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Cooler start to May March 2026 was 2nd most positive NAO on record out of 900 analogs. Roll forward to May looks like a match:

It will turn briefly springlike tomorrow. High temperatures will reach the upper 60s and lower 70s. However, it will turn cooler on Friday with temperatures topping out in the lower 60s. The weekend will be even cooler with highs in the upper 50s. Some showers are possible during the weekend. There remains some risk for a more meaningful rainfall. Beyond the weekend, temperatures will likely remain generally below normal for the remainder of April. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.5°C for the week centered around April 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.43°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.15°C. El Niño conditions will likely develop during late spring or early summer. The SOI was -5.99 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.013 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 86% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 55.4° (1.7° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

I've had one for over 20 years, brought it in for service once, still have it the new house.

86 here today. Warmest day of the year by far. Hopefully we can get some good storms tomorrow to get the perennials going, then back to normal with 50s/60s in the extended.

NW Ohio had a stormy evening.

Yeah maybe lol

Wonder if this will be like 2020 where things flip to a torch around Memorial Day? Then again I lived out in Milwaukee at the time so I'm not sure how it evolved here but I assume it was similar.

Trending NW with larger warm sector. Definitely the next period to watch

Stein

Lol its April

Good chance of a ratter.

yeah probably mediocre

probably will.. next winter might be meh

through next winter. deal

lets keep this through August perfect weather.. Tonight A slight chance of showers between 10pm and midnight. Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 36. Light south wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Thursday Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 58. Light west wind becoming northwest 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Thursday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 32. North wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Friday Sunny, with a high near 55. North wind 5 to 7 mph. Friday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 31. Calm wind. Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. Light and variable wind. Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. Calm wind. Sunday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. Light and variable wind. Monday Partly sunny, with a high near 58. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon. Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Tuesday A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Light east wind becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Tuesday Night Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Southeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Wednesday A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. East wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

91-92 is my favorite analog right now

18z gfs low-key tor threat next Fri

High temps the last 4 days 44.8° 44.5° 47.8° 45.1° Living the dream

I’ve done the June 1 thing. Pretty fun. PS going back to the OG avatar worked.

Last week 22% of NC was in extreme (D3) drought. I’d expect a large jump after another rainless week and the compounding heat wave we experienced.

+6C subsurface anomalies showing up now

The problem is they’re usually front loaded…not back.

Kmart will stay open till June. Glacier of snow they put on Superstar. Most areas close by now anyways.

Even with the early May snow bomb coming?