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  2. Record latest freeze watch for MSP. November 18th is the date to beat.
  3. I can see 50"-80" from my house but will have to deal with only 20"-50"...
  4. Low of 50. A perfect ten today, whether that means the weather or your lady I’ll let up to you to decide. Happy Friday.
  5. Cosgrove for NE US: after a mild DJ is going for frigid Feb and cold Mar.
  6. Thank goodness the models will be coming out an hour earlier starting next week!
  7. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  8. It's been one of the most beautiful Octobers that I can remember. Arctic blue sky, perfect temps, no rain. It's not that dry. The trails i hike in the woods are moist like they usually are from November to May. The shorter days and low sun angle doesn't dry things out.
  9. Hopefully this one does not vaporize as well.
  10. Do we actually have Euro/GFS agreement for the end of next week
  11. There was literally a generational blizzard ongoing last February, and he was posting images illustrating how the magnitude of that the anomaly paled in comparison to the warmth in the southwest....love-ya-mean-it, Chris...but wow-
  12. I love a lot of his data, but the instinct to compulsively extinguish any potential hope for winter is uncanny....it's like Robo Cop or Terminator...whereas you don't even have to explicitly express optimism, but if his sensors flag data he perceives as something that could theoretically engender even a modicum of hope, he pounces.
  13. Woke up to a thunderstorm in Henderson, NV. Why did I have to come here for weather? I'm in a state of disbelief at the stretch of weather back east. Has it rained there the past 2 weeks?
  14. If a cold November is correlated with a cold winter, then there's no reason why snow in November should be correlated with a warm winter. Probably coincidental in my view.
  15. Jesus, Chris....we get it. There's no hope. "My beach umbrella is bigger than your snow shovel"
  16. Today
  17. SWS for Wildfire today because I don't think it's rained here in a month. The point and click also removed all mentions of rain for the next week. The next precipitation I see here may be snow.
  18. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  19. Looks like HGR will end up with a top 20 warmest Oct (58.4 Mean as of yesterday) but they had one day with what I remember to be severe related qpf so not near any monthly records at 2.33" total.
  20. Based on your graph, the 0Z 10/30 Euro is calling for the avg of Nov 1-15 to be ~-1 m/s. That’s ~16 lower than the next lowest for any Nino since 1950 (2009), which was near +15, and ~26 lower than the avg for El Niño since 1950: 26: projected -1 per 0Z 10/30 Euro op 09: +15 04: +16 58: +17 06: +18 Avg Nino +25 *Edit: 0Z 10/30 Euro ens mean ~0
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