JamieOber Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I think I get near a foot this run lol. Can it come any further north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This will still likely correct west and stronger tomorrow. Now that the energy has started to consolidate, the trend should continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 NAM hammers east of the Susquehanna but man that cutoff is sharp... still looks funny at the surface though with the 2 lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Karl_Racki Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 You folks east of 220 have fun with this and get some pictures.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This will still likely correct west and stronger tomorrow. Now that the energy has started to consolidate, the trend should continue. Hopefully you're right. So much as some coughing on the NAM would take this area from 1" to >6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This will still likely correct west and stronger tomorrow. Now that the energy has started to consolidate, the trend should continue. I agree, the likely real world result of this run is a nice consolidated (single) strong low that is tucked in with a buttkicking ccb that has a gradient somewhere around somerset. the placement of surface features and precip shield is still funky, but will probably not change in any horrible way for many of us edit: somerset might be too west, but we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Karl_Racki Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I agree, the likely real world result of this run is a nice consolidated (single) strong low that is tucked in with a buttkicking ccb that has a gradient somewhere around somerset. the placement of surface features and precip shield is still funky, but will probably not change in any horrible way for many of us edit: somerset might be too west, but we'll see I am thinking anything west of Bedford is out and Bedford maybe pushing it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 If the 00z GFS shows what the NAM just showed...State College would have no choice but put up WSW tomorrow morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
northpittweather Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I just have to say about this storm is that the nam is having issues still, also the track is too far east for this kind of set up, and it's southeast bias, just looking at everything now Southwest PA, Central PA, and Northeast PA will get a huge hit Philly Area will likely get a mix of ice/snow/sleet/rain and Northwest PA gets nothing, other than a few clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Can it come any further north? Of course. lol Anything is possible this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 haha I won't hold my breath. They have had 2 wsw's here in york that went to advisory snowfalls (and crappy ones at that). They seem gunshy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Im getting quite use to seeing the QPF maps play out like this,lol. Its just amazing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This thread just got (OK, so it's pretty much always awesome) awesome! A C PA pbp? Woo! Thanks for that effort guys. Good to see the NAM get its head on straight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 since we hit 1000 replies i'm going to start a part II if that's ok with everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 since we hit 1000 replies i'm going to start a part II if that's ok with everyone! Roll it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
northpittweather Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This thread just got (OK, so it's pretty much always awesome) awesome! A C PA pbp? Woo! Thanks for that effort guys. Good to see the NAM get its head on straight. Not exactly, the storm on the nam is to far east, and southeast GFS will likely be west than the nam with the way things are going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I am thinking anything west of Bedford is out and Bedford maybe pushing it.. I would say west and north of UNV are pretty much looking at a non event at this point. But the Laurels east have a shot at several inches, with many inches east of McConnellsburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Good luck to the MDT crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Nice to see the NAM's off the junk and showing something resembling the other models this eve. Still a bit southeast and weaker than the 12z suite generally, we'll see how the 0z evolves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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