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90 yesterday. 4th of the year for MSP. Spent the day floating the Cannon River.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 66 and .46” of rain. -
70 or bust
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Point up to 98 tomorrow, 92 today and 94 Tuesday. Three days of 90's with 70's at night is gonna be hard. House is 66 degrees this morning with all the windows/blinds closed. Thankfully it's well insulated, and I have plenty of shade later in the day. More concerned for my chickens and rabbits than I am myself. Gave the garden a good soaking this morning and put a shade tarp over it to mitigate some of the heat stress.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
TheDreamTraveler replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Kind of wild that I might have my fifth 100+ degree day of the summer on Wednesday. Bonkers. -
Thinking higher temps this heat bubble in my backyard versus the round of swamp azz from two weeks ago.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
TheDreamTraveler replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
We had another storm that was moving straight for us that looked juicy around midnight and then right as it got to us it dried up and died lol -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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I wonder if its going to be warmer on 'mas day than it was this past June 18th? It was in the low 50s mid-aft that day.
- Today
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Really extreme over the top warm up with parts of the Rockies and Plains approaching all-time highs today. The record 600 DM ridge will become very compressed leading to the 850 mb heat plume tracking through the Upper Great Lakes and Ontario next few days. The heat should peak in our area on Wednesday. Both the Euro and GFS have 100°-103° highs at the warm spots around the region. This would be a first to follow so quickly after 104°-106° heat earlier in the month.
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Memories of sweating while doing brush saw thinning north of Flagstaff Lake that summer. June had one hot spell, but the 6 weeks July 4 thru mid-August had some of the highest dews I've encountered in Maine. The 8/1-14 stretch of swamp-dews put mold all over things in our basement, only time I've seen that. IIRC, PWM had a 77° TD during that spell and a site in BGR (don't know where) reported 93° and 68% RH one afternoon, which would be a TD of about 81.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This July is the most extreme difference between a developing super El Niño and the midlatitude 500 mb and temperature pattern across the CONUS. The tropics are clearly in El Niño mode as we can see from the forcing and -SOI with very strong shear over the Caribbean. Notice how the strong -PDO ridge north of Hawaii leads to the classic July -PDO SST pattern. This is a strong July -PDO response in the midlatitudes with the record heat and ridging from the Plains to the East Coast. Strong July -PDO composites July 1-10, 2026 500 mb pattern -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
60 degrees pleasant morning! -
Super nino winter incoming
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Got 0.15 to add to the 0.25 from Thursday. Calvert with a departure of -7.0 inches for the year is the worst in the region west of the Bay. And now there's no chance for rain in sight. Crushing drought continues
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I'm really tired of overcast 70-degree-dewpoint mornings. Isn't the front ever going to come through?
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
roardog replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
There are a lot of metrics that are very impressive with this event. It’s also equally impressive how non Nino like the pattern over North America has been along with how strongly negative the PDO continues to be. A lot of interesting stuff happening right now for people like us to watch and discuss. -
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