Junorch obs and discussion 2026

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Could not have picked a better day to head to BID

 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

 

[kdxken]

5 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Drive 12 hours in any direction on land and you're still 90 or better

Unfortunately for heat lovers until that time, if and when it appears you won't find many spots cooler than here.

 

[Typhoon Tip]

12 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Unfortunately for heat lovers until that time, if and when it appears you won't find many spots cooler than here.

 

You sound far too certain of that for 222 hours out

Also keep in mind those are probability charts are not actually cooler than normal in the scaler sense

It’s telling you, there’s a low chance for cooler than normal and it doesn’t say how much cooler is normal either

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

You sound far too certain that for 222 hours out
 

Also keep in mind those are probability charts are not actually cooler than normal in the scaler sense

It’s telling you, there’s a low chance for cooler than normal and it doesn’t say how much cooler is normal either

The cool charts have been wrong all spring/ summer. Right now Junorch is top 3 warmest in his area of Boston . He was posting blue BN maps everyday lol

[Chrisrotary12]

11 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

Probably cooked for any severe weather potential here on Thursday. Going to have widespread clouds with the warm front moving through and we won't have time to really destabilize during the afternoon. Plus with poor lapse rates and a weakly uncapped airmass, we'll remain heavy in the clouds with pop up showers. Could be interesting though just off to the west, particularly in the lower Hudson Valley. May have to watch Fairfield County though 

Could have only said the bolded

[Typhoon Tip]

11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The cool charts have been wrong all spring/ summer. Right now Junorch is top 3 warmest in his area of Boston . He was posting blue BN maps everyday lol

Lol well, I’m not in any kind of troll fight between you two

I’m just trying to clarify what I’ve already said many times too, about those probability charts, but everybody keeps posting them like it’s a colder than normal outlook.  He may not have intended that just makin sure .

[kdxken]

25 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

You sound far too certain of that for 222 hours out

Also keep in mind those are probability charts are not actually cooler than normal in the scaler sense

It’s telling you, there’s a low chance for cooler than normal and it doesn’t say how much cooler is normal either

And you're confident at 360 hours?

[Torch Tiger]

I saw a truck with "f* summer" decal -snowmobile and skidoo on opposing side...surely someone who posts here 

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

I saw a truck with "f* summer" decal -snowmobile and skidoo on opposing side...surely someone who posts here 

ACATT

[Typhoon Tip]

37 minutes ago, kdxken said:

And you're confident at 360 hours?

in this case, not any specifics, but I’m better than 50/50 that cool ‘potential’ before the end of June, we are in back below normal, is subjected to being modified ….how much so remains to be seen… And that bigger heat’s likely returned by July 1 … which means it could even be earlier

[vortex95]

11 hours ago, tamarack said:

All true, and the newsies seem always focused on the worst-case scenarios.  ("If it bleeds, it leads.")

In any given situation, the worst-case scenario is the least likely to happen in the mean.  The notion, "better safe than sorry" is a weasel line to give an excuse to always go w/ the worst-case scenario. 

Also, "we are saving lives!"  Forecasts and awareness has become so good in recent decades, one can't hide behind that as an excuse anymore.  Lives are lost now more IMHO b/c people have become numb and apathetic to the relentless hype.  They have no idea what to believe, so many just tune it all out.   That ends up costing lives when a truly exceptional event (worst-case) occurs, and it's made even worse b/c the exceptional events are greatest risk to lives.

I admit though this is an extremely complex social issue, among other things, and no easy way to figure out what works best.  One thing i will stand by solid though. "more [warnings/alerts} is not always better!"