Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS

[LVblizzard]

11 minutes ago, MGorse said:

We are seeing that lowering of snow amounts in the guidance on the western edge. Banding may end up being east of Berks and the Lehigh Valley, or there could be dual banding with one extending into this area at least for a time tonight.

Yeah I don’t think we’re completely out of the game by any means. All 12z hi-res guidance has at least some banding making it here. The totals end up being lower because it doesn’t stick around for as long due to a shift east in the track, plus geographic influences as I mentioned earlier.

[nesussxwx1]

40/36. Moderate to heavy rain. ACY.

[nesussxwx1]

Need this to verify.. would be an all-time great.

 

[kickingupastorm]

I guess DT was right after all. /s

[MickeyTim6533]

Just now, kickingupastorm said:

I guess DT was right after all. /s

ouch

[Violentweatherfan]

6 minutes ago, LVblizzard said:

Yeah I don’t think we’re completely out of the game by any means. All 12z hi-res guidance has at least some banding making it here. The totals end up being lower because it doesn’t stick around for as long due to a shift east in the track, plus geographic influences as I mentioned earlier.

From the Joe and Joe show snow ratios should be greater than 10:1 once on the west side of the storm as it pulls down colder air. Wind direction changes from easterly to northeasterly positively impacting accumulations 

[nesussxwx1]

DC folks are getting bent up. Not a good sign.

[Duca892]

2 minutes ago, kickingupastorm said:

I guess DT was right after all. /s

No one ever wants to admit but his reasoning for a no was sound. Granted he too caved to a storm lol

[Rnt1969]

[emoji[emoji6][emoji6]]


.

[MickeyTim6533]

1 minute ago, nesussxwx1 said:

DC folks are getting bent up. Not a good sign.

sadly we all knew this east shift could happen

[Rnt1969]

Man this is turning into a disaster


.

[MickeyTim6533]

Just now, Duca892 said:

No one ever wants to admit but his reasoning for a no was sound. Granted he too caved to a storm lol

the models were "congrats" NJ all week

[Blue Dream]

Don’t really understand the whining in here right now. Am I missing something?

[LVblizzard]

The bust declarations in here are crazy. Reading this thread you’d think we all went from 2 feet to nothing. How about letting this storm actually play out before whining.

[Chadzachadam]

LV may get fringed but philly area still in a great spot imo. This happened last storm too where day of everyone on here suddenly got super pessimistic. Trust the experts, could be a top 10 storm in Philly 

[MickeyTim6533]

Just now, Blue Dream said:

Don’t really understand the whining in here right now. Am I missing something?

the east shift

[nesussxwx1]

11 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said:

sadly we all knew this east shift could happen

Let's see how this turns out for DC folks. If they do well, western edge will overperform.

I just don't like the trends down there this morning, but too early to call a bust.

[Blue Dream]

Just now, MickeyTim6533 said:

the east shift

Barely, still looks great for a foot plus for many here. 

[MickeyTim6533]

although the NBM blend still looks good.'

 

[MGorse]

4 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said:

although the NBM blend still looks good.'

 

The 12z NBM does not include the 12z models. There is a lag.

[Roger Smith]

The 500 mb low is still back in Ohio and the explosive development phase has barely begun. This won't look anything like it does now by 18z. 

[kickingupastorm]

Just pregame jitters

 Philly and immediate n&w will be fine.

[The Iceman]

19 hours ago, The Iceman said:

First and only call:

shore points: 16-24”+ maybe a jackpot of 30” though I think 24” will be the lollipops. Potential for 30” is there though.

I 95/295/195/476 corridor 10-16” I think there will be lollipops of 20” wherever the 2nd deformation band away from the shore sets up in here. Unfortunately closer to 10” or possibly even a “bust” of 7-8” whoever gets caught in between the 2 deformation bands.

Lehigh Valley: 6-12” also depends on how far that deformation band makes it nw but I think at minimum 6” is looking like a good bet.

 

Mickeytims house: 0” … we can only hope.

i think this will be a region wide win. Some will just win more than others lol I expect tomorrow during the day will mostly be snow tv, possibly an inch or two on grassy surfaces but once the sun sets and intensity picks up it’s off to the races. 

If I had to make any adjustments I would trim NW but I said this is my only call and sticking with it  

[JTA66]

5 minutes ago, Blue Dream said:

Don’t really understand the whining in here right now. Am I missing something?

It never fails. “Storm’s canceled” or “Bust!” posts always appear before the first flake falls.

To the kiddies out there, step away from the computer and go outside to enjoy the weather. Regardless if you get 2” or 2’, it’s all destined to melt eventually.

[Violentweatherfan]

9 minutes ago, Blue Dream said:

Don’t really understand the whining in here right now. Am I missing something?

The trolls are out, just scroll on by.

[The Iceman]

21 minutes ago, nesussxwx1 said:

DC folks are getting bent up. Not a good sign.

Our climo and dc climo is completely different. In a storm like this, what happens there doesn’t matter here.

[mattinpa]

Just enjoy the storm. Way too early to call bust. And it will start melting way faster than last time, so savor what we get. 

[Hurricane Agnes]

12z 3k NAM is putting a bullseye on Cape Cod!

[Kevin Reilly]

Light rain snow flakes mixing in now 37f humidity 93% dew point 36f it’s obvious uppers are cooling.

Changeover to snow imminent.

 

 

[PhilsFanDrew]

It's nowcasting time, forget about model guidance now.