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The Psuhoffman Storm


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Last year was so easy. The storms were fairly well advertised in the 3-5 day period and then all we had to do was wait to see if we were getting 6-10 or 12+ . This year we have been suckered in by the 3-5 day outlooks only to end up flat on our backs. It seems like forever that we had a storm look very marginal at 3-5 days away only to get much better as game time approached. This feels pretty good. Finally going to get some rewards for the hours of tracking. :snowman: :snowman:

MDstorm

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.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...

-- Changed Discussion --WITH THE FORECAST AND 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE TRENDING COLDER/SNOWIER...

CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN A SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT TO IMPACT THE

MID-ATLANTIC REGION ON WED. HAVE ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE

ENTIRE CWA FOR WED. IT WAS KNOWN THAT IT WOULDNT TAKE MUCH FOR THIS

STORM TO BRING A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING HEAVY SNOW INSTEAD OF THE

PREVIOUSLY ADVERTISED RAIN/SNOW.

ISENTROPIC LIFT INDUCED BY LLVL SELY FLOW AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING

COASTAL LOW WILL BRING LIGHT PRECIP TO THE ENTIRE AREA DURING THE

MRNG. BOUNDARY LAYER/SFC THERMAL PROFILES WILL BE WARM ENOUGH FOR RA

ACROSS LOWER SRN MD...AND A RA/SN MIX FROM I-95 NORTH AND WEST

TOWARD THE BLUE RIDGE MTS. FARTHER WEST...LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE NOW

SUPPORTS ALL SNOW DURING THE MRNG. DURING THIS TIME...SNOWFALL

ACCUMULATIONS GENERALLY AROUND 1-3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR LOCATIONS

WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE POTOMAC

HIGHLANDS. FOR THIS REASON...THE WINTER STORM WATCH INCLUDES THE

MRNG HRS WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE.

ALL 12Z GUIDANCE IS NOW INDICATING THE COASTAL LOW TAKING A

CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORABLE TRACK JUST OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST FOR

I-95 SNOWFALL. AS THE UPPER LOW APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...THE

COMBINATION OF WINDS SHIFTING FROM NORTHEAST TO NORTH-NORTHWEST...

AND COLUMN COOLING GENERATED FROM DEEP-LAYER ASCENT WILL CAUSE ANY

RA/SN MIX TO CHANGE TO ACCUMULATING SNOW FROM NW TO SE DURING THE

AFTN.

BEST PD OF SNWFL WL BE DURING THE LT AFTN-EVNG HRS AS CWFA W/IN DEF

ZN. TRACK OF SFC AND H8 LOW FVRBL FOR ACCUM SNWS...W/ DEEP UVV W/IN

A MOIST COLUMN. SINCE CYCLONE WL HV MSTR FEED FM ATLC AND GLFMEX...

QPF SHUD BE AMPLE. IF GDNC CONTS ON THE SAME PATH...MAY BE ABLE TO

CONSIDER UPGRADE DECISIONS THIS EVNG...OTRW IT WL BE DONE OVNGT.

SNW SHUD BE ENDING RATHER ABRUPTLY DURING THE EVNG HRS AS CSTL LOW

PULLS NEWD. BACK EDGE MAY NOT CLR BALT-DC CRRDR TIL AFTR MIDNGT.

TEMPS WL REMAIN BLO FRZG THRUT...AND TOOK BLEND FOR MIN-T. IN

ADDITION...WNDS WL INCR OVNGT...G20KT PSBL...SPCLY IN THE ERN CWFA.-- End Changed Discussion --

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I'm beside myslef with joy. This is unbelievable. Plows will pile snow up EVERYWHERE! I'll be totally obsessed with jebwalks.

Thank goodness this came THIS WEEK not last week - last week I was so sick I was bedridden for three days

Folks might want to get out and enjoy the snow - No one has even mentioned the TORCH this weekend - highs near 50 both Saturday and Sunday with lows in the low 40s will melt that snow faster than you can say early spring in the Washington Metropolitan Region

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I'm beside myslef with joy. This is unbelievable. Plows will pile snow up EVERYWHERE! I'll be totally obsessed with jebwalks.

Thank goodness this came THIS WEEK not last week - last week I was so sick I was bedridden for three days

So the famed Jebman shovel might be taken off mothballs finally this winter!:snowman:

Sorry to hear you were ill, but glad you're feeling better!

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I'm beside myslef with joy. This is unbelievable. Plows will pile snow up EVERYWHERE! I'll be totally obsessed with jebwalks.

Thank goodness this came THIS WEEK not last week - last week I was so sick I was bedridden for three days

Folks might want to get out and enjoy the snow - No one has even mentioned the TORCH this weekend - highs near 50 both Saturday and Sunday with lows in the low 40s will melt that snow faster than you can say early spring in the Washington Metropolitan Region

what exactly is a jebwalk anyway?

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So the famed Jebman shovel might be taken off mothballs finally this winter!:snowman:

Sorry to hear you were ill, but glad you're feeling better!

That's TWO major colds this season - I AM getting old after all.

Yeppers I am just DYING to dig snow and to savor a nice long leisurely jebwalk with snow piles all over the place.thumbsupsmileyanim.gifthumbsupsmileyanim.gifthumbsupsmileyanim.gifthumbsupsmileyanim.gifthumbsupsmileyanim.gifthumbsupsmileyanim.gifthumbsupsmileyanim.gifthumbsupsmileyanim.gif

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what exactly is a jebwalk anyway?

Technically a jebwalk is a walk done in the snow while blasting your favorite music of choice on your iPhone headphones, usually for hours on end. It is best done in a blizzard environment, with freezing temps, high winds and blinding snow rates.

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