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  2. I believe you'll see less salt on the roads. Yes, rock salt prices have significantly increased in Pennsylvania. Recent reports indicate that municipalities are facing sharp price hikes, with costs rising from approximately $88 per ton to around $160 per ton. This increase has prompted local governments to seek alternative suppliers and adjust their budgets accordingly. The surge in prices is attributed to various factors, including supply chain issues and increased demand during winter months And now this too: https://www.abc27.com/pennsylvania/experts-show-impact-of-road-salt-on-pa-waterways/
  3. 32 for the low this morning. Bumped the heat on…63in the house. Was away for the day yesterday.
  4. 43 when I left the house. Our perfect week marches on.
  5. Just remember that a weaker SPV was also a feature with the 1997-1998 event. There was also an impressive area of stratospheric warmth above the Urals to Barents region. It’s the overpowering Pacific which is the main feature when east based El Niños get this strong. So it’s not uncommon to see this during super El Niño events as we also had something similar with the weaker 2023-2024 super El Niño.
  6. Agree. Said it yesterday, El Niño aside, IMO (could be wrong of course), the other antecedent/background conditions; strong +QBO, now downwelled into the bottom of the stratosphere, descending solar off last year’s max, high geomag, +IOD are all hostile to SSWEs and a very weak SPV this winter. Going to have to wait and see what happens. The fact that we actually have people hyping to borderline hysteria on twitter right now that strat warmings never happen during El Niños is completely laughable and asinine. But when you look at which accounts are doing it, it makes perfect sense….
  7. I saw it on Twitter yesterday but someone was showing the analog mean strat temps during super ninos (which is only 4 examples) and the euro seasonal. Analog mean had a warming in early Feb that propagated down by March. Euro seasonal had a similar pattern but about 1 month earlier. A -AO through Feb would be pretty good for us combined with generally more favorable snow conditions for Nino Febs.
  8. You can see on days like today when the cooling influence of the offshore flow wanes we are right back to upper 60s to near 70° in spots.
  9. Today
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  11. JTWC has it at 135kt currently. I would say it should be 155kt. This has been one of the most underestimated TCs I have seen. .
  12. Been really good here. Not dull at all Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
  13. Warmed again this am, currently 39F
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  15. What I've bolded would work for me, as I'm not a fan of nickel and dime events that just slop up the roads with salt. I've always been a "go big or go home" guy, and as a driver I hate a dirty truck.
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  20. Nothing to be proud of son. Your could have developed a 24hr treatment/cure for blood clots or something worthwhile. Makes you wonder what took Ch6 so long? He wrote on FB today big announcement at 6pm. Some were hoping retirement...some thought he was going straight. https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1EWLe2HbiM/
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  22. Stratosphere warming is not uncommon in El Nino's. The last Super Nino, 23-24, had 4 separate SSW's. This one is looking barely above average lol. +QBO may be a hindrance to SSWs this cold season but since El Nino's favor warmings, they kind of cancel each other out.
  23. This is now Invest 93L. 0Z UKMET almost gets to H strength: TROPICAL STORM 93L ANALYSED POSITION : 35.0N 70.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL932026 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 20.10.2026 0 35.0N 70.7W 1004 37 1200UTC 20.10.2026 12 35.2N 70.5W 998 40 0000UTC 21.10.2026 24 35.5N 69.8W 998 45 1200UTC 21.10.2026 36 36.2N 69.5W 995 40 0000UTC 22.10.2026 48 36.9N 69.7W 989 51 1200UTC 22.10.2026 60 38.1N 68.1W 982 52 0000UTC 23.10.2026 72 39.4N 63.9W 975 63 1200UTC 23.10.2026 84 42.8N 56.7W 975 57 0000UTC 24.10.2026 96 45.9N 51.6W 986 54 1200UTC 24.10.2026 108 46.7N 48.5W 992 45 0000UTC 25.10.2026 120 48.0N 42.4W 991 45 1200UTC 25.10.2026 132 54.1N 32.9W 980 40 0000UTC 26.10.2026 144 CEASED TRACKING
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