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31/29, sleet / freezing rain mix 1.2" before mixing with sleet

Hushed silence across the eastern United States coming soon as the Euro initializes and Skynet gets plugged in and initialized.

Personally, and it’s likely meaningless, I think you’re in one of the better spots for anyone west of the bay.

Already positive changes. Steeper ridge out west. More phased/slightly sharper trough. A little more spacing with the eventual 50/50 low.

+PNA stronger, heights much better downstream as well

CAB time over and soon it’s what actually occurring to sw . 11am-4pm Sun likely tells the tale of either 1-2” mixed slop or 7” of snow and see what happens later. . I don’t know about the myth that because it’s Nina then low pressures can’t be strong. Mostly Nina just prevents them from ever existing to begin with

WB 18Z GEFS members about 22 (73%) are big hits for the entire region. Impressive.

thing that is worrisome is its going to be a heavy wet snow with high winds that causes problems .

Euro more phased at hour 12

I mean basically every recent model suite is showing a minimum of 10”

He’s not in here, you do it

I think they should be conservative...unless you are along the coast and NE bound there is certainly a way you stay well below double digit snow totals IMHO!

See what happens when you a have a pna

I'm in here just waiting to see when your going to smash your accordion.

The EURO caved to the GFS.

A few weeks ago 18-20

That’s what everyone want’s to see starting at 0z. Since the NAM is still outside its best under 48 hr range and it hasn’t had an update since 2017. Plus the OP GFS is still more amped than the other operational guidance. But I can see a meet in the middle scenario where we come in under than the OP GFS snowfall totals but higher than some of the other operational runs. We should have a good idea after the 0z to 12z guidance.

He is under an umbrella

Randy is with umbrella boy, you take it bud. Just get it right.

Well, just like us knowing last night with some of the models showing the storm getting much closer, but most of the media outlets, meteorologist, etc were being very conservative and very careful. They're also being very careful with accumulation amounts for the storm here in Connecticut. I'm just waiting for the NWS in Boston to hoist winter storm watches for the rest of Connecticut and most of Massachusetts. Maybe they're thinking that things will change again and they don't want to put up the watches yet? Or maybe because we're too far from the event ( I would think by tomorrow morning they'll be hoisted )

We kinda live there… not the high elevations but my 900 feet couldn’t hurt.

well here’s another possibility that the GFS is wrong

Candidate for a podcast/ or radio show

Yes, though that doesn't explain it being substantially wetter than most of the other guidance alongside its snow depiction. In fact, in recent storms outside of Jan '22, the GEFS is seemingly more often than not further south with its precip extent.

Who’s PBPing HH Euro? @stormtracker