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  2. Stormchaserchuck1
    It does correlate with following Winter NAO. Right now the Atlantic SST index is slightly negative Here is what you're looking for (default of map is positive phase, with both sides considered) Notice the Atlantic tripole
  3. Stormchaserchuck1
    ^Finally getting that El Nino below average temps around the Great Lakes
  4. IronTy
    Not enough attention is being paid to the spreading cold blob in the North Atlantic. What it means for us, I don't know. But fear not, I have my eye on it.
  5. ineedsnow
    ya its well above but only because of that one crappy week.. it hasn't been constant
  6. Stormchaserchuck1
    Might be another -AO vs +NAO type of scenario, but it's still early. Stronger El Nino going forward might disrupt the consistency over the Arctic, which is imo Solar related.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would take that. I'm thinking maybe one solid month of -NAO.
  8. Stormchaserchuck1
    Should be interesting to see how closely we follow 2015 when the QBO switches. I agree that it's the best ENSO/QBO combo. 23-24 and 72-73 look like good ENSO/PDO matches, although this one will probably be a stronger Nino. And of course 1997 is taking the lead in the subsurface. Next year we will start descending into more of a Solar Min.
  9. Stormchaserchuck1
    Since the Solar max in 2024, 3 straight Summers, or in this case early Summer, has had big time cold over the Arctic 60-90N relative to the global warming. I'm thinking that we are pretty close to 2024, 2025 so far.
  10. SEwakenosnowforu
    Saw the rain map on wral...once again...big totals east and especially west. We got screwed yet again
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    1972 and 1982 best for solar and 2015 best for QBO.
  12. WeatherGeek2025
    Longest day of the year tomorrow!
  13. Blizzard of 93
    Absolutely perfect Summer day. Acceptable temperatures, no humidity & a refreshing breeze!
  14. Yanksfan
    That monster warm blob has caused nothing but havoc with winter in the past several years in the northeast and mid Atlantic. If it takes a super ElNino to slay it while wrecking this upcoming winter in the process, so be it.
  15. Yardstickgozinya
    Picking up some LEMP's on my am frequencies. Definitely things trying to happen to the north from my viewpoint here in mechanicsburg. Sorry for the reflection in the picture.
  16. frd
  17. frd
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Tough for me to tell without monthly calculations, but it looks like 1957, 1982 and 2015 are good polar analogs.
  19. weathafella
    June has been well above normal. That’s not debatable.
  20. Baroclinic Zone
    Unless your pissing money away irrigating, lawns are toast here.
  21. Baroclinic Zone
    The lack of humidity has been great. Nice warm days and cooler nights. AC has been run sparingly.
  22. suzook
    Picked up a quarter inch after midnight, with more storms incoming. I mean, could someone turn off the rain machine in my area please?? Send it east where it's still needed.
  23. Stormchaserchuck1
    I'm really starting to miss the Daily Climate Composite maps, as current SSTA configurations could start giving us clues about the cold season NAO and WPO, and SLP maps over the Arctic, an indicator of cold season AO.
  24. ineedsnow
    How? It hasn't been bad at all yet and we had snow a few weeks ago
  25. Stormchaserchuck1
    Here's an interesting stat: 13 straight February's with +NAO (CPC). 10/13 have been >+1.00. For comparison, our last Winter month (DJFM) with any monthly NAO <-1.11 was Dec 2010.
  26. 40/70 Benchmark
    They still haven't calculated the QBO since February. What an absolute nightmare this administration is.
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