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12z ICON would be 3" - 6" of cold powder on a weekend.

Gfs overdoes that sometimes

Weekend snowfall totals: Click map to enlarge.

WTTTY it was coming. Scott did not know!

This is a decent chart.

Icon jumped north, more Euro-like. I tend to think of the AI models as predictive of a way to show the most likely direction the OP models will trend. I would tend to think significant snowfall is much more likely North of Charlotte

I’m certainly not writing off the possibility, just skeptical right now.

I think you meant 2003. PD 2023 was a torch, lol.

I mentioned this in a post a few days ago. Throw quantum into the mix, then what do we have? It either takes the fun out of this hobby...or maybe we don't sweat over the models and just enjoy the weather when it happens. Do private forecast firms go by the wayside? Related...I feel bad the those who recently learned to write basic code at their local community college.

Congrats RIC

Not on the AI ensembles . Loaded with gulf moisture. Regular models overdoing confluence as they are bias to do

Also you know its a real threat when we got a bunch of mets posting in the thread!

I could do it. I don't mind the superstition BS. If I create it and it dies, just call me stormTrasher. har har har

I admit this exceeded my expectations. Did not think the temp would drop that quickly and it came down good.

That’s my thought as well and I hope I’m thinking too warm

Better each run.

Quick hit. Not great but a big improvement both H5 and surface.

Icon is improved. Less confluence.

Definitely. Especially given that we got every solution on the table, from cutter to suppressed.

I'd definitely try this time lol.

ICON is a huge improvement. Moved towards the AI models. Game tiem!

Icon is improved. Less confluence.

Suppression threat is real.

Have Randy start it