March 2026

[NEG NAO]

20 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I still think we snow alittle 

Big snow storms in March are not unusual for New York | FOX 5 New York

[psv88]

75 in Buffalo and 46 here. Horrific 

[NEG NAO]

6 minutes ago, psv88 said:

75 in Buffalo and 46 here. Horrific 

its all about the direction of the wind away from the coast next week in our region we will reach 70 BUT some areas of the Jersey coast and Long Island will be under 60 or under 50 and I bet some person here will mention the extra hour of daylight helping the high temp

[psv88]

1 minute ago, NEG NAO said:

its all about the direction of the wind

It’s horrific

[WeatherGeek2025]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Euro has nothing but alot of waves in this pattern .

anything could happen, the truth is we won't know not much snow left here.

[MJO812]

12 minutes ago, psv88 said:

It’s horrific

Its typical here 

[NEG NAO]

30 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Euro has nothing but alot of waves in this pattern .

that would be a Sunday into Monday event which matches the seasonal pattern so far - 3 storms already this season Sunday or Sunday into Monday

[Freezing Drizzle]

March 2004, the season with two March storms, both in mid-March, after no snowstorms in February. Check the synoptics out.

http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather

[NEG NAO]

12 minutes ago, Freezing Drizzle said:

March 2004, the season with two March storms, both in mid-March, after no snowstorms in February. Check the synoptics out.

http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather

I can top that example check out 1895-1896

monthlyseasonalsnowfall.pdf

[psv88]

48 and the sky is brightening just a bit now. 

[jm1220]

1 hour ago, psv88 said:

It’s horrific

36 degree waters at Jones Beach. Lots more misery to come. 

[jm1220]

1 hour ago, psv88 said:

48 and the sky is brightening just a bit now. 

And 41 degrees at the barrier islands. Upper 40s and a seabreeze lol. 

[MJO812]

46 and cloudy here

[donsutherland1]

A once great blanket of snow now lies in scattered, broken fragments. Across the landscape, winter’s grip is breaking. Large, weathered piles of snow, grayed by time and road dust, stand as the last monuments to the winter that was. Soon, these remnants will surrender to the strengthening sun and the season's inexorable rise in temperatures. One by one they will dissolve into water, soaking into the ground or running along the sides of streets. With their departure, the last visible traces of the season’s story will disappear from an increasingly colorful landscape that will emerge as the calendar presses deeper into spring.

Following some early fog, tomorrow will provide an early taste of spring. Clouds will break and the temperature will surge into the lower and perhaps middle 60s across much of the region. The eastern half of Long Island and south shores of Long Island and Connecticut will remain markedly cooler. Interior sections of New Jersey could see the mercury approach or reach 70°. 

The first half of next week will likely see highs in the 60s. Some 70s are possible in the warmer spots, especially in interior New Jersey. Long Island and coastal sections could be noticeably cooler than interior sections on a number of days on account of a chilly onshore flow.

Afterward, it could turn cooler. However, with the AO likely to remain generally positive, the cool period likely won't be as prolonged as had been the case during this past winter's cold regimes. There may be a short window of opportunity for some snow, but snow is not assured.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around February 25. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.62°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.28°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have now developed. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was +30.11 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.140 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 56% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 43.6° (0.8° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[Prue11]

Match 2018 had to be the snowiest March here in Suffolk, correct me if I’m wrong?

[cmillzz]

38 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

A once great blanket of snow now lies in scattered, broken fragments. Across the landscape, winter’s grip is breaking. Large, weathered piles of snow, grayed by time and road dust, stand as the last monuments to the winter that was. Soon, these remnants will surrender to the strengthening sun and the season's inexorable rise in temperatures. One by one they will dissolve into water, soaking into the ground or running along the sides of streets. With their departure, the last visible traces of the season’s story will disappear from an increasingly colorful landscape that will emerge as the calendar presses deeper into spring.

Following some early fog, tomorrow will provide an early taste of spring. Clouds will break and the temperature will surge into the lower and perhaps middle 60s across much of the region. The eastern half of Long Island and south shores of Long Island and Connecticut will remain markedly cooler. Interior sections of New Jersey could see the mercury approach or reach 70°. 

The first half of next week will likely see highs in the 60s. Some 70s are possible in the warmer spots, especially in interior New Jersey. Long Island and coastal sections could be noticeably cooler than interior sections on a number of days on account of a chilly onshore flow.

Afterward, it could turn cooler. However, with the AO likely to remain generally positive, the cool period likely won't be as prolonged as had been the case during this past winter's cold regimes. There may be a short window of opportunity for some snow, but snow is not assured.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around February 25. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.62°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.28°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have now developed. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was +30.11 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.140 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 56% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 43.6° (0.8° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

Would be surprised if NYC only finishes with a +0.8 departure, but still very early so can understand being conservative.

[donsutherland1]

1 minute ago, cmillzz said:

Would be surprised if NYC only finishes with a +0.8 departure, but still very early so can understand being conservative.

I expect it will wind up warmer. I think the warming post 3/21 isn't adequately reflected, but we'll see.