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Wrong thread and all the other crap, I know, but I'm just gonna leave this right here... It's never too early in my book and I know most of you are as nutty as me! lol. https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1Hdk5E2Wr6/

Heavy downpour from a small cell that popped up right over my yard.

Raining here.

On my bucket list.

We have been partly sunny since about 10am

I'll take it lock it in!!!! Lol

89/79/100 Push push

I don’t know but I will note that Nick was in MJO phase 3 when it hit NC/N TX. I didn’t include it in my S or C TX hit list though it almost could have been included.

0.02" in a passing shwr

Oh yeah brother now ur talking!!! If we got that.. this would be a happy. Group in here..... At least till January lol then we'd want more !

I agree I'd rather have numerous smaller events then one big one. Although u give me a 2 ft blizzard that would be good for the winter lol

Think this could nick out? nick 2021

Unpredictable

Recon just started so we're going to get a sense soon of what the structure of this is.

MATE DEEPMINDS HAD THIS ONE VOMITING IN THE GOA ON 29TH AUGUST

Oi lad what do you see this fella peaking at

Nope, this guy does the same song and dance every year. This is all you need to know:

Invest 98L up to 40% from 20%: recon in there now Southwestern Gulf (AL98): Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in association with an area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche. The low is forecast to move west-northwestward across the southwestern Gulf during the next day or so, where environmental conditions are marginally conducive for further development. A tropical depression could form before this system moves inland over northeastern Mexico or southern Texas by late Friday ending its chances for tropical development. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible along portions of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas over the next few days. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter is en route to investigate this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Radar is looking somewhat hopeful for Frederick and Carroll counties. Let’s see if it holds together for central MD.

Picked a good time to do outside lights in Plymouth....

Will be interesting to see where meteorological summer finishes up in the NOAA/NCEI statewide rankings. Ohio was in 4th place for June & July, with a mean of 74.5F. The hottest for that period since 1952, which was also 74.5F. Michigan was in a rather more pedestrian 13th place, with a mean of 68.6F (tied with 1931 & 1934). Through the first 13 days of August, I have the Ohio statewide mean at around 72.5F and Michigan at 70.9F. If those values hold, meteorological summer would come in at 73.8F for Ohio and 69.4F for Michigan. That would be the 4th hottest in both states (in Michigan tied with 1995; and in Ohio, tied with 1901, 1949, 2002 & 2010). For Ohio, that's 0.7F below the record hot summer of 1934. August's mean would need to come in ~2.1F higher than the current mean just to tie the record - the last 18 days would have to be absolutely blazing. So a record is very unlikely. For Michigan, however, the estimated current August temperature would yield a summertime mean just 0.2F below the existing record (1955 & 2005 tie), so August's mean would need to increase by ~0.6F to tie the record. Doable, but it would be a tall task as it has already been quite warm the first 13 days. And the last 18 days would need to be about 1F or so warmer to get the full month mean up another 0.6F. So unlikely to tie/break the existing record values, especially with cooler air returning to northern lower Michigan and the UP.

Maybe the Pitt thing was a false cover in the first place. He's actually in Tokyo perhaps.

This humidity blows

Followup: this looks like an AEW preceding the one the last two UKMET runs had with a TD forming 200 miles E of Guadalupe 12Z UKMET NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 168 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+168 : 16.4N 58.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 21.08.2025 168 16.4N 58.4W 1009 32

Now multiple areas in dauphin county have announced voluntary water restrictions due to lack of "productive rainfall". Seems Lancaster county is on a whole different planet compared to everyone else. Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk