H2Otown_WX Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 He is the rare coupling of an utterly superior understanding of all things meteorological and an absolutely obscene memory of past events; many have the former, but the latter is very rare. There's a reason he went to Cornell... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 worthington has to be close. not sure it's elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 There's a reason he went to Cornell... Obviously very high intelligence is one thing, but I'm not sure mental capacity is the main determinant regarding that incredible memory of past events; its a unique, extreme love of and passion for snowfall events that quite frankly not many have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Which COOP is nearest you... Worthington, but as Will and I discussed at the gtg, they are notorius for incomplete data. Will no doubt has his '08-'09 snowfall map at the ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Haha, same age as my dad coincidentally. Thats funny, And your the same age as my youngest son............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Worthington, but as Will and I discussed at the gtg, they are notorius for incomplete data. Will no doubt has his '08-'09 snowfall map at the ready. Good, it will prove you wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Good, it will prove you wrong. Haha, got you dander up. We shall see. Want to place a wager on this season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 ray i wasn't up here for that year... what was it about that year's set up that jackpotted you and bent pete over so to speak. seems like only 1 out 15 or so years where wilimington would beat w. chesterfield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 ray i wasn't up here for that year... what was it about that year's set up that jackpotted you and bent pete over so to speak. seems like only 1 out 15 or so years where wilimington would beat w. chesterfield Dude, the imagery, please, this is a family show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Haha, got you dander up. We shall see. Want to place a wager on this season? Nah, I knew what you were doing. Your area is better for winter wx; I'm ok with that. ray i wasn't up here for that year... what was it about that year's set up that jackpotted you and bent pete over so to speak. seems like only 1 out 15 or so years where wilimington would beat w. chesterfield It had a very latitudinal gradient (not as extreme as 2008) and there were a couple of late bloomer events that targeted my area; most notably the double-header a few days before xmas....I ended up edging out Will. Here is the map; looks like he may have beaten me, but I know Will said that I probably beat him: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Obviously very high intelligence is one thing, but I'm not sure mental capacity is the main determinant regarding that incredible memory of past events; its a unique, extreme love of and passion for snowfall events that quite frankly not many have. Agreed. Obviously when you really have a passion for something, you have a better recollection if it. It's like if you were to read some piece of literature that you didn't care for or the KU books...which are you going to remember more about? But yeah, this trait is more apparent with Will. Who else would bring their KU book to a bar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Nah, I knew what you were going. Your area is better for winter wx; I'm ok with that. It had a very latitudinal gradient and there were a couple of late bloomer events that targeted my area; most notably the double-header a few days before xmas....I ended up edging out Will. Here is the map; looks like he may have beaten me, but I know Will said that I probably beat him: LOL, what loser dorks we are debating who got more snow on a Sat. night. There was a time when I was just getting into the party at this hour. Now I'm up because i fell asleep at 6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 LOL, what loser dorks we are debating who got more snow on a Sat. night. There was a time when I was just getting into the party at this hour. Now I'm up because i fell asleep at 6pm. LOL I've been busy the past couple weeks w my bday and all, so I had planned to just take a night for myself and chill, though I did visit my sister for a bit this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 LOL I've been busy the past couple weeks w my bday and all, so I had planned to just take a night for myself and chill, though I did visit my sister for a bit this evening. You're 30 now right? Halfway to 60, nice. We we're at Foxwoods to see a show last night. Got no sleep basically. I tried hard to stay awake but crashed around 6. I can remember the days when I would have gone right back out tonight partying but, alas, those days are gone. Of course, those days featured performance enhancing substances....... GN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 00z euro looks a little better this run then at 12z as it tracks a weak secondary a little further east over the outer cape into NS, Still marginal though for temps @850 and the surface in the northern areas of ME, NH and Vt with some frozen this run possibly, 12z had a secondary tracking thru western mass and downeast maine...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 144 hours from the france site. 00Z ECM http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=144&mode=1&map=1&archive=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 144 hours from the france site. 00Z ECM http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=144&mode=1&map=1&archive=0 Panel 126-138 gives a good assessment, I can't post any of the images or i would get shot.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 I can't post any of the images or i would get shot.... Oh, okay.. Maybe i should not post them either? The France site is faster than the ECMWF site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Oh, okay.. Maybe i should not post them either? The France site is faster than the ECMWF site. Not sure, I think thats a free site so your all set, The site i use is subscription and it comes out in 6 hr increments real time...You can view the ECMWF also on e-wall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 00z Euro definitely colder for Thanksgiving storm... but still 95% rain for SNE. Some snow/sleet for N VT/N NH. Has trended much colder beyond Thanksgiving. More like the GFS. Ensembles still not out yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 00z Euro definitely colder for Thanksgiving storm... but still 95% rain for SNE. Some snow/sleet for N VT/N NH. Has trended much colder beyond Thanksgiving. More like the GFS. Ensembles still not out yet. You don't have any way to access 925mb temps on the euro do you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 You don't have any way to access 925mb temps on the euro do you? Nope just 850 and sfc T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 00z UK has a fooking bomb Fri Night/Saturday. Wow. Probably a major snowstorm for far interior and especially NH/ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 At least the look on the euro after Thanksgiving doesn't look all too bad, although it appears as if at hour 240 it wants to develop a possible Lakes cutter as it looks like it wants to pump up heights just out ahead of it. Can't see the euro after 240 HR though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 At least the look on the euro after Thanksgiving doesn't look all too bad, although it appears as if at hour 240 it wants to develop a possible Lakes cutter as it looks like it wants to pump up heights just out ahead of it. Can't see the euro after 240 HR though. Yeah it's going to be close with that s/w ejecting into the Plains. It has a nice confluent pseudo 50/50 and -NAO ahead of it, but the Pacific regime is trying to pump up a SE ridge. Epic battle about to ensue between a strong Niña and heavy blocking over Greenland and the Canadian Arctic. Very interesting pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Yeah it's going to be close with that s/w ejecting into the Plains. It has a nice confluent pseudo 50/50 and -NAO ahead of it, but the Pacific regime is trying to pump up a SE ridge. Epic battle about to ensue between a strong Niña and heavy blocking over Greenland and the Canadian Arctic. Very interesting pattern. I would think this setup could lead to some big time potential! It should be quite a fun pattern none the less but will it produce fun results? Anyways though that could lead to some active times severe wise across parts of the Plains and Southeast region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 I would think this setup could lead to some big time potential! It should be quite a fun pattern none the less but will it produce fun results? Anyways though that could lead to some active times severe wise across parts of the Plains and Southeast region. I just wish some sort of block would form over the Pacific so that the shortwaves started out further south and Canada was infused with a bit of cold air. If you look at the 0z ECM Northern Hemisphere maps, you can see that most of the cold anomalies are shifting towards Europe and central Asia with a lot of milder air over North America due to the +EPO. Also, everything is being ejected really far north so it's sort of predisposed to more of a cutter/runner. I'm not crazy about starting with only -3C 850s when a SWFE event is coming in late November or the first days of December. This isn't mid January here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Well, I dont see how the wave at 240 could possibly cut into the lakes with the block in central Canada to the north.. LOL, this blocky pattern is going to be a nightmare for the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 I just wish some sort of block would form over the Pacific so that the shortwaves started out further south and Canada was infused with a bit of cold air. If you look at the 0z ECM Northern Hemisphere maps, you can see that most of the cold anomalies are shifting towards Europe and central Asia with a lot of milder air over North America due to the +EPO. Also, everything is being ejected really far north so it's sort of predisposed to more of a cutter/runner. I'm not crazy about starting with only -3C 850s when a SWFE event is coming in late November or the first days of December. This isn't mid January here. I see what you mean, if it was another month in than maybe things would be different but by the time we get a month in we may lose this great NAO blocking and once we lose that signal the Pacific is totally going to dominate, especially as the Nina continues to strengthen over the coming weeks with the recent trade surge. So much over the next few weeks is just going to depend on how strong of a NAO block we see and where the block sets up and we can dissect every single long-range model run and the ensembles and all but in reality we really won't have a solid idea of how exactly the NAO will look until probably just about a week or so before hand...maybe less. Once the Pacific begins to totally dominate though both you and I are completely screwed lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 I'd be running to Bretton Woods if this were to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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