baroclinic_instability Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This has Winter Storm Warning written all over it--even if you take the low end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 DULLES about 1.60 QPF all snow..actually now all snow...about 1.40 qpf of it not all snow JI, but probably at least an inch of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Symblized Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 dang Euro just a tad too warm for any snow at BWI through 48 hrs and .88" qpf has fallen Slight warm bias, remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Midlo, where are you with my RIC Euro information? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcwx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I saw competing posts with one saying BWI is mostly rain and another saying DC to Balt. is 1" qpf of snow. Just looking for some clarity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Euro the warmest of ALL the models it seems drop temps by 1C and we're in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 right about to hgr.. mainly east i'd guess dc to balt is about 1" qpf snow I'll take .8" no problem. Plus a shift NW is probably in the cards even if it's only 25 miles it helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 dang Euro just a tad too warm for any snow at BWI through 48 hrs and .88" qpf has fallen Our total QPF is only 1.5" so you are saying best case scenario we get 6" of snow?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 DCA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 All snow per Euro in FDK.....and QPF? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Slight warm bias, remember. And trending colder with last few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I saw competing posts with one saying BWI is mostly rain and another saying DC to Balt. is 1" qpf of snow. Just looking for some clarity. I would saw looking at the raw numbers that 1" is probably rain and BWI and .6" is snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thesnowsknows Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I wish I could view the Euro solutions . Sounds so beautifully glorious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 dang Euro just a tad too warm for any snow at BWI through 48 hrs and .88" qpf has fallen What? An inch of QPF is snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Our total QPF is only 1.5" so you are saying best case scenario we get 6" of snow?. yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Our total QPF is only 1.5" so you are saying best case scenario we get 6" of snow?. Aren't you north of the city? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thesnowsknows Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 wait so is mitchnick just off his rocker? Who am I to believe about this BWI scandal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 HGR all snow probably, but only get around .9" qpf BWI almost 1.6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 yes Well you know the EURO is always a little to warm and we only need a teenie drop in temps and we will have 10-12", i am sure it will end up mostly snow. I can't imagine the EURO pulling a coup on temps over the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Anyone on the CHO, RIC, EZF QPF per the Euro? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 HGR all snow probably, but only get around .9" qpf BWI almost 1.6" Only? lol i'm pretty sure that would make anyone happy. We getting greedy since last winter. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 What? An inch of QPF is snow no rain here look WED 06Z 26-JAN -1.9 -0.4 1018 89 79 0.00 558 544 WED 12Z 26-JAN 0.7 -0.1 1016 90 100 0.10 558 545 WED 18Z 26-JAN 1.9 1.0 1009 96 98 0.25 554 546 THU 00Z 27-JAN 1.2 0.2 1000 96 98 0.53 545 545 THU 06Z 27-JAN 1.4 -2.8 1000 91 96 0.65 539 539 THU 12Z 27-JAN -0.9 -3.0 1007 80 11 0.05 542 536 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 BWI is 0.2 at 850 during a heavy thump. NO way that will be rain. heavy wet snow. Plus euro has a warm bias and is trending cooler. relax Mitchnicki Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Aren't you north of the city? Yes i am 25 miles North of BWI, but i cannot imagine that would make that much of a difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yes i am 25 miles North of BWI, but i cannot imagine that would make that much of a difference. yeah it will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 no rain here look WED 06Z 26-JAN -1.9 -0.4 1018 89 79 0.00 558 544 WED 12Z 26-JAN 0.7 -0.1 1016 90 100 0.10 558 545 WED 18Z 26-JAN 1.9 1.0 1009 96 98 0.25 554 546 THU 00Z 27-JAN 1.2 0.2 1000 96 98 0.53 545 545 THU 06Z 27-JAN 1.4 -2.8 1000 91 96 0.65 539 539 THU 12Z 27-JAN -0.9 -3.0 1007 80 11 0.05 542 536 Got to disagree at 48... dynamics and omega should overcome that and it should be heavy wet snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thesnowsknows Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 no rain here look WED 06Z 26-JAN -1.9 -0.4 1018 89 79 0.00 558 544 WED 12Z 26-JAN 0.7 -0.1 1016 90 100 0.10 558 545 WED 18Z 26-JAN 1.9 1.0 1009 96 98 0.25 554 546 THU 00Z 27-JAN 1.2 0.2 1000 96 98 0.53 545 545 THU 06Z 27-JAN 1.4 -2.8 1000 91 96 0.65 539 539 THU 12Z 27-JAN -0.9 -3.0 1007 80 11 0.05 542 536 Yeah but number humping there is not what's going to happen. When the precip is that heavy it will be snow. It's not going to rain at BWI while it's snowing at DCA. Unheard of nearly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I think its pretty much a lock that most of us should be under watches in about 3 hours...I hope we can put the brakes on any trending one way or the other at this point...I'm not trying to be greedy and shoot for the stars here. We're already at a perfect thread the needle scenario. I hope nobody starts cliff jumping when the models do the inevitable QPF cut backs...we should all be well versed in the drill....I was saying 2 to 4 earlier, but I think 3 to 6 is reasonable and more than any of us could have hoped for even 12 hours ago. It is going to be entertaining watching those t.v. "mets in name only" scrambling to play catch-up over the next 6-12 hours. They've been really busy, hard at work playing the usual politics - and now they have even more hard work trying to read the models and then frantically revising their rainy mild springlike forecasts to resemble something a little bit more like reality in the next two days lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 WOW DCA is 1.36 of snow QPF...really impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 BWI is 0.2 at 850 during a heavy thump. NO way that will be rain. heavy wet snow. Plus euro has a warm bias and is trending cooler. relax Mitchnicki I know of the warm bias like I said, drop everything by 1C and we are gold, even 1F will make a huge difference but, you have to look at all levels JI, it just surface and ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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