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I'd pay more taxes for that big red glob to sit on Buda for ten hours at 4 inches of rain per hour! I want to watch the water rise!

It's been impressive here, 1.25" in the last hour or so. Lots of sky lightning, a couple of rounds of pretty heavy rain.

Moving on to Thursday. I tend to think CTP is going o be right and forcing will be so strong it creates an environment here that kills severe storms. We’ll see.

The radar's looking interesting and moving east northeast pretty rapidly...the cells are by Philly right now

1/4" or so the beat goes on

Yes, it was a promotion. But I didn't know I was a closet severe weenie until I tasted it in the Midwest.

Rather meh for NNE today. Not a single svr wx report and one SVR from CAR. Seems like the overnight stuff will end up better. RRFS and HRRR show this well for ern CT/RI/SE MA. Li'l finger of CAPE quite apparent. RRFS LTG density solid (as a rock).

Any hrrr or updates? I flood where I am and I dont want to move the cars if its just going to be 1 inch or so of rain in an hour or so. TWC future cast shows back building severe storms from about 11 to 130 am. Noaa barely mentions anything but showers. Radar looks like a line but TWC future cast creates huge red cell over all of north NJ

closing in on 1.00 here!

I just mean convective models are pretty dry CON-south yet radar looks fairly wet to our west.

Stuff moving in....steady rain, thunder.

The inverse of winter weather on that map.

Rippin’ fatties here and under a flash flood warning.

Was that a NWS /gov't work bid/ career move? You're originally from RI? What a mistake!

Yogi came through the yard again this evening.

At least you didn't make this move.

Moving from Brockton to GHG to Dorchester headed farther N, then back S of Weymouth? Does a snow weenie in SNE do that?

It's not much, but this lemon is enough to get me thinking about the tropics again. Always fun to start a new season, though I'd expect this one to be a bit rough in terms of overall HU activity. Do yourself a favor and take a look at the westerly wind burst on going in the Nino zone. There is a gigantic pool at the subsurface that is primed to get churned up by downwelling oceanic kelvin waves during any westerly burst events. This Nino is going to get strong very quickly barring an unexpected downtrend. Anyways, take a look at recent Euro depictions of this AOI (partially ex-Cristina) once it gets inland over the SE USA. I spy a major brown ocean effect bias within the Euro that is once again showing up, though GFS and other do manage to retain a somewhat competent vorticity packet while over land. This soon to be invest is going to be a real feature, but a storm essentially RI'ing over land is not a realistic outcome. My thoughts: A depression making landfall in Texas will NOT intensify into a 985mb borderline hurricane over Shreveport (0Z 6/14 Euro begs to differ) . I doubt this thing intensifies on an organizational or SLP sense once inland, rather its injection of moisture and vorticity into the trough will help boost an already volatile severe weather look for mid-week across the Midwest and Ohio Valley.

another 5 minute downpour thats it. lucky to get a .25 in if that

Yes. absolutely crazy LTG shows. Probably tied to the EML and having "fat" CAPE at mid-levels, so the charge separation is ideal in the mixed phase layer.

Not according to CoastalWx!

.15 and 35mph gust

is that not a beam/coverage thing?