Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread

[Scraff]

If the snow gods are listening and watching…they’re probably laughing their asses off. “Look at these morons”. 

[LeesburgWx]

Who is doing PBP

[GATECH]

I feel like we have all gathered to watch a train wreck…live.  

[Ji]

no major changes through 3

[aldie 22]

Just now, LeesburgWx said:

Who is doing PBP

All the wrong people 

[DDweatherman]

Anyone see the 18z GFS AI? 

[bncho]

It was nice knowing yall

[Cobalt]

2 minutes ago, GATECH said:

I feel like we have all gathered to watch a train wreck…live.  

Honestly, we need some comical fall-off from this model if it won’t verify as-is. A cut down to 14” would feel like a gut punch because we know it would trend worse but have the outside hope that other models could compromise. A drop from 30 inches to a slushy inch in one run would be an all timer.

[Solution Man]

@stormtrackeryou have the com

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, aldie 22 said:

All the wrong people 

Hey, I got us to the promised land at 12z!

That said....not huge changes so far...but we're only at 24

[LeesburgWx]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Hey, I got us to the promised land at 12z!

That said....not huge changes so far...but we're only at 24

36 is where shit went wide ride in euro. We are about to know guys

[SnowenOutThere]

2 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

Who is doing PBP

I'll offer my input from what I outlined a few pages ago with the NS H5 lobe. Just know saying "its worse" or "it seems the same" may not directly translate to the surface outcome as all of this is very delicate. Even if the coastal fails the IVT could still snow on us.

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, Climate175 said:

He is the only one I pay attention to for the play by play lol. He’s good at it. 

Do you prefer umbrellas in the snow?

[DDweatherman]

2 minutes ago, Climate175 said:

He is the only one I pay attention to for the play by play lol. He’s good at it. 

If you think the Harlem globetrotters are as good as an nba team, then sure he’s good.

[stormtracker]

So at 36, so far..some noise level changes with the s/w in Canada ridging is just a hair flatter, but nothing to panic about....yet

[stormtracker]

Just now, DDweatherman said:

If you think the Harlem globetrotters are as good as an nba team, then sure he’s good.

Better than you, that's for sure.

[SnowenOutThere]

Through hour 27 and it hasn't completely caved to the Euro out west, though arguably may be a bit less stretched out (eg worse) 

[Climate175]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Do you prefer umbrellas in the snow?

Not if it’s a heavy wet snow lol. 

[bncho]

Just now, stormtracker said:

So at 36, so far..some noise level changes with the s/w in Canada ridging is just a hair flatter, but nothing to panic about....yet

Southern cottons slower and NS vort is more amped though

[SnowenOutThere]

Just now, bncho said:

Southern cottons slower and NS vort is more amped though

It should still be good - or at least close to good. 

[stormtracker]

Still noise level changes so far...nothing major

[bncho]

We’re going to like this run… I don’t think it’ll be a cave

[LeesburgWx]

Changes need to start happening if it’s going to be in euros camp

[Solution Man]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Still noise level changes so far...nothing major

What hour

[stormtracker]

Just ever so slightly amp'd in front, but again...not noteworthy so far

[Solution Man]

Get your popcorn ready

[stormtracker]

Here's the thing...it doesn't appear cave-y so far and still ton better than the GFS/NAM at the moment...but we know how shit can go left here

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

AI gfs looks slightly improved at 72, low a tad further NW. 

[SnowenOutThere]

It'll be a hold for all practical H5 purposes in overcoming the first hurdle of the interaction of the NS and SW. TBD if everything else also holds or shifts around.

[Cobalt]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Here's the thing...it doesn't appear cave-y so far and still ton better than the GFS/NAM at the moment...but we know how shit can go left here

The paradoxical model, capable of being better than itself