PottercountyWXobserver Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 i would like to order this one please I will second this!! btw down to 7 degrees. I'm really hoping we can reach the -10 that is forecasted for sunday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I know you guys are probably conditioned to missing out after the last two winters the coast has seen, but this is really the best shot you've had. The superensemble members indicate that at least the eastern part of this thread will see a big snowfall. (Sorry for getting everyone's hopes up if this busts. Just calling it how I see it at this time) I agree this is our best shot of the season so far. The last big threat we had was the post-Christmas storm, but that was the Euro vs. the world. Now it's the world vs. the twists and turns of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 11.6* here...very cold and clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 DT's writeup on the storm / models. http://www.wxrisk.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I agree this is our best shot of the season so far. The last big threat we had was the post-Christmas storm, but that was the Euro vs. the world. Now it's the world vs. the twists and turns of the GFS. Hey... the superior 12z nogaps and jma went east.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Done. Thanks. It just makes sense to put the region name first in the thread title. I know you guys are probably conditioned to missing out after the last two winters the coast has seen, but this is really the best shot you've had. The superensemble members indicate that at least the eastern part of this thread will see a big snowfall. (Sorry for getting everyone's hopes up if this busts. Just calling it how I see it at this time) And that's all you can do. As for me, I'm hopeful, but yet skeptical. I'll be much more comfortable if this scenario is still on the table Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Hey... the superior 12z nogaps and jma went east.... 18Z Nogaps back west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 DT's writeup on the storm / models. http://www.wxrisk.com Interesting writeup.... At first is sounds like he is not in favor of a big East Coast storm. Upon further reading, I think it's more that he doesn't think it will be literally a coastal or I-95 snowstorm. Seems like he is favoring a slight inland track, which would be great for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 18Z Nogaps back west. I was just kidding. I don't really pay much attention to either! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I was just kidding. I don't really pay much attention to either! 0Z NAM looks like it would yield a huge solution down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 0Z NAM looks like it would yield a huge solution down the road. Looks similar to the UKIE, Euro and GEM around the same time. Maybe a bit faster. But still good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I had a lot of liquor, nut gilt crap it is cold! Just eked a mile downtown in Hartisburg. Bet! It is awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I had a lot of liquor, nut gilt crap it is cold! Just eked a mile downtown in Hartisburg. Bet! It is awesome. SAYYYYY WHATTTTT!! lol 15.5 here. Windchill 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 0z GFS up now...let's do this fellas...it's CPAs time to shine! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 00z GFS and 12z Euro are world's apart...go figure! Hopefully the 00z Euro holds serve... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 0z GFS: What storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 LOL...this will be the one time the GFS scores a coup...and I'll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 SAYYYYY WHATTTTT!! lol 15.5 here. Windchill 5 LOL tha should say ir is just basically very cold! Just saw Harrisburg hit -22 today in 1994. That is the all-time low here. -23. Can't even fathom that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 The GFS is so out to lunch it isn't even funny, go check out DT and his write up, he does a fantastic job. He's pretty much saying inland runner and apps score Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 GFS is on crack or what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 GFS looks nothin like the NAM,GGEM and Euro.Not buying it right now.Does anyone know when the new UKMET comes out? ...New Nogaps still showin a GOM low moving to near Cape May NJ at 120. Looks like all the other models except the GFS. update on the Cnadian... bombs out a low over nyc for wed. heavy snow for cpa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 For those that missed it, here is an excellent write up by DT http://www.wxrisk.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 GFS is on crack or what? Goes from Miller A bomb to some kind of Miller B with a Norlun in less than 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 In any event, I must say I love this thread. It's very informational and I love the Mets we have here. JSTWX MAG and PSU you are GREATLY appreciated!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 For those that missed it, here is an excellent write up by DT http://www.wxrisk.com/ Unfortunately he is simply a Euro higher. His forecasts this year have been less-than-syeller, to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Unfortunately he is simply a Euro higher. His forecasts this year have been less-than-syeller, to say the least. Wow...you have been Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 UKMET is way east. It's east of 40/70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Change those to hugger and stellar. I had 3 long island iced teas at an office party, sue me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Is it me or does this seem strange, go to PSU e-wall and tell me if you see something totally different in the GFS model to 180hr and GFS to 384hr. Notice on the GFS 384hr model run that on panel 144hr there is a big storm where as nothing on the GFS model to 180hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 GGEM goes east as well and took big steps to the GFS. Seasonal trend FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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