All Activity

Rayleigh scattering up the Ying Yang! Got to be a top fiverr. Best?

With that said, I did note a stunning reversal from the high heat and humidity with Saranac Lake plunging all the way to 34F this morning. That reading ties the daily record low set in 1914. The all-time record July monthly record low in the Saranac Lake threaded record is 29F, set on July 8, 1919. At the airport site, the all-time monthly record low is 32F, which has been set on more than one day, last on July 28, 2001. The all-time observed record low for the month of July in the state of New York is 25F, which was set at Allegany State Park, in Cattaragus County, on July 8, 1963.

Yeah, I am thinking that both could be related. Since the WPAC has been rapidly warming under that expanding subtropical ridge building into the mid-latitudes. On the Atlantic side it has been causing the -AOs and -NAOs to link with the Southeast Ridge. So it’s been muting the influence of the recent -EPOs, +PNAs, -WPOs, -NAOs, and -AOs. It causes storms to cut or hug instead of taking the traditional benchmark tracks. Leaves no room for trough development under the ridges. Since we just get a continuous ridge from the subtropics up into the Arctic.

how often mid to late july in nyc you get a gusty northeast wind from high pressure in eastern canada felt very refreshing..

From MU: Here’s a fun little stat: there have only been 3, 90-degree days at @millersvilleu so far this month. However, the high temp has reached 89F on an additional 8 days. One single degree is separating us from having 20, 90-degree days so far this season. Instead, there have been 12.

Also, highly questionable to call the Bay Area likely lived through their coldest summer on record. That's true only if your dataset begins in 2000. Prior to that date, these look like fairly typical temperatures. We can see between 1946 & 1982 (a period of 37 years), there were 19 years as cold or colder than this one at the airport. So this year has actually been above the median summer temperature for the mid to late 20th century. This looks more like typical engagement farming, hype-driven nonsense than an observation predicated on historical data. It's literally just summer. San Francisco Airport San Francisco Downtown

I had 78.2". DTW in a mini "screwzone" with 71.7", if you can call the 4th snowiest winter a screwzone.

The most amazing thing about the winters of 2009-10 and 2010-11 is how that much snow fell in such a short window of time. The snow during those winters ended abruptly (although 2011 did have a small storm on President's Day and a last hurrah at the end of March).

Absoutly glorious out watering the plants this morning. 76/61. The younger Ms. J was dropped off yesterday for a camp helper for pony camp. She hit the jackpot with this nicer weather. May even put the Catio out for the furballs.

The trend doesn't lie. If anything, this is more like the typical conditions that would have been present when Mark Twain famously quipped that the coldest winter he had ever experienced was a summer in San Francisco. I am assuming the weird anomaly in the 1980s & 1990s is due to a defective HO-83 hygrothermometer installation? I know they had a lot of problems with those reading high.

Looks like we’re going to be quiet for a while if we don’t get more homebrew off of a frontal boundary.

Low of 54.4° here at home (East Hartford) last night.

I compared the 0Z 7/22 GFS and Euro progged highs for ATL. Now I’ll do it for NC: 0Z 7/22 hottest highs for RDU/GSO/FAY: 0Z 7/22 GFS: RDU 102 (7/29), GSO 101 (7/29), FAY 104 (7/28) 0Z 7/22 Euro: RDU 98 (7/27); GSO 98 (7/27, 7/30, 7/31); FAY 100 (7/27) So, the 0Z 7/22 GFS’ hottest is hotter than that for the Euro by 3-4 F. That sounds quite familiar. Who do you favor? Based on many significantly too hot GFS runs and much closer Euro runs for the late June heatwave, I’m easily favoring the Euro for GSO/FAY. RDU is tricky though because of its often too hot sensor. So, I’ll go halfway between for RDU (what verified there in late June). So, I’m going 100 for RDU, 98 for GSO, and 100 for FAY as of now for a wild guess of the hottest of 7/27-31.

I left the window fans on in the chicken coop last night. The 40s were real to them.

perfect boating day. Instead, sitting in cube all day

Yea, I also feel the West Pacific being drastically different is a big reasony why the -NAO was abope to produce more readily that season compared to more recent ones.

Going to miss these 60s and 70s for sure. Haven't seen 80 in over a week up here

Picked up .56" from an very early morning thunderstorm which puts me at 4.89" for the month.

The only common thread between 10-11 and 24-25 was the La Niña mismatch. That’s why I mentioned that big caveat in my post that there were other things much different than 20-21, 17-18, and 10-11. A main reason we had the record 60”+ snows around NYC from 12-26-10 to 1-27-10 was the -NAO retrograding back west boosting the PNA enough to put us in business. You will notice we hardly snowfall during most of December and February when the PNA was so negative. That was the greatest 33 days of winter that I ever had the privilege to experience on Long Island. Unfortunately, things have shifted so much that I would be happy these days to get one third those amounts even in a whole season let alone one month. Hopefully, we can get some type of bounce off this record low snowfall pattern since 18-19 before we close out the 2020s.

66/53°F under clear skies, Should get to mid 70's today, Perfection.

14 years ago https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna43851978

We took the boat out of the water.. blue skies with white clouds rolling by. Perfect day today.

It's interesting for me ... ...just eyeballing the data over at climatereanalyzer.org's interface ... I've noticed this in the past and this above is reminding me. There seems to be a vague, albeit non-zero, positive correlation coefficient among the various years of the aggregate graph. Namely, a downward trend 'tendency' shared among them, around the last week of Junes through the first week's of Julys. Then, most years resume an upward result that arcs over an apex during the last week of July and first week ( ~) of August. The latter is understandable and intuitive. But why there'd be this subtle tendency to offset seasonal rise around July 1 ... it may be just sample size related, true. I mean there's only 20 or so years out of the last 2,000,000 presented. Ha. Perhaps it is about as interesting as it is subtle, then. It might interesting to see the deeper historical sample size. Oh ... just as an after thought - maybe even obvious? The southern polar contribution in the solar "step latitudes" where the sun briefly dips below the horizon ( not from Earth's rotation, but because of the geometry of it's revolution around the sun), might be related to that. In that 10 or so day period ... there's say, a 'shock' proficiency of energy loss in that ring latitude. The sun then reappearing during the day, however feeble, is enough to add decimals back, and that no longer offsets the total and the previous dynamic resumes.. Heh, as another after-observation ... there's a tendency at the other end, last week of Dec's, to see a trend up. That may be the mirror effect in the other direction.

62 this morning. So it looks like no 50s this July. A few 62s but that’s as long as it got

I posted this the other day. Only a very small area around San Francisco has seen the cooler temperatures. Fits the recent theme of the cooler areas covering much less real estate against the record warmth in the Northern Hemisphere this summer.