The February 22-23 Late Season Miracle: JV Disco/Banter Thread

[Ji]

Man I gotta take a break. This is putting me in a bad mood, lol

What’s wrong?

[IronTy]

55 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Man I gotta take a break. This is putting me in a bad mood, lol

Dude it's late February and we're looking at a noreaster probably half a foot+ of snow following record cold and one of the most anomalous snow events in DC history.  Life is good.  

[Maestrobjwa]

32 minutes ago, Ji said:

What’s wrong?

Well for starters...this

And this

And other such recent runs looking better up top and still the same crap in the middle.

 

[Maestrobjwa]

36 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Dude it's late February and we're looking at a noreaster probably half a foot+ of snow following record cold and one of the most anomalous snow events in DC history.  Life is good.  

I don't know about getting 6" man...these runs have Baltimore barely at warning level and we need to get lucky with that IVT and get rates and that's a proposition we've lost on many times. We are fortunate to be in the game at all this late in a nina February.

BUT...to your other point about the epic glacier? YES. That to me is looking to be the pinnacle of the winter unless something crazy happens tomorrow. That was truly remarkable...a 6.5 inch snowfall paralyzed the city for a week as if it were two feet. Bulldozers required. That is already a HUGE bonus for a Nina. I do need to remember that!

[IronTy]

3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Well for starters...this

And this

And other such recent runs looking better up top and still the same crap in the middle.

 

Accordion my to the snow contest totals, BWI can't get more than 13" of additional snow this season.  Sorry, that's just how it shakes out.  

[kurtstack]

LFG - Time to reel this one in!


.

[Ji]

I don't know about getting 6" man...these runs have Baltimore barely at warning level and we need to get lucky with that IVT and get rates and that's a proposition we've lost on many times. We are fortunate to be in the game at all this late in a nina February.
BUT...to your other point about the epic glacier? YES. That to me is looking to be the pinnacle of the winter unless something crazy happens tomorrow. That was truly remarkable...a 6.5 inch snowfall paralyzed the city for a week as if it were two feet. Bulldozers required. That is already a HUGE bonus for a Nina. I do need to remember that!

Relax dt has you at 10

[Kay]

1 hour ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Man I gotta take a break. This is putting me in a bad mood, lol

Breaks are good. Not saying that in a nasty way. They just are actually good for sanity. Tonight is a good time to get some rest now that I think of it. Arguably better prep for tomorrow than staring at models until your eyes spiral. 

[IronTy]

14 minutes ago, Ji said:

Relax dt has you at 10

This map is refreshingly easy to read by DT standards. 

[Wxtrix]

13 minutes ago, lazywxwatcher said:

First post.  Long time lurker and previous member of other weather forums.  Writing from Lancaster, PA - right in the middle of the county. 

Tough forecast here but seems NWS has it about correct at 6-12" but could still boom or bust depending on the western edge of the deformation band early Monday.  Our low guidance is about 6" Euro and high is about 16-20" on short range NAM/RAP/HRRR.  The latter three all rotate bands deep into PA as the storm bombs out.  

Hope you DC-Balto folks get your snow.  Seems a broad 3-8" but lots of boom or bust scenarios down that way as well.  

First obs:  31.3 here, dpt29.  Clear skies.  Will prob climb late with some mixing and cloud cover.

 

oh thank God. i have been fretting all day not knowing what the weather was going to be in Pennsylvania.

[snowfan]

Current ob....cloudy w a chance of a goose island chocolate praline barrel aged stout. 

[Demeter]

Yeah, I wish I was going to see more snow, but this is a fun one to watch evolve. I’m excited to see what kind of beast this storm turns into. 

[Maestrobjwa]

1 hour ago, Kay said:

Breaks are good. Not saying that in a nasty way. They just are actually good for sanity. Tonight is a good time to get some rest now that I think of it. Arguably better prep for tomorrow than staring at models until your eyes spiral. 

And then as soon as I think about taking a break the NAM does that! DANG it, hahaha

[PrinceFrederickWx]

Excuse my ignorance, but what does “getting Raleigh’d” mean? I keep seeing this phrase on here now- seems to mean getting screwed out of snow somehow?

[Deep Creek]

14 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

Excuse my ignorance, but what does “getting Raleigh’d” mean? I keep seeing this phrase on here now- seems to mean getting screwed out of snow somehow?

It’s a reference to the last snow storm that NC got. Raleigh was modeled to get hit pretty good, but they got fringed on both the ULL snow and the coastal. Think they still ended up with several inches, but east and west got it much better.

[nw baltimore wx]

I wasn't going to do it because I'm pretty tired from working all day, but I think I'll pour a nice slug of a good whiskey for the gfs.  

[ravensrule]

29 minutes ago, Deep Creek said:

It’s a reference to the last snow storm that NC got. Raleigh was modeled to get hit pretty good, but they got fringed on both the ULL snow and the coastal. Think they still ended up with several inches, but east and west got it much better.

They ended up with 4”. 

[AlexD1990]

Really not trying to make light of it, but WTF is a "state of preparedness"? Lol why not just do a state of emergency?

@Eskimo Joe are you able to shed any light on this?

[wasnow215]

2 hours ago, Wxtrix said:

 

oh thank God. i have been fretting all day not knowing what the weather was going to be in Pennsylvania.

Straight out of the "How to win friends and influence people" handbook I see haha!

[Wxtrix]

25 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said:

Really not trying to make light of it, but WTF is a "state of preparedness"? Lol why not just do a state of emergency?

@Eskimo Joe are you able to shed any light on this?

the storm hasn't started yet?

[wasnow215]

24 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said:

Really not trying to make light of it, but WTF is a "state of preparedness"? Lol why not just do a state of emergency?

@Eskimo Joe are you able to shed any light on this?

It's just another stupid thing someone made up bc "emergency" is too harsh in 2026 in our western culture.

[AlexD1990]

1 minute ago, Wxtrix said:

the storm hasn't started yet?

Trixie, come on now. How many times in the past have we seen a state of emergency be declared hours if not a day before a major weather event? Don't be obtuse.

[wasnow215]

Ok I've caught up on the banter thread after work but I do have a question. When we go to "storm mode" will all the Deb stuff that's so rampant tonight in the main thread have to be confined to banter?

[wasnow215]

Just now, AlexD1990 said:

Trixie, come on now. How many times in the past have we seen a state of emergency be declared hours if not a day before a major weather event? Don't be obtuse.

Never-and states have declared "state of emergency" plenty before things start for many years now.

[Kay]

3 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

It's just another stupid thing someone made up bc "emergency" is too harsh in 2026 in our western culture.

No, I just looked it up. It's not a euphemism, it's a phased approach. There's still a SOE.

[nw baltimore wx]

I'd love a blizzard, but I'd be very happy with 6 hours tomorrow evening of below freezing temps, moderate snow, and lots of wind.  If I end up with six or more inches of snow, I'd be thrilled.