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(Added this to the fall thread ) - Finished up August with 2.57" of rain and only 3, 90+ degree days. Final tally for JJA was 13.60" of rain and 26 days of 90+ (including the 1st triple digit day -100- since 2012). After a low of 54 yesterday, made it up to 78 for a high. Currently 60 with dp a pleasant 56.

Finished up August with 2.57" of rain and only 3, 90+ degree days. Final tally for JJA was 13.60" of rain and 26 days of 90+ (including the 1st triple digit day -100- since 2012). After a low of 54 yesterday, made it up to 78 for a high. Currently 60 with dp a pleasant 56.

High 75 at O'Hare yesterday. I'll be leaving Chicago shortly.

If there is a la nina, then hope for something weak (like 17-18). A moderate la nina is not going to be favorable for the winter (like 11-12 and 22-23).

so above normal for the month in the west and northeast that i find hard to believe..

we take! I wont try to wishcast this one though

I honestly can’t believe how the end of summer has played out, and seemingly the beginning of fall. For me, it doesn’t get better this time of year. It’s been absolutely beautiful. I haven’t been around much but I’m coming back, I just have to catch up in a few threads for a while. I’m growing excited to see where the rest of this year takes us, into next year.

A lot of disparity in the forecasts this month. Even the CPC's outlook released today looks crazy based on how the 1st half of the month will likely turn out (especially in the NW).

I sort of expect a mid-month reversal from west/warm east/cool to the opposite, but perhaps the west will hold on to warmth anyway, going to go with 1.0 _ 1.0 _ 1.0 _ 1.5 _ 1.5 _ 1.5 _ 2.0 _ 2.0 _ 2.0

Complete fantasy land but it’s not often you see a model run with a left hook into NE

DCA: -2.6 NYC: -2.0 BOS: -1.6 ORD: -3.5 ATL: -0.8 IAH: -0.1 DEN: +0.5 PHX: +0.4 SEA: +3.0

Some 0Z models: -GFS has a MH that goes E of Bermuda but then gets blocked by a big high -Like for the 12Z, the 0Z UKMET text has no TC. I’ll see how the maps look when they come out. The 12Z was kind of wacky with two weak lows. -CMC again has a possible TD in the E MDR that weakens later. -0Z JMA goes out only 72 hours. -So, Icon, GFS, UKMET, and CMC are fairly similar at 0Z to their respective 12Z runs. Next up is the all-knowing Euro!

What about the interior then? Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Happy meteorological Autumn

Happy meteorological Autumn

DCA: -2.5 NYC: -1.6 BOS: -0.9 ORD: -2.6 ATL: -0.8 IAH: +05 DEN: -0.6 PHX: +0.7 SEA: +1.9

Every FSU fan too!!!!

44.4F Labor Day morning

I agree, but the distance between “official” reference points across the northwestern part of Massachusetts leaves a lot of gaps.

We multiple stations across W MA

Even if we did, I'll take my chances on more snowfall than last year.

When I was researching 10mb events, about Sept 25 is when bigger things start to occur. In late Sept/Oct the correlation with warm Stratosphere to -NAO is actually +60 days! So a warming event would predict a -NAO in late November or December. Cold Stratosphere/+AO is +0 days, right to the surface, as it is the whole cold season.

We shall inevitably revisit this post again on Halloween, Christmas and perhaps Valentine’s Day and get a good chuckle out of it. At least the a/cs get a respite for the time being.

August finishes the 13th straight month with +SOI, albeit weak