All Activity

Anthony, today’s NAO forecast is consistent with yesterday’s (bad/+): Yesterday’s GEFS: Today’s GEFS:

This is incredible stuff JNS, just outstanding. I’ve known about the MDT/CXY seasonal and diurnal temperature differences you outlined but never laid it out so eloquently and obviously didn’t have the data to back it up. The other data you put meaning to is fascinating as well. Excellent work all the way around. I did want to mention that we’ve had several discussions over the years about the Harrisburg climate site changing locations but no one has ever done a deep dive on the data as you have here. Tremendous work and extremely informative. You have a real talent for this. Bravo, good sir.

I mean when are we talking here? Or is this just fantasy?

Delicious! One of my favorite things to do for dinner on Friday nights is prepare a chicken and flank steak and create a little "Build your own burrito bowl" station in the kitchen and everyone can customize. We get Guatemalan crema from the local Hispanic market 2 minutes from the house. On nice days, I'll just walk there. Fresh cut veggies and cilantro lime rice as the base.....incredibly good! Gotta make fresh pico de galo too!!

I am gonna try it lol. Got pretty solid reviews.

lol

Ya we normally be eating protein like chicken or steak with rice or something at home. Tonight we eating chimichurri steak bites over rice and a salad for a side.

Crazy thing is how warm the first half of that October was...maybe right through the 20th. I just remember sitting in Calculus class with shorts and a t-shirt at The Cann.

Hmm, maybe he's thinking of a different storm? Sounds like they way overmeasured on that one lmao. I mean, assuming it really was done at the same place as it was done from 2000-2012 then I don't see why you wouldn't use it...just be leery of the totals in some cases which it seems you're already aware.

Sure does

Sausage, egg and cheese McMuffin is my morning road trip breakfast whenever I know I'm about to drive more than 3 hours. The sausage, egg and cheese biscuit from Chick Fil A is also pretty solid, but messier. I liked the Big Arch burger as far as fast food burgers go. It still cannot compare to a local spot, as you mentioned. Those are just another level of good. I'm a sucker for a Monday burger special

Have you at least made a day trip up further in The Northland during winter to see the truly deep stuff?

March 32nd snow is the best!!!

Can we get another screamer ?

Another thing i just discovered is that there was a moderate event BEFORE the major halloween snow bomb of 2011. I can't believe that. I have to re-do that storm completely because a lot of the coop and cocorahs data i used overlapped for both events. When i've been doing these extremely anomalous late or early events in Oct/Nov or Apr/May i usually assume there is no storms that overlap on almost the same day or day before/after. Clearly i was wrong to assume that. On Oct 27th 2011 there was a 0-7" interior event that covered the Worcester hills, Berkshires and bled into NW CT in the Litchfield hills.

No way it dropped the idea of our late March storm in one run. Unpossible.

March 2026 is likely going to finish the warmest March on record for CONUS

Seems like they're all clueless to varying degrees.

The official number for BDL for that storm is 12.3" in the climo data. The PNS has 20.3 lol, which i threw out. I'm just using whats in the F6 which is 12.3 for that date. So do you think i should or should not use E. Granby for BDL from that period 96-00 when BDL is missing? It sounds like the answer is no.

And it's already been solidly above average over halfway through the month. Quite a different pattern from what we saw this winter with parts of the Northeast actually experiencing the greatest temp departures from normal in the lower 48.

GFS with a last scoop of the winter.

GEFS look good

And add 5-10 degrees to those temps this time of year with no leaves on the trees and where winds aren’t onshore.

God I have fought this war for decades and been chastised by many for my thoughts. Thank you

I am beyond tired of seeing those maps... They are of little value to most folks; and grossly misunderstood... We have been in and out of moderate to severe drought levels for the past several years. And yet, here we are with solid water supplies and no water jug filling lines forming at the neighborhood fire hydrant.