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Sheesh.
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Beautiful 76 an sunny out right now. Been a while with weather like this. Last summer we had a lot of days like this thrown in between the heat. Feels great!
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
- Yesterday
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JB already foretold this a couple hours ago. He didn't need all those fancy graphics though, just knowing hurricanes was enough for The Maestro. I've got a good feeling, like last year I'm gonna go big on the snow totals contest.
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
This run shows "Gabrielle" and "Humberto" on ket at the very end of the GIF -
Trimming the fat off the bone
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Got a little rain - huh
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Just like any organization the reorganization hurts. Cutting fat off the bone is not easy
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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We've had a hostile Arctic this late Spring/Summer so far It's been pretty amazing to not break 2012's arctic ice melt record for 13 years now. Since 2012, here are the analogs to pattern: Following Winter: It seems to "snap back" in the Winter, with -AO
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nice to see la-la land firing up some big 'uns. otherwise it's Stein and HHH talk
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I’m keeping the climate change/power sources posts, someone else can do what they want with them, but the posts that turn it into diatribes about politics that always lead to trolling and bickering, are beyond ridiculous. IMO if it’s a constructive discussion that’s fine and it’s a slow weather period; when it devolves into ridiculousness it has no place here.
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Which one's a fish?
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Got an inch in 30 minutes earlier today with a storm. Lots of thunder now but it's to my SW so that one is likely going to miss me. There's a bit more convection in Ky north of me.
- 222 replies
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Backloaded season https://x.com/BenNollWeather/status/1953112580047946007 Ben Noll @BenNollWeather 8h New ECMWF velocity potential outlook for the heart of hurricane season hints at the potential for a backloaded season, with forcing over Africa and the Atlantic during October. September *could* start with conditions that are less conducive to storms before ramping up.
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PSU says no, as of now he's not expecting a non winter but snow will still be below normal.
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2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Since 2012, this is what the following Winter looks like in years with -SLP May-Aug 60-90N vs +SLP (anomaly map below is showing negative base, with both sides included). This is why I think the Euro seasonal has that pressure map in the Pacific despite -PDO, and why the CPC is going cooler.