2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion

[high risk]

11 hours ago, vortex95 said:

Yet another solid 500 trough for July,  This time actuality cuts-off and is slow to move out, so looks like Mon-Wed tstms each day in some form, and maybe Thu if the ECMWF is right.  Tue appears the best for svr wx currently.

         The Euro is a legit severe solution for Tuesday.   The GFS screams "dying MCS moves through at 9AM and kills off the afternoon threat".

[Kmlwx]

1 hour ago, high risk said:

         The Euro is a legit severe solution for Tuesday.   The GFS screams "dying MCS moves through at 9AM and kills off the afternoon threat".

Dueling models

[Eskimo Joe]

10 hours ago, high risk said:

         The Euro is a legit severe solution for Tuesday.   The GFS screams "dying MCS moves through at 9AM and kills off the afternoon threat".

I'll still take the Euro over the GFS.

[yoda]

https://partnerservices.nws.noaa.gov/products/cache/205-2026/PNSLWX/c88b4b76421e8f7e48bd910a1aa7a19e

Didnt see this posted yet

[ravensrule]

On 7/24/2026 at 7:53 PM, CAPE said:

I am definitely skinny CAPE- relatively modest updrafts but over a vertically deep layer(quite long/tall) and with lots of juice. 

@ravensrulewill be along shortly

Unfortunately it was longly this time. I love that you have a lot of juice though. Please don’t waste it.