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12Z EPS held onto its 0Z significantly colder temps vs 0Z GEFS. But also, 12Z GEFS came in significantly colder than 0Z GEFS: 0Z GEFS: 12Z GEFS: colder/in EPS direction: 12Z GEPS came in much colder than 0Z GEPS: 0Z GEPS: 12Z GEPS: colder than 0Z GEPS

That’s one helluva band right through ALB airport area.

this whole thing is essentially waa.

Kraft or die.

Icon getting interesting for the coast

Radar looks good, early weenie waa will make or break

Hopefully

Lots of posters will be disappointed if Stowe doesn't add onto their record or near-record early season snow pack with a favorable pattern for NNE out as far as the eye can see.

Truth. A hot thread during winter is generally a great thing!

Where do I sign up for my 2 feet lol

18z ICON for the win

Where do you want the low to be?

The Kluber Met for LOT clearly suffering PWSSD- post traumatic winter storm stress disorder. Whole AFD is basically detailing potential fail modes. Last 5-7 seasons have done damage. Can’t blame him.

Congrats PVD on 18z ICON

The models make as much sense as the Ravens play calling lol

Ugh.

Probably more likely than normal that we see some snow. Very volatile weather pattern though

Icon south again basically in line with euro now.

Always reliable back-end snow.

Split forcing between the Maritime Continent and the Western Hemisphere appears to be causing an interference pattern resembling a phase 6 in early December. It could also be why the models have been showing so much volatility between runs over the last week as we head into December. A Northeast Pacific +TNH with a a cold upper low centered near Hudson Bay more closely resembles a phase 6 composite. So trying to guess what composite or pattern we end up with in mid to late December is anyone’s guess at this point. We will just have to let things play out next few weeks to see which area of forcing eventually wins out.

You must be hating life.

Snowing pretty good.

Verbatum, this from GYX reads like it would be an 8-hour storm. I thought it was moving more slowly than that. Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Tuesday Snow likely, mainly after 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Tuesday Night Snow likely, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 36.

Just looking at the euro, 925 is actually out of the SW prior to the storm. Gets it to near 1c. Feel like any snow is at the tail end around here when it drops to near freezing.

US 22 W in Gallitzin is closed. Sounds like a squall blew through and collected a ton of cars. In other news, water is wet, the sky is blue, and the Eagles offense FN STINKS.