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The Limited Fine Mesh...

@Brian5671 don't be jealous

Looks boring for awhile

Low of 52 with .46” of rain.

Yea the rain was west, then disappeared when it came to Long Island, except the far east where it came back.

0.83 this morning. I win!

Yea, I'm been trying to get it ...entered 70N/20N an 100E/60W. Must be doing something wrong.

I selected custom for the map view and entered the coordinates.

0.5" in Holyoke, no interesting winds or anything. I'll take the rain tho.

Notable left trend on FNV3 (Google DeepMind ensemble) from 12z run yesterday to today's 6z run - both in terms of the the members that show a sharp NE curve into Hispaniola being further west (Haiti vs. DR) and a lot more members turning west into the NW Caribbean

If I put 2 buckets outside, I think both would equal 40" for the year if it was 57 degrees outside or 54.

We would get occasional months where some part of the area would get with 10” since 2003. The last month for us was August 2024 and at MPO May 2025. Many spots have been well below 40” over the last 12 months. My area has only had around 32” in the last 12 months which is too dry in this much warmer climate. In the old days we could get away with some drier years since a cooler climate didn’t dry out so quickly during the warm season. Long range precipitation forecasting is very uncertain. So we can’t say based off one year that the wet pattern since 2003 has shifted. But the current dry pattern since September 2024 has been defined by storms underperforming model forecasts like we are seeing today. We will know that this drought is over when and if the storms start beating model expectations. It will probably lead to someone getting near or over 10” on the month and repeated very wet months. Since in the warmer climate we need something closer to 50” due to the much warmer summers drying things out very quickly.

Stuck patterns FTW. You really can’t go wrong betting on continuity this decade if you’re a seasonal forecaster.

Yep onto November

If that person prefers covered chins over covered feet it was well worth the cut.

Most systems get closed between now and like Nov 10th. Get it fixed when it is getting closed for winter or in the Spring when opening.

Overdone EC/EPS late last week for this morning in terms of SE BL inflow and associated rainfall... Block continues into November, even in its weakened state in early Nov. sometime between Oct 28-Nov 3 maybe something pretty strong? No promises and not self evident in the ops. Am back from this past weekend near CMH with bumpy flight return last evening in OH/PA. Indian marriage celebration... pretty cool.

0.63" at a station 1 mile from my house. Not bad for 2 hours

Fermi Paradox explanation, incarnate if you ask me. It is a personal hypothesis of mine; in it's simplest preface states, 'the species evolves the ability, and then the ability unwittingly devolves the species'. Which yet even more succinctly equates to, 'evolution emerges the devolution of the species' Whether there is any veracity to that idea or not, we cannot deny the intuitive suspicious, nor the outright observation of the 'emerging Idiocrasy' phenomenon. Maybe human evolution has reached the point whence the Law of Diminishing Returns has kicked it. The law of diminishing returns, often referred to as the law of lessening returns, states that if you keep increasing one factor of production while keeping others constant, the additional output gained from each new unit of that factor will eventually decrease... I mean ... we can see that with a modest interpretation of that we might be observing how more and more provision of resource, both physical or informed, is resulting in less productivity ( perhaps a perversion of "intelligentsia" for this context - coming back from the people being effected by all that provision. Or maybe that's twisting things too much. Either way, I've been finding that via vis-à-vis with humanity, the ideas above don't even get comprehended on the first pass like they did decades ago. I'm old enough to remember a time when a mere water cooler discussions like that among sincere head nodders. Now, you get a more gape jawed stares. Maybe in some physics sense it is also entropy growing within the system - I kind of like that actually. Because we learn via formal academia that entropy does in fact gain in every system that exists in nature. So why would the evolutionary process not have to pay the cosmological tax of disorder. interesting

Make that 34.3.! also put on a new pool cover for my above ground and the wind took it off last night.28.6 gust! Need more string and tie downs! .

With 98L's increased organization in the past 12 hours, the hurricane models finally seem to be getting a better handle on its track and intensification. https://x.com/yconsor/status/1980253973345923256

A sprinkler valve broke last night and I'm not handy with those, so rest assured that it will absolutely be the Atacama Desert around here until I'm able to get someone in to repair it.

Nothing really interesting in the long range. Melissa OTS. Boredom remains.

SST Anomaly