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My office window was right over West St looking right at the N tower. The glass fell like confetti, and as we departed the building onto Vesey, there were bodies all over the place. Saw things that will forever be etched in my mind. People jumping, hearing bodies hit the glass overhangs. Lost friends who were just getting their families started. I have struggled with PTSD, and subsequently was diagnosed with Parkinson’s disease. Unfortunately PD is not covered by the victims compensation fund. Very lucky to have gotten out. Never forget

The weekend will start dry. However, rain will likely develop tomorrow night. In general, the temperature should top out in the upper 70s with lower 80s possible in the warmest spots this weekend. A period of rain is likely Saturday night into early Sunday. The potential exists for 0.50" or more rainfall. Highs could fall to the lower 70s for Monday and Tuesday before rebounding briefly toward 80° by mid-week. A fresh shot of cool air could arrive late in the week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.7°C for the week centered around September 2. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.12°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.57°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The Region 1+2 anomaly surpasses the all-time record of +4.5° that was set during the week centered around June 29, 1983. The SOI was -28.88 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.897 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 54% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 69.5° (0.3° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

RRFS went Stein latest run . H cubed is a few hours of downpours

You can slap me silly if Sunday brings the violence here

Pretty much....I would push back a hair with regard to snowfall, though...1982 was just about normal.

Just not meant to rain here! Uggg

The end is nigh

That's got to be exclusively 72/73 as DCA & BWI ended the winter with only 1-2" while parts of VA & NC had a record year.

Don’t do it

Violence ??

Hit 99 at 2:25pm. Been at 98 for over an hour. Wonder if this line will bring a cooldown.... if it reaches me. animated (3).mov

We need the violence.

I'm locking in an inch. Stein be damned

It did. The terrible attacks have left a scar that won’t ever fully heal.

CPC still says wet 6-10 day and 3-4 week, 8-14 day...... Let me think for a while.

how

The issue I have regarding optimism for this winter is the more fruitful super El Niño analogs are still AN to well AN temp and slightly BN snow. A middle ground solution between the best case analogs and worst case would still be a ratter. I don’t see a path to a good winter with super El Niño, I see a path to a non ratter, but an actual good winter no.

Meso models starting to look violent. Could this be???

Including an all-timer. Rooting for that 89"-er, lol.

Today is our record 39th consecutive 90+ degree day. I think the normal amount per year is 47. We are at 73. Really sick of this.

Self-respect?

what's in it for me?

You are giving yourself too much credit. I don't need you to help me formulate a valid idea of how this season is going to progress....I'm merely giving you an opportunity to at least feign an interest in contributing anything of value.