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Monday, August 31 - Thursday, September 3, 2026 Convective Episodes


weatherwiz
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6 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Let me ask the question in a non-contentious manner...will the maritime air over us now destroy these storms?

Models had decent dynamics with warm air advection generating storms over us a day ago, but now it seems to be diving more into PA and SE NY where better instability is. This is the theme all season. 

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3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Models had decent dynamics with warm air advection generating storms over us a day ago, but now it seems to be diving more into PA and SE NY where better instability is. This is the theme all season. 

Because of the high to our east . They always try to scour out the door airmass too quickly. It’s exactly as I described 

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40 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Because of the high to our east . They always try to scour out the door airmass too quickly. It’s exactly as I described 

That’s not true I just explained why. They had storms in a WAA pattern despite SE winds. Now stein. 

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On 9/1/2026 at 4:35 PM, weatherwiz said:

 

Yup...precisely this. 

At least for this period, there were some hints the end of last week we could see a bit more flexing of the ridge into our region versus previous instances this summer but that did not happen. It actually looks to happen for Thursday's potential but we get screwed over other ways lol. 

Its really amazing how when you look at this from a climatological perspective, more often than not, this is exactly what happens and the cutoff is always pretty much the same exact geography. Pretty fascinating from a science perspective 

Good points, just don't less recency bias influence you! :D  I go back to the big snowstorms this past winter, and you still act like, "never any good winters again!!"

4 lousy snow years/storms until Jan 2026, and you act like it was 40 years!  And I hear things like, "PVD gets 37" and I only get 24" -- "WORST STAWM EV-A!
 

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