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Maybe the heat from the continents is heating the western basins more quickly? The same thing seems to be happening in the Western Atlantic.

Man wish I could go to the beach.

Still a decent chance, probably based more on Kansas and the Colorado Front Range based on climo. Good luck.

Saturday still very much a question mark. The nams look nothing alike

We are

Another so-so call here. Was expecting something a bit more robust. Instead LP will run the OHRV along a boundary as HP hovers over the Lakes. A CAN system will enter the sub over the weekend with another LP coming in from the SW wrapping up over the Lakes is what it looks like. That's closer to what I was keyed in on, just too early. Being off by 24-48 hrs is pretty typical in my casts.

Absolutely - would be nice to run this weather through Labor Day

Tomorrow looks interesting along and just north of front tomorrow.

Just go by actual temperature history, no summer in recent memory can hold a candle to 1993, 1999, 2002 or 2010.

I wonder if this is a yearly pattern now, with heat going to the western part of the continent. We just do not get super hot summers here like 1993 and 2010 were. Posting that temperature record from July 9, 1993 from JFK is quite the revelation.

Yeah, it runs on the 5th of every month and this summer update was just released a few hours ago.

Let's see if we can get it to match what I just posted from July 1993.

We’ll see how the averages stack up for June. I’ll bet every major observing site in Pennsylvania is above normal when it all shakes out.

100 degrees with a 58 dew point and a 25% humidity and a NW to W wind is my perfect summer day !!

that doesn't address what i said

sounds like the start to a traditional English breakfast.

May I introduce you to July 9, 1993? One of my epic greatest summer days in the history of New York City! Here is the JFK record from that historic day. It was still 90 degrees there at 11 pm after getting over 90 degrees by 10 AM haha. And you thought JFK was cool ;-) https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KJFK/date/1993-7-9 6:00 AM 77 °F 72 °F 84 % W 5 mph 0 mph 29.92 in 0.0 in Fair 7:00 AM 80 °F 74 °F 81 % W 5 mph 0 mph 29.93 in 0.0 in Cloudy 8:00 AM 86 °F 72 °F 63 % NW 12 mph 0 mph 29.94 in 0.0 in Fair 9:00 AM 89 °F 70 °F 53 % N 13 mph 0 mph 29.95 in 0.0 in Fair 10:00 AM 91 °F 66 °F 43 % N 7 mph 0 mph 29.96 in 0.0 in Fair 11:00 AM 96 °F 65 °F 36 % NW 10 mph 0 mph 29.95 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 12:00 PM 98 °F 62 °F 30 % NW 9 mph 0 mph 29.95 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 1:00 PM 99 °F 59 °F 26 % NNW 10 mph 0 mph 29.94 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 2:00 PM 97 °F 60 °F 29 % NNW 12 mph 0 mph 29.93 in 0.0 in Fair 3:00 PM 100 °F 58 °F 25 % NW 12 mph 0 mph 29.92 in 0.0 in Fair 4:00 PM 99 °F 59 °F 26 % WNW 14 mph 0 mph 29.90 in 0.0 in Fair 5:00 PM 100 °F 58 °F 25 % W 12 mph 0 mph 29.89 in 0.0 in Fair

Heat drives the weather, oceans store enormous amounts of heat and the western Pacific is currently where that stored heat is greatest in our largest ocean basin, so it drives the weather patterns. We may be in a long term -PDO cycle but I’m pretty confident CC is driving it to some degree. Someone who studies this more closely can definitely elaborate more.

Stop deflecting and diverting. Is it okay to study data for the existence of biases, errors, or mistakes and make the appropriate corrections or not?

what is causing the western flow up there but not down here?

That euro seasonal is a blowtorch for the country

How does the ECMWF season run , is it monthly?

NYC doing okay compared to LGA so far

83/66

The colors used to represent the temperatures are ridiculous and misleading. It's an obvious ploy to make things look as if the world is on fire. Go back to a chart made 20 years ago and the color representations aren't nearly as extreme.