Prue11 Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: probably downpours are the biggest threat with this.... Fine by me. The 4th of July storms did enough damage in my area 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 15 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I personally think it won't be anything too significant. Lots of cloud cover in place. Destabilizing activity moving in now. Most enhanced or higher risks tend to disappoint for whatever reason good luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 18 Author Share Posted July 18 Some showers and storms moving through already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 some clearing to the south - maybe - depends on the smoke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: some clearing to the south - maybe depends on the smoke Short lives as the batch of showers/rain in CPA coming in the next hour or two 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 Well the NAM seems like it has it nailed so far. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 Severe threat is legit today. Storms will be dynamicly driven given the cold front. Veering winds could produce a few tornados. Main threat is damaging wind which looks higher end at the moment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 The severe threat isn’t unitil mid afternoon. The only model thus far that has handled the convection ongoing reasonably well is the HRRR. All the ingredients are there but storm coverage will still be scattered. If the warm front gets hung up further South that would shift the main threat more towards Philly but SPC and NWS confidence is high which is why the elevated risk was expanded Northeast. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 18 Author Share Posted July 18 Thundering with storms approaching 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 9 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Thundering with storms approaching Yeah good looking storm about to hit our area. I'm glad we're getting lucky early just in case the stuff later misses us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 10 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Thundering with storms approaching The atmosphere is in the bullpen warming up for this afternoons game 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 4 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah good looking storm about to hit our area. I'm glad we're getting lucky early just in case the stuff later misses us. no warnings so far for anything - warm front is approaching - noisy little storm - loud thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: no warnings so far for anything - warm front is approaching Yeah not warned but man I can hear a ton of thunder from this storm that's about to hit northern Middlesex County and Union. I'm excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 18 Author Share Posted July 18 1 minute ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah not warned but man I can hear a ton of thunder from this storm that's about to hit northern Middlesex County and Union. I'm excited. Yeah not severe but looks nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Yeah not severe but looks nice wow - loudest thunder yet this season - sounded like a shotgun blast..........atmosphere is charged up anyone else experience that here in central nj ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 Pouring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: wow - loudest thunder yet this season - sounded like a shotgun blast..........atmosphere is charged up anyone else experience that here in central nj ? Gotta love warm front storms , sometimes they produce the best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 11 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: no warnings so far for anything - warm front is approaching - noisy little storm - loud thunder The Northern part of the line is warned now. 60mph winds and nickle hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 9 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: wow - loudest thunder yet this season - sounded like a shotgun blast..........atmosphere is charged up anyone else experience that here in central nj ? Yeah I just had an extremely close lightning strike that sounded like a shotgun blast too. Love it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 Two photos of the smoke that returned. It's nowhere near as thick or at the low level as it was on Thursday. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 1 minute ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah I just had an extremely close lightning strike that sounded like a shotgun blast too. Love it! not sure if it is cloud to ground lightning or elevated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 Storm blowing up just to my west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 18 Author Share Posted July 18 Definitely intensifying into a solid line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 Lots of thunder here and sky is dark. Per radar a drenching is about to take place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 Heavy rain, very loud thunder and lightning. Nice little show going on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RockawayRowdies Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 Loud booms here in Rockaway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 Lights flickering.....PLEASE NO. Not ready for another round of power outages. Not now and not later today. Just no. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 Not as bad but still disgusting. AQIs are still around 200. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 You have to wonder if this early convection is messing up our chances for later, but I don't care -- that was a very nice storm. I got a quick 0.46" from it. Glad the vegetable garden got a good watering. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 18 Share Posted July 18 1 minute ago, winterwx21 said: You have to wonder if this early convection is messing up our chances for later, but I don't care -- that was a very nice storm. I got a quick 0.46" from it. Glad the vegetable garden got a good watering. However we get the rain I’m good with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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