SeanInWayland Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 32 minutes ago, MuddyWx said: Before I take my pants off, someone assure me that somewhere there exists a study presenting some evidence of the increased skill of the NBM methodology. OK, never mind, taking pants off 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Everyone inside that swath of vorticity over S NH should have a shot at 2'+ This one? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 0z NAM bufkit at ORH. Ratios consistently 15-18:1. Not sure how much the wind knocks that down though.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: How much pack do you guys have up in NE MASS, I’m down to 6-8” Just SE of BOS. Varies but shade has like 15 or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 3 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: I am not saying you or I, but someone's going to get f'n porked with exhaust on either side 3-5" hour rates , wherever those static bands set up. <970 mb lol and maturing low with h5 south of us doesn't scream widespread 2' I thought it was good to have H5 go underneath one's area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, tunafish said: This one? Yup 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Albany played it safe: Winter Storm Watch, not upgraded yet, 4-8"Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, codfishsnowman said: I thought it was good to have H5 go underneath one's area It is, but you want it passing underneath you at max intensification rate, not after it's matured. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
met_fan Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 15 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Fuck the CTRV snow shadow Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Better than the Hudson shadow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, met_fan said: Better than the Hudson shadow One saving grace with MRV where I am...yea, I'm prone to subsidence from low level deformation near the coast, as we all know...but I don't get shadowed here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 PVD NAM bufkit is 3ft lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masswx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Heaviest has trended NW, too....from SE MA to s ORH CO/N RI This looks like it’s kuchera ratio no model shows a jack there in 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 For the three people who care, here's the GYX map. It has the 8-12" band within spitting distance of me. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 59 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It’s got like 0.50” QPF per hour for a couple panels, ha. I don't think CoastalWx could handle that!!! LOL. Too much PT at once! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, MuddyWx said: PVD NAM bufkit is 3ft lol Yes Ijd is 30 and look at the fukin wind gust at PVD 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 19 minutes ago, wxsniss said: 01z Feb 22 NBM (takeaway being that it trended up ingesting the evolving mix of models): I like this better than the wxbell version...where do you get that? 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, MuddyWx said: PVD NAM bufkit is 3ft lol My wife will have fun shoveling that. Even more funny is how bad the roads will be........narrow roads with on-street parking. It will be a disaster. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masswx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, Masswx said: This looks like it’s kuchera ratio no model shows a jack there in 10:1 It's proprietary...not kuchera. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masswx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, Masswx said: Final call 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Expand the 12-18 west 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Those with good memories - how does the guidance for this storm compare with Jan 2022? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masswx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: It's proprietary...not kuchera. Looks similar to all the models using kuchera thats all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yes Ijd is 30 and look at the fukin wind gust at PVD Nice that the peak winds and snows will be taking place during the day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Just SE of BOS. Varies but shade has like 15 or so. 12 shade 8 on level. JESUS you will have close to 40 by Wednesday 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Digityman Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 14 minutes ago, tunafish said: This one? Let's hope that sits over us. I'm ok with 12+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, Ginx snewx said: 12 shade 8 on level. JESUS you will have close to 40 by Wednesday Thoughts on drifts in blizzard warning zones? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuddyWx Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 PVD NAM bufkit.. my god. From 10z to 16z - 24", 30mph winds, 50-60mph gusts 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 minute ago, Masswx said: Looks similar to all the models using kuchera thats all Yea, because I'm sure it's greater than 10:1.....just saying it's not kuchera, though it maybe similar. my F5 site has a similar proprietary ratio formula. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Plow banks will be epic with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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