March Madness

[Baroclinic Zone]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Right on the edge but has a 5 spot.over me.. not sure how that's horrible

Because is a snowfall graphic, which are POS in general, have no basis in real meteorology, are notoriously south of where actual snows are, and lastly will perform even worse than they already do during transition season when snow ratios tend to be lower.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

Because is a snowfall graphic, which are POS in general, have no basis in real meteorology, are notoriously south of where actual snows are, and lastly will perform even worse than they already do during transition season when snow ratios tend to be lower.

You can’t reason with the Weenieators.

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

You’re out on Tue PM?

That looks like ice ending as rain. That trended to congrats Dendy . Pretty strong CAD and mesolow signal 

[CoastalWx]

Why is Torch Tiger so confused lately? Where did they touch you?

[ineedsnow]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You can’t reason with the Weenieators.

Remember how good they were march 2023 up here 

[ORH_wxman]

8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Remember how good they were march 2023 up here 

Not remotely the same. You had like 2”+ of QPF with epic rates. 

[ORH_wxman]

The type of torch modeled this week honestly sucks. I’m 100% with Kevin. If we’re not gonna be 60+, then keep it winter. Nothing worse than 40s and 50s with some CAD 30s rain mixed in there. Absolute utter garbage. 
 

Maybe next week we can get a clean warm sector but lotta lead time for things to go sideways. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

The type of torch modeled this week honestly sucks. I’m 100% with Kevin. If we’re not gonna be 60+, then keep it winter. Nothing worse than 40s and 50s with some CAD 30s rain mixed in there. Absolute utter garbage. 
 

Maybe next week we can get a clean warm sector but lotta lead time for things to go sideways. 

And they think I’m crazy in the head needing to be committed. The mega torch vanished and instead typical spring misery replaced it.(expected) but was hoping they were right about extended warmth 

[dendrite]

Yeah I’ll take those 40s and 50s…thanks

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

And they think I’m crazy in the head needing to be committed. The mega torch vanished and instead typical spring misery replaced it.(expected) but was hoping they were right about extended warmth 

This week wasn’t a torch. Seek help.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

This week wasn’t a torch. Seek help.

Next week . Try to follow along 

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Next week . Try to follow along 

Oh so we already verified next week? Cool. I’ll follow along.

[H2Otown_WX]

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

Take a look at the 5 day EPS anomalies. Massive blowtorch signal. 2012 type stuff

Anyone that thinks it's just a 1-2 day warmup is fooling themselves 

That being said. I do think it'll turn a lot colder end of March especially the last week. I also think March will have the warmest anomalies of the year. 

April-May will be a lot colder and even BN

Really hope you're wrong on that 

[Baroclinic Zone]

I’ll take 50s in early March. That’s a solid +10 margin for the area.

[Baroclinic Zone]

17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The type of torch modeled this week honestly sucks. I’m 100% with Kevin. If we’re not gonna be 60+, then keep it winter. Nothing worse than 40s and 50s with some CAD 30s rain mixed in there. Absolute utter garbage. 
 

Maybe next week we can get a clean warm sector but lotta lead time for things to go sideways. 

 

15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

And they think I’m crazy in the head needing to be committed. The mega torch vanished and instead typical spring misery replaced it.(expected) but was hoping they were right about extended warmth 

 

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Next week . Try to follow along 

You just contradicted yourself when you supported Will. He’s also talking about a torch next week, not this week.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

 

 

You just contradicted yourself when you supported Will. He’s also talking about a torch next week, not this week.

No . This week is wet and cool to mild. Next week 70’s vanished. Not hard to follow 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

 

 

You just contradicted yourself when you supported Will. He’s also talking about a torch next week, not this week.

He’s a mess 

[CoastalWx]

I guess one last winter day to enjoy tomorrow and then we’ll wait to reset hopefully for one last hurrah.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

No . This week is wet and cool to mild. Next week 70’s vanished. Not hard to follow 

Next week could still spike but I’m always skeptical. 

[CoastalWx]

Though Rt 2 north Tuesday aftn.

[jbenedet]

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

Take a look at the 5 day EPS anomalies. Massive blowtorch signal. 2012 type stuff

Anyone that thinks it's just a 1-2 day warmup is fooling themselves 

That being said. I do think it'll turn a lot colder end of March especially the last week. I also think March will have the warmest anomalies of the year. 

April-May will be a lot colder and even BN

Looks opposite from this time last year. 
 

I’m expecting AN March and April.

[Baroclinic Zone]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

No . This week is wet and cool to mild. Next week 70’s vanished. Not hard to follow 

Who is/was saying 70s for here? 60s are a legit possibility. Models doing what models do in transitional periods, Some read the tea leaves and some smoke them.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Who is/was saying 70s for here? 60s are a legit possibility. Models doing what models do in transitional periods, Some read the tea leaves and some smoke them.

Salesman ftl

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Who is/was saying 70s for here? 60s are a legit possibility. Models doing what models do in transitional periods, Some read the tea leaves and some smoke them.

Many here were saying it. Maps posted, met or two saying the pattern allowed for it , at least a day or two etc etc . It’s all there to read 

[dendrite]

Like I said the other day…2012 isn’t happening. Even NNE was past mud season for that. That was a unicorn for mid March.

It’s definitely going to get tainted at the surface at times even with the big anomalies aloft. I don’t think anyone expected 5+ days of 65-70+. I just think we’ll get a day or two in there where we can get more of a W component…especially SoP where the boundaries like to hang up in Wor county.

Could be a dew day in there before the cold front comes through to end the warm stretch. That would eat some snow. 

[dendrite]

6z eps aifs are still really consistently warm though. Supposedly it’s the best guidance. We’ll see. Still a week out though…seems like we’ve been following it for weeks. 
 

[Typhoon Tip]

27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

No . This week is wet and cool to mild. Next week 70’s vanished. Not hard to follow 

Well apparently it is ... because I've been on the conservative side of how warm it will get all along, and you keep dipshittingly misrepresenting what I've been saying. 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Like I said the other day…2012 isn’t happening. Even NNE was past mud season for that. That was a unicorn for mid March.

It’s definitely going to get tainted at the surface at times even with the big anomalies aloft. I don’t think anyone expected 5+ days of 65-70+. I just think we’ll get a day or two in there where we can get more of a W component…especially SoP where the boundaries like to hang up in Wor county.

Could be a dew day in there before the cold front comes through to end the warm stretch. That would eat some snow. 

Hope so . Morch is not a winter month so let’s warm quickly and dry 

[Johnno]

7 minutes ago, dendrite said:

6z eps aifs are still really consistently warm though. Supposedly it’s the best guidance. We’ll see. 
 

Oh wow we pray

[8611Blizz]

I'll take 45 and rain if it reduces these snow banks. . I want my two way streets back. Enough of this shit.