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Dews in the 60’s Friday
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high temp of 75.3 here
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78 today...not sure what the record high would be for my little corner of the earth, but it's gotta be close. Beautiful day.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Well, if that ever happened... We'd be right here a year from now haplessly doing the same damn thing while Forky laughs away. -
What many don't seem to understand is that we are in a long term drought and the hyper El Nino is no guarantee to bring us out of this drought. This is hilarious.
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What does a strong El Niño mean for Pittsburgh snow? Historically it has meant less snow and a warmer winter. Across the nine winters NOAA's index classes as strong or very strong El Niño events, Pittsburgh averaged 31.2 inches of snow against a long-term mean of 42.9 inches. Eight of those nine finished below normal. Here is every one of them, with the airport's own measured total. The ONI peak is the highest three-month value the event reached, which is how NOAA classifies event strength. Winter ONI peak Class Pittsburgh snowfall vs 44.1" normal Dec-Feb temp 1957-58 +1.81 Strong 37.0" Below 28.5°F 1965-66 +1.98 Strong 48.0" Above 30.3°F 1972-73 +2.12 Strong 26.3" Below 31.9°F 1982-83 +2.23 Very strong 30.1" Below 34.1°F 1987-88 +1.70 Strong 35.1" Below 30.2°F 1991-92 +1.71 Strong 33.9" Below 33.4°F 1997-98 +2.40 Very strong 24.2" Below 36.3°F 2015-16 +2.75 Very strong 29.6" Below 34.9°F 2023-24 +2.06 Strong 16.3" Below 38.4°F
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...they remind me of Jets fans lol..
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Thanks for setting the record straight
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Typical Strong (and super strong) EL Nino climo seems to have become established much sooner and more quickly than previous events but this shouldn't be shocking given how much earlier this Nino materialized, how rapidly it strengthened, and the general state of the PAC all-together. All this talk around of PV split and blah and NAO this and AO that...if people are thinking that is going to net a colder pattern or a stormier pattern for our region I think they're mistaken. People automatically assume these configurations automatically equate to Northeast weather...they are just as big of a player on the pattern across Europe.
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All time El Nino... 76-77 Montreal...
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bncho, the voice of reason.
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2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Tyler Penland replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
RIP to the NAM. Retired today. Where will we get our blown-out-of-proportion snow total maps from this year? -
What does your modeling method show for December?
- Today
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We may keep this stretch of weather well into the second half of the month...obviously with some "cooler" periods with any weak fronts. But its pretty crazy being in November and a cold FROPA still results in temperatures above climo
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At least it's a good zzzz
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This weather has been too good for too long. I'm afraid of what might happen when the rubber band snaps. That said, damn it's nice out
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0.01% chance...
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High of 79, AC is on again.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Typhoon Tip replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
heh, it'd be nothing shy of marvelous if in the face of all ... nothing exceptional worth turd of mention actually happened through April. that would be sooo awesome -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Typhoon Tip replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
heh ... ever get the sense we'll be in here 71 days from now still assessing all these ways to get a winter outside the windows while we're rolling up seasonally blunted heat wave after heat wave... -
I saw mine doing that the other day. We have had 3 freezes here, but maybe they had seeded
