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Going on 3 weeks with snow cover, not the easiest thing to do around here. Barring any prolonged torch next week, I think we make it to 4 weeks.

I noticed it's had a convective look on modeling for days now.

I didn’t realize Central Park got below zero in 2016.

They do. It is located at Seneca Lake. I had read about it as well a long time ago and totally forgot about it until you mentioned it. I believe the largest of the Finger Lakes are all notably deeper than Lake Erie. Erie is relatively shallow. The smaller lakes in the Finger Lakes region are quite shallow.

Really miss the parade of STJ infused southern stream crushers of the 2000s and early 2010s.

CMC has something similar looking. Not nearly as good*, but there *talking about DC - cville/south will prefer this

If we're talking wind chill then maybe. 50 years is a stretch though.

Oh look, Hagerstown doesn't get screwed.

DC flips just barely. Would be solved with better rates

Well shitfire. Yeah..No questions. Take.

Things always look so much better with the pretty maps. That thump is nice. Any accum maps yet?

Welcome to the land of Nada this weekend. You're a week late, ha! Yea the clipper has some gumption on clouds physics. Separately, we need to re-open Politics over in Off-Topic to let off some steam. Better there than here!

Easy buy

Radar presentation from the clipper looks quite healthy. Wonder if John is seeing anything. It's virga here for now though relative humidity is 82% imby. I'll move to obs if desired. This thread is very open ended but I don't want to bury pattern discussion.

Well the last 3 runs of the GFS have been completely different for this time period so take it with a grain of salt

We do thump per the WxBell maps.

It actually looks alot like the Euro AI has its past several runs.

The surface low on Thursday at 00Z went from the benchmark at 06Z to YBG at 12Z. What's 600 miles between friends/model runs.

Preach

Back to -SN in Kendall Square. Vis about 6SM based on which hills I can barely see on the horizon.

If you don't take this run verbatim wrt to temps, it's not that bad. Cold is close enough and...it's the GFS

Honestly, it's not bad. Especially for it being the suck ass GFS. Cold enough that it's not rain...warm enough that it's not all snow for everyone. N and W of the fall line appears to be snow?

Hence, this Board”s legendary saying “it just wants to snow.”

Talk about a thread the needle lol

The AIs couldn't look more different than the OPs for Wednesay. CMC and GFS OPs, specifically