All Activity

I had a similar thought about cold chasing moisture, especially east of the Apps and double especially east of the taller Apps down in my neck of the woods. Every model run in history overestimates how fast the cold gets over the mountains and frequently hallucinates phantom snow. Since the AIs are trained on historical data one would think that this bias should go poof on an AI model.

Finally made it to the bottom of the thread. First, I want to reiterate that people clear the vents on the sides of their houses!!!! Our daughter goes to URI and lives in Matunuck. This is a photo of her car at 2:30 on Monday. She is guessing 30ish inches. We tried to convince her to 'evacuate' to Stowe on Sunday morning but she was worried about missing classes. Some random other thoughts: We are so lucky this storm was snow and not rain. Regarding the plows getting pulled off the streets: I saw a video of a stuck municipal plow spinning their tires and thought "They must be waiting for Amazon to deliver their tire chains." For the people who are annoyed about being 'missed' by the huge snowfall amounts: We are 6 miles from Stowe Mountain. I love when the mountain gets 10 inches overnight and we have maybe an inch in the driveway. Go help the people who are buried dig out. For the record, Stowe Vermont also received 0.0 inches from the storm "Snow without skiing is dumb."

14-15 was hardly a nino and didn’t really fit the traditional standards of one (if it did then DCA would have had a far better season than BOS). the reason it was less of an analog IMO was because it had a warm pool spanning into Nino 4 and Nino 3.4 which really helps with late winter -epo development. just how i look at it, people can disagree here.

Are you in a sheltered area by any chance? You said 22-28 inches depending on drifting and accounting for compaction and being in a sheltered area could also affect this. I'm not sure how big N Prov is....maybe it was a very sharp cutoff? Even downtown PVD had some 36" readings which is even more than what I got.

Its a long shot and models still meh for the most part.. but Saturday has some potential I think. Euro also bumped north but has the storm forming off the Carolinas and heading out

I give this winter a solid "B" so far.....can't give it an "A" being at normal snowfall after getting boned on the '78 redux. Let's see what can. happen during the final stanza to move this up...

Good thing it was Cantore and not Bob Stokes

I have seen some debate if this was a Miller A or B or hybrid or what (which is not unusual). I'm beginning to wonder if how useful those categories really are, but I was under the impression that one of the hallmarks of a B was a Ohio Valley low that transfers, and I didn't think that there was one of those in this case. In your perception, what made this storm more "B-ish"?

And literally just like that the 12Z GFS shifted south into a weenie level end of season snow

It's no more than a "A" winter in my book. The drought of snow from Jan 23/25th to Feb 23/25th (Peak winter) with all that cold in place is why it will never be a A+. That is like your All Star batter belting .340 during the season then batting .250 during the playoffs. (Peak time) Sorry winter "A+" is for the elite...not failing at peak times. 28F @ 1:05PM/ Winds cranking a bit, colder than expected and thank God the Liquor store is open...

The 150 yd chicken trail was a bitch to shovel but the girls are happy

Drones eye view . Perfection. Looking like Duxbury VT not Duxbury MA .

TWC just mentioned another big storm possible next week.

Yes, all hail the great JMA.

You would think that this is the exact type of thing the the AI models would address? At least where I am the euro AI never really loved the blizzard and while I'm happy with my 16.3" it was not the 2 feet shown on many non-AI models. In some respects outside the immediate coast up through NYC-BOS the euro AI was closer to reality.

I didn't used 2014-2015 as a seasonal analog because of ENSO, but it was in my +TNH composite for latter January into February.

We unfortunately just had a triple phaser with the Halloween snow awhile back. I doubt we get another one for another 20-30 years. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Then how did I get only around 24 inches, also in North Providence? Wow, those bands can have such sharp cutoffs.

WB 12Z GEFS 1pm Monday

That event right before Christmas surprised me. Didn’t expect those amounts. With the exception of yesterdays event it’s been a season of overachievers

Yesterday’s storm makes this seasons total 49.3” #3 in my lifetime(1990-1991 was my first winter) behind 2010 and 1996. Both are out of reach but still this winter’s snowfall ranks ahead of many greats like 17-18, 13-14, 10-11, 02-03 in Levittown. edit: actually if the gfs comes to fruition we’d make a run at 2009-2010 here. That winter finished with 63.2” here.

Drone video from Scituate at peak, really impressive... no wonder 100% without power: https://twitter.com/accuweather/status/2026316284682760389?s=20 > 200k in EMA still without power on Eversource