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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion


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12z Euro looking like it maximizes our weekend nor'easter/hybrid system east of the Delmarva and swings it right into the Jersey coast sub 990mb. Biggest worries are going to be coastal winds/rain/waves. Inland areas are unlikely to see serious impacts beyond gusty winds and outer rain bands, unless this thing trends closer to the coast with a faster dumbbell/slingshot west.

floop-ecmwf_full-2026092212.prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp.us_ne.gif.b01c42b60b290d80a4c5324e64420432.gif

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3 hours ago, Newman said:

12z Euro looking like it maximizes our weekend nor'easter/hybrid system east of the Delmarva and swings it right into the Jersey coast sub 990mb. Biggest worries are going to be coastal winds/rain/waves. Inland areas are unlikely to see serious impacts beyond gusty winds and outer rain bands, unless this thing trends closer to the coast with a faster dumbbell/slingshot west.

floop-ecmwf_full-2026092212.prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp.us_ne.gif.b01c42b60b290d80a4c5324e64420432.gif

I'm going to the classic car show/Irish weekend in Wildwood this weekend.  Perfect timing, as per usual.   If it's going to be rained out, may as well do it right!  lol

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8 hours ago, hazwoper said:

Someone want to start a storm thread?  :facepalm:

Meh. 

 

Overnight runs shifted it east. Both Euro and GFS 6z this morning have it missing us completely and into Boston. 

 

Which is good cause it's Homecoming at the school this weekend and my wife is freaking out. Why I have no idea. 

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17 hours ago, Newman said:

12z Euro looking like it maximizes our weekend nor'easter/hybrid system east of the Delmarva and swings it right into the Jersey coast sub 990mb. Biggest worries are going to be coastal winds/rain/waves. Inland areas are unlikely to see serious impacts beyond gusty winds and outer rain bands, unless this thing trends closer to the coast with a faster dumbbell/slingshot west.

floop-ecmwf_full-2026092212.prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp.us_ne.gif.b01c42b60b290d80a4c5324e64420432.gif

Trash model

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Our stretch of below normal temperature days looks to continue through the weekend before a nice moderating trend next week. We look mainly dry through Friday and then we will have to watch what the coastal storm does to see what if any impacts in may bring this far west of the coast. See the ChescoWx vs. The NWS 7 day forecast for EN below.

image.thumb.png.ab31dfe828beff5fd5e5f5052b4951d5.pngimage.thumb.png.f2326d6a73c24eb43f10f4c4012db436.pngimage.thumb.png.2cec0a4226d1559a012fca562ff3a220.png

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