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18z GFS beefs totals up again. If only it could be right.
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If this general pattern continues we will get a snowstorm.
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Thanks, I am an idiot and didn’t notice which run it was. Makes more sense now.
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You’re doing good, keep it up
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Newman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Extended pattern looks great if you're into cold and dry northwesterly flow with maybe an occasional clipper system potent enough to deliver C-2" of snow -
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I’m coming at this from the perspective of this setup was never really supposed to snow and it was only yesterday it even became a possibility due to out west trending better and emphasize shortwave 1, In a lot of ways it’s more practice than anything. Though I can’t lie and say my mood isn’t boosted by being 100 miles south of most posters.
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The Return of the 12/5 Snowstorm
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
That’s the 12z run he posted, 18z is better. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Lean back … lean back -
That was the significant north shift? It’s getting late, early for this one. I don’t like the trajectory. Needs to be more southwest to northeast.
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No! We've seen failures in shorter times. Lol
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18z rgem was also north. It more clearly is loosening the confluence vs recent runs. Can we sustain some positive trends for more than 1 cycle now?
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Not bad, norther this time
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It’s definitely getting harder to stay positive. But we’ve seen comebacks in shorter time, so we hang in there till at least 12z tomm
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
We all know this but his premise is true. We get smacked in the face more times than not but we still go back for it. If retired, it would probably be a much more enjoyable hobby. You don't have a time schedule. Anything goes. But if you are working and like sports and weather your brain is running 24/7 trying to keep up. Plus everyday crap.... -
Well
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Kitz Craver replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
GFS trying to Join the Norlun party, hanging a lil something back -
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GFS is def more expansive precip-wise but not sure it’s actually north. It does get around an inch into DC at least.
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On GFS It looks like there’s a piece of energy that has dove in over the past few runs from the lakes/midwest which is helping us. More interaction seems to be helping it spin up some.
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Hopefully the GFS run stops the downers from taking over the thread
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Good luck to those around DC and South. I hope you get on the board. I think for us northerners it's getting late pretty quick.
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Yes, 18z gives me 1.6" compared to 12z at .7"
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And much juicier down south. @Bob Chillgonna need to put the plow on his tractor.
