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  2. Summer convection is so fickle. The plot of soil moisture anomalies is pretty textbook across the eastern half of the country. Tons of sporadic wet/dry signals within close proximity to each other. Only a few larger areas noteworthy for widespread wet top layer soil conditions. Need a broader synoptic scale disturbance to provide a more widespread convective threat followed by stratiform to get things to be evenly distributed. Could use one of those remnant tropical disturbances that have been lacking in these parts, outside that sweep over from Ida.
  3. Bozeman also seems to have set a new all-time high today of at least 106 (previous record was 105).
  4. Yeah, as long as it’s warm enough inside not to freeze pipes… cooler weather is definitely an easier time to lose power. Especially after an October snowstorm because it won’t be deep cold afterwards. Just cold enough to put perishables outside in the snow.
  5. I'm just thinking a 82-83, 97-98, 15-16 monster North Pacific High low pressure may be a thing of the past. Those were monster troughs, Super El Nino driven. Does the PDO really make that much of a difference? -PDO strongest 3 El Nino's. A little different south of the Aleutians lol
  6. Gorgeous day to sit by and in the pool. Pool temps were about 80 degrees, which felt much better than last weekend's 90 degree pool temps. Hopefully next weekend I will have time again to sit poolside, in the pool.
  7. Well, that slow change may just be as a result of the fast warming. Give it some time before dropping the lifeboats.lifeboat. Edit: Iow, the atmosphere just may need time to catch up to a Niño that has warmed as fast as this one.
  8. Maybe neutral in the Pacific. It's all High pressure at the very end Even a "Weak Nino" should be spinning up a low somewhere in the N. Pacific right now. We are obviously in a pattern that is more dominant
  9. It all went outside in the snow . Put everything into coolers in the snow which lasted for several days and even when it melted it still stayed in the 40’s mainly
  10. Did you also send out Happy Power Outtage cards??? "Wishing You All The Best With Your Spoiled Food!".....
  11. When it happens ( and it will) and hopefully in my lifetime)…it is going to be a month or more in some places . If you throw a 1938.. or even a Connie or Diane or even a high end 1/ low end cat 2.. the damage will be catastrophic
  12. I agree, but there are signs of troughiness forming in the east and ridging out west on the 12z Eps. You can see it happening if you put this link in motion. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=eps&region=namer&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026071212&fh=0
  13. High of 84, well below the 92 forecasted. Had a severe warned storm move through that did not produce severe conditions but did drop .74" of much needed rain. Point up to 99 tomorrow. Gonna be brutal... currently 73.
  14. Well if you like outages don’t worry. A bona fide hurricane up here would collapse the grid.
  15. Yesterday
  16. We lost it for 3.5 days that next summer with the tropical storm and that was a bit more tricky with food , beer and refrigeration. But we made it work
  17. 2 flood watches in the past two weeks. Maybe some light showers.
  18. 8 days. It was awesome and something I look forward to again . Power outages are awesome . It’s why you always see me saying “ YES!!” Or congrats !! When folks post that they lost power. It’s legitimately a happy feeling
  19. To be fair, DIT lost power for like a week in the October 2011 snowstorm and not once do I remember him complaining about it, ha.
  20. Within 24 hours he'd be complaining about the power not being restored...
  21. Difficult to say without seeing a photo....Hopefully it is not a deer tick...
  22. Least yall are getting something,boundary around Mid Tn with a weak surface low seemingly
  23. Wow, Miles City got up to at least 115 today and Billings 111. Both all-time highs by a margin of 3-4 degrees.
  24. What a gorgeous day. Played 18 and then my wife and I cruised up Cold Hollow Cider Mill and looped back through Stowe and Morrisville for a late Sunday afternoon ride. Beautiful out.
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