October 2026

[guinness77]

Why the hell can it never be like this on a damn Sunday?? 

[SACRUS]

Up to 75 in / out of the clouds but a nice day. 

[FPizz]

72 today, managed to sneak out and hit a few balls at the range.  Taking a half day tomorrow to get in a golf round.  Forecast is 77 and sunny.  

[WestBabylonWeather]

Couldn’t ask for a nicer day weather wise 

 

from top of the rock 

[straphanger]

4 hours ago, guinness77 said:

Why the hell can it never be like this on a damn Sunday?? 

Pretty terrible that we've strung together three weekends in a row with a crappy Sunday.  Especially during peak fall outdoor activity season.  At least the streak will be over this weekend with Friday being the unsettled day instead.  

[donsutherland1]

Tomorrow through Wednesday will be warmer than normal days. Highs should reach the upper 60s and lower 70s. Temperatures could peak in the middle to perhaps upper 70s on Wednesday ahead of a cold front. Newark could make a run at 80°.

Cooler weather will then arrive for Thursday and Friday. There is increasing potential that a piece of an air mass that set a record low temperatures in parts of Canada during the weekend could move into the region for next weekend. The arrival of this air mass could trigger a few showers on Friday or Friday night. As a result, the weekend could see the coldest temperatures so far this season.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.3°C for the week centered around October 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.73°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.03°C. ENSO Region 3.4 has set a new all-time record. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. 

The SOI was -17.60 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.903 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 56% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.3° (0.4° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.4° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[SACRUS]

Today's Highs:



ACY: 78
New Brnswck: 75
EWR: 74
JFK:74
PHL: 74
BLM: 73
TEB: 73
ISP: 72
LGA: 72
TTN: 72

NYC: 70

[LibertyBell]

12 hours ago, bluewave said:

Impressive how most of the weekends this year have had at least some measurable precipitation. Next significant storm appears to be set for Friday. But the way things have been going, we could have some lingering rain into early Saturday. 

 

 

I wouldn't call it impressive I'd call it horrible.  The heavy rains and high winds  have brought an early end to the fall foliage season here as more than half the leaves are already down here. Officially the highest wind gust was 31 mph here but it went on for many hours and did some damage.

11 hours ago, MANDA said:

Solid soaking areawide.    1.88" here.

Close to 3 inches here and many branches are down and more than half the leaves on the trees have also come down so I guess that means we are officially past peak. Expecting our first freeze next weekend anyway.

 

By the way I see Mt Pocono in the yellow with 2.80 inches (and 31 mph wind gusts) but what is that yellow marker just to the west of Jim Thorpe and Lehighton? Is that 2.81 inches in Hazleton? It's just off the western edge of the map.

 

 

[bluewave]

7 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

I wouldn't call it impressive I'd call it horrible.  The heavy rains and high winds  have brought an early end to the fall foliage season here as more than half the leaves are already down here. Officially the highest wind gust was 31 mph here but it went on for many hours and did some damage.

Close to 3 inches here and many branches are down and more than half the leaves on the trees have also come down so I guess that means we are officially past peak. Expecting our first freeze next weekend anyway.

 

By the way I see Mt Pocono in the yellow with 2.80 inches (and 31 mph wind gusts) but what is that yellow marker just to the west of Jim Thorpe and Lehighton? Is that 2.81 inches in Hazleton? It's just off the western edge of the map.

 

 

Just be grateful that we didn’t get the tree damage they just got around Great Falls. Record warmth start to October followed by an early record snowstorm. Rachael’s moisture streamed up into that area and met air cold enough for heavy wet snow with the trees still leafed out. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NBYb7eyjY-k

 

Climatological Data for Great Falls Area, MT (ThreadEx) - October 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2026-10-01	62	33	47.5	-3.9	17	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-02	77	41	59.0	8.0	6	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-03	71	38	54.5	3.9	10	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-04	82	36	59.0	8.9	6	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-05	85	52	68.5	18.8	0	4	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-06	81	46	63.5	14.3	1	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-07	76	44	60.0	11.2	5	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-08	80	43	61.5	13.2	3	0	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-09	81	54	67.5	19.7	0	3	0.00	0.0	0
2026-10-10	56	31	43.5	-3.9	21	0	1.29	6.4	0
2026-10-11	32	30	31.0	-15.9	34	0	0.83	9.3	8
2026-10-12	34	29	31.5	-15.0	33	0	0.03	M	M

Maximum 2-Day Total Snowfall 
for Great Falls Area, MT (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	15.7	2026-10-10 through 2026-10-11	0
2	12.4	2020-10-17 through 2020-10-18	0