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  2. Layman
    Beauty of a day here. Wife and I got almost the whole woodpile stacked but it got warm out there. No complaints!
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Based on old recon finding lots of sub 900 storms in that basin and this having that very high end look it likely was below 890. .
  4. olafminesaw
    Pressure data from a buoy on the edge of the eye sugguests sub-900mb pressure
  5. tamarack
    The red oak sapling outside the window has a nice but not vibrant burgundy color but the 24"/90ft red oak 50 yards away is going toward brown. The only bright red oaks I see in this area are the pin oak street trees in Farmington - moderately common in the mid-Atlantic but not native to Maine. Jeff has a couple of them in his yard; haven't heard how they've colored this fall. Other than the oaks and some dark yellow understory beech, we're in stick season. Many of those beech leaves will turn tan and hang on until bud break in May. 22/25/27 lows the most recent 3 mornings.
  6. Chinook
    JTWC had this at 155kt this morning, and so that's an incredible situtation, it's much above the 137kt cutoff for Category 5.
  7. forkyfork
    the center of the pac warm pool is east of the dateline!!! you would need this event to collapse to have any chance
  8. Cobalt
    Yellow Medicine County is currently having its 7th warmest start to the year on record (1895-2026).
  9. ChescoWx
    I have added some additionals stations within 3 miles of the Chester County border to enhance our climate data. The support and rationale is included in our latest study on the website. Thanks! https://chescowx.com/chester-county-area-3-mile-rule/
  10. Cyclone-68
    Could not have foreseen this when I came out here last week: In addition to the heavy rainfall and flash flood threat, another threat to watch out for will be severe weather. Given the moderate levels of instability in place combined with strong 0-6 km vertical shear in excess of 50 kts, the thunderstorms that do develop will likely have some organization to them with the potential to acquire supercellular characteristics. In fact, the Storm Prediction Center has highlighted much of the higher terrain areas east of Phoenix in a slight risk (Level 2 out 5) for severe weather for Wednesday, with a marginal risk (Level 1 out 5) across the rest of south-central AZ, including the Phoenix metro area. The thunderstorms that do develop will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail, and even an isolated tornado given that there will be about 10-20 kts of low-level shear. The threat of severe weather will also exist into Thursday as well, especially Thursday morning, as the instability and shear parameters will still be sufficient.
  11. ChescoWx
    I have added some additionals stations within 3 miles of the Chester County border to enhance our climate data. The support and rationale is included in our latest study on the website. Thanks! https://chescowx.com/chester-county-area-3-mile-rule/
  12. ineedsnow
    I'm thinking about it
  13. NorthHillsWx
    I don’t think we see a drop of rain for the rest of the month
  14. MJO812
    Eps shows the epo tanking next week before rebounding.
  15. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
    lopressor 25 mg tablet image: PulseGuardDirect - Lopressor oral solution
  16. Cobalt
    This is a thread dedicated to discussing and analyzing the temperature data available for Yellow Medicine County, MN (Population 9,477). it's warming.
  17. Today
  18. ChescoWx
    Over the last 25 years Chester County has shown minor but not significant warming....however PHL Airport is as always off to the races with warming.
  19. LakePaste25
    Just need a few pacific storms to take that sharp turn north out by Hawaii for cold air phasing, à la feb 1983. Tough when you have a massive warm pool of raging 30C convection to directly to the south but not impossible.
  20. roardog
    I swear they act like Canada is going to be filled with 50 degree air all winter so there won’t be air cold enough to be pulled down even briefly. Canada is likely to be a torch but a Canadian torch in the middle of winter is still cold enough for snow.
  21. ChescoWx
    No data is of course perfect but it is the best historical validated data we have from the time of record
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would argue the guys speaking in absolutes that there won't be are crazy.
  23. LakePaste25
    you guys are crazy trying to predict whether there’s going to be 1 big snow storm or not. There’s a reason I don’t do snow outlooks on a seasonal time scale. I rarely ever see anyone get those right.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Finally...
  25. ChescoWx
    Almost a 20 degree spread in morning low temperatures today within just a few miles across the area this morning. Elevation and terrain impacts.
  26. ChescoWx
    Almost a 20 degree spread in morning low temperatures today within just a few miles across the area this morning. Elevation and terrain impacts.
  27. bluewave
    Centered right under Nino 3 at +4.47 now. Starting to see a +30C warm pool bridge develop from Nino 3.4 over to the coast of Central America. Matches up with the record east based forcing for so early in an event.
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