dryslot Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 You can always stay with me. We can share a blanket and pillow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 No, I am prone to emotional swings, which is why I demonstrate some manic depressive tendencies in my posting genre.....but November is not going to elict that type of response from me. I never took those as serious posts At least you conduct them in a serious manner though with humor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Aroostook County Annihilator I guess....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Eh, might start off as some frozen, I haven't actually looked at the individual runs too closely today since I've been out a lot. As I said many days ago...don't expect much from this one...if it pans out, its all gravy. Maybe some wack job solution like the 00z GFS will try to hit some of the region with CCB snows, but I certainly wouldn't count on it. Figured; oh well...thx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 my sanity remains intact lol 0z gfs shows a cold wednesday ....heights near 528 in N mass. brrr watchin the potential for a fri-sat system to impress each trough or system should be looked at closely once we get to this time of year doesn't matter if it's jan or past mid november.....averages are just smoothed out anomalies..... to a degree that i think is valid. but i get the part about waiting to see how things pan out ....it's still a long ways away and alot can change between now and the end of next week. but i'm not gonna close my eyes wait till friday open them see it snowing then say gee that's a great suprise. why are others more freaked out that others are not being quiet and pointing out when a pattern that could produce starts trending in a way that is not favorable (earlier in the day after 3 pukish euro runs). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 No, I am prone to emotional swings, which is why I demonstrate some manic depressive tendencies in my posting genre.....but November is not going to elict that type of response from me. Your right just need to go with the flow, If the potential is there thats great if it pans out, But if it does not......eh, There will be others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Your right just need to go with the flow, If the potential is there thats great if it pans out, But if it does not......eh, There will be others unless you live in Dobbs Ferry and points south. Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 The potential storm afterwards (Hr 276) ... can I get a Hell yeah! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 LOL at all the hand wringing. It's like worrying about the sun comingup in the morning. The snow blitz is on the way, fear not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 00z GFS looks fantastic Check out our Thanksgiving storm bottoming out below 500dm at 500mb by Saturday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Couple of nice KU bombs at the end of the run as usual, I take it as weenie fodder from the gfs for next weekend right now, Until i start to see some other models coming around to show the same rather then a strung out front, If the euro starts to come around my attention level will be raised until then its just weather porn potential........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 I never took those as serious posts At least you conduct them in a serious manner though with humor. There exist many hobbyists on this board who demonstrate far greater meteorological prowess than I, but what I do bring to the table is a thorough understanding of SNE climo and the micro cilmates that exist within it......I have an expansive memory bank of individual events and though I maybe not be able to proficiently interpret an H5 map or a sounding, I can provide a pretty viable depiction of what will transpire in a given event via my understanding of rudimentary metorological principles..... and most importantly, the ability to recall the subtle nuances of past events in meticulous detail and compare the track and antecedent conditions present with respect to a current system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 I think even Will would tell you that forecasting is about 30% meteorology and 70% experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 nice run on the GFS, time for some late nights watching models.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 nice run on the GFS, time for some late nights watching models.. I'll get excited when the EURO shows it within 84 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Couple of nice KU bombs at the end of the run as usual, I take it as weenie fodder from the gfs for next weekend right now, Until i start to see some other models coming around to show the same rather then a strung out front, If the euro starts to come around my attention level will be raised until then its just weather porn potential........ No kidding. Not only does the GFS give us a Thanksgiving primer, and two SECS, it also is a loaded gun upstream for the middle of the month. Obviously it's in the details, but we have a highly compressible flow along with persistent ridging near Baffin Island and the upstream disturbance serving as a 50/50 low for the next in line. That's gonna add 30" of potential to my seasonal tally lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Well if there is anything to be taken out of this GFS run is that it looks like its cold with an active pattern potential for storms in the next 15 days, Is the gfs sniffing out something for next weekend? Who knows, It has in the past only to lose it for a few more runs then the euro shows up with it to only have the gfs play catch up and come back to it a couple days before the event, we shall see going forward........