 and 43.8 on the 1991-2020 avg). It’s not perfect but I am averaging 35.7” since the 17-18 winter with some pretty lousy winters the last 4 years. On the other hand, what will be the new 30 year avg (2001-2030) is currently running around 38” a season for State College right now barring some big winters the next 4 years.

This chart shows how unlucky we have been

18z GFS time lets dance!

november and february were essentially swapped.

Humans are awful but there’s very few people who have room to bitch. Unless you’re Amish, you’re most likely using technology that contributes to adding greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. My life along with most people in 1st world countries is significantly better than if it was 1886. I might even be dead now from one of my infections in my life that required antibiotics if it was 1886. Rant over now.

I guess I’m a dedicated snow weenie. I was spoiled this year, my house in the Catskills was getting lake effect snow in early/mid November and I was loving every second of it lol

That’s pretty depressing considering February’s minimal participation in winter this year.