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Radar is filling in nicely in N. Georgia. It's already snowing at my buddy's house in Dahlonega.

Models that are most correct with this feature at this point in time: RDPS, RAP, UKMET, in that order. Doesn’t necessarily mean to treat these as gospel but have a better chance of accurately depicting downstream if you’re not way off of a major feature (looking at you HRRR)

What’s everyone doing to stay up all night? We could’ve all rented out a Gatlinburg air bnb for this one but our luck it would have busted lol

Radar starting to ignite

AIGFS has more precp with a weaker low further offshore. This should be what the GFS shows for tomorrow. And yes, if this happens its a big storm for SEVAand RIC

Things are starting to pop

Ham and egg all the way my man!! Did you know you can order double meat? Or even double egg or cheese! Just ask when you order. The AI struggles with it though.

03Z HRRR fills in much faster for Wake. Hopefully the start of a good trend

Makes zero sense surface would be warm lol

Yep it is time to try and go to sleep we have stopped here with the snow. Hopefully we will wake up to some big rates.

When I look at the wind field on Ventusky, the center of circulation appears to be about 50 miles off the SC coast, and it's been moving slowly parallel to the coast all evening. I hope that means the low will hug the coast more than the models have said as it deepens...

Getting frigid out there! 16.5F. Rates have picked up yet flakes are falling individually like grains of sand. 3 1/2 inches on the measurement surface and a snowpack of 4 1/2 inches in the grass. Sledding should be fun tomorrow! I'm calling this event a win

AIGFS midweek

Waiting for the "radar is verifying north of the models" posts. Always a crowd pleaser.

Its hammering in Stuart now. Snowing sideways and now windy on the cams. Going to be rapid accums if that keeps up. Thanks to some knowledgable posters this morning, my Starlink heater is on and my wifi cams are working perfectly. Love this place!

Any thoughts you have share away.

What are you going to get kvegas? If I were to partake, I would get a ham and egg biscuit (mustard and pepper a must). .

Current view from upstairs looking out over the winter wonderland.

Since it’s now casting time, our upper low looks to have closed off over Illinois tonight

2 AM is the magic hour. If the HRRR is right we'll be entering the teens with QPF broadly over us, I'm interested to see what that's gonna look like. I'm currently 23.9 with steady light snow, the wind has picked up.

HRDPS

Was not a total miss. It had a very modest amount of snow about 24 hours earlier than the map you showed, with some sort of lead wave.

Yeah that's kind of what I anticipate is a lull until around 2-3 when snow fills back in and then hangs around. Hangs around longer the further east you are. For most all of this is really bonus snow.

KAT CAMPBELL tweeted: These are new Euro ensembles - still showing a good bet that you'll see snow but the odds of 3" decreased a bit in the western part of our viewing area. Our saving grace? The high resolution models aren't seeing the snow band in our northern counties that's been around for hours