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 I'll get excited when the EURO shows it within 84 hrs. I'm usually sleeping for the EURO, but either way I'm not excited yet, just interested, I've been reading all the previous posts and I know there has been lots of talk about potential, so we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 There exist many hobbyists on this board who demonstrate far greater meteorological prowess than I, but what I do bring to the table is a thorough understanding of SNE climo and the micro cilmates that exist within it......I have an expansive memory bank of individual events and though I maybe not be able to proficiently interpret an H5 map or a sounding, I can provide a pretty viable depiction of what will transpire in a given event via my understanding of rudimentary metorological principles..... and most importantly, the ability to recall the subtle nuances of past events in meticulous detail and compare the track and antecedent conditions present with respect to a current system. Those are certainly excellent traits to have, especially having a great understanding of climo and the microclimates, and being able to remember events that were duds or busts...many people usually only remember the good ones (or a bust if it's REALLY bad). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 No kidding. Not only does the GFS give us a Thanksgiving primer, and two SECS, it also is a loaded gun upstream for the middle of the month. Obviously it's in the details, but we have a highly compressible flow along with persistent ridging near Baffin Island and the upstream disturbance serving as a 50/50 low for the next in line. That's gonna add 30" of potential to my seasonal tally lol At least its pretty easy to shovel......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Those are certainly excellent traits to have, especially having a great understanding of climo and the microclimates, and being able to remember events that were duds or busts...many people usually only remember the good ones (or a bust if it's REALLY bad). Off the top of my weenie, the only poster that I'd absolutely and without hesitation rate ahead of myself in that respect is Will.......good friends with guy for about 3.5 years and I'm still not convinced that he's entirely human. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 I'm usually sleeping for the EURO, but either way I'm not excited yet, just interested, I've been reading all the previous posts and I know there has been lots of talk about potential, so we will see. This certainly beats watching continuous sunshine with temps in the 80's for a 3 week stretch....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 No kidding. Not only does the GFS give us a Thanksgiving primer, and two SECS, it also is a loaded gun upstream for the middle of the month. Obviously it's in the details, but we have a highly compressible flow along with persistent ridging near Baffin Island and the upstream disturbance serving as a 50/50 low for the next in line. That's gonna add 30" of potential to my seasonal tally lol I still have muddy patches of potantialbanks along the sides of my driveway from last season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 This certainly beats watching continuous sunshine with temps in the 80's for a 3 week stretch....... no question, this summer was brutal, especially reading the same people go back and forth about torch/drought /TSorms etc. etc.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Off the top of my weenie, the only poster that I'd absolutely and without hesitation rate ahead of myself in that respect is Will.......good friends with guy for about 3.5 years and I'm still not convinced that he's entirely human. He is a weather encyclopedia....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 There exist many hobbyists on this board who demonstrate far greater meteorological prowess than I, but what I do bring to the table is a thorough understanding of SNE climo and the micro cilmates that exist within it......I have an expansive memory bank of individual events and though I maybe not be able to proficiently interpret an H5 map or a sounding, I can provide a pretty viable depiction of what will transpire in a given event via my understanding of rudimentary metorological principles..... and most importantly, the ability to recall the subtle nuances of past events in meticulous detail and compare the track and antecedent conditions present with respect to a current system. I usually just look at it like I'll get snow and the CP will get rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 no question, this summer was brutal, especially reading the same people go back and forth about torch/drought /TSorms etc. etc.. Ryan, Kev and wiz. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Off the top of my weenie, the only poster that I'd absolutely and without hesitation rate ahead of myself in that respect is Will.......good friends with guy for about 3.5 years and I'm still not convinced that he's entirely human. Yeah his memory is like a freaking computer It's amazing how much he can remember from memory and do it in a split second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 Ryan, Kev and wiz. lol This was a fun summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2010 Share Posted November 21, 2010 no question, this summer was brutal, especially reading the same people go back and forth about torch/drought /TSorms etc. etc.. Yeah, It was pretty boring day after day of the same, It was great for my golf game and i enjoyed the nice weather as far as that goes, But the winter season really is what i live for up here as i snowmobile it for the most part.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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