Santa Claus Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 sun angle 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2/17 12z GFS AI AIGFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 12z GFS AI AIGFS Total QPF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 That's beautiful. Looks like textbook KU. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 17 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Not sure I want to be in the jackpot 5-6 days out...but that's an incredible setup on the ICON Definitely uneasy being so far out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, Metasequoia said: That's beautiful. Looks like textbook KU. Looks like rain quickly to hvy snow - liek the ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Classic look. The AI models have performed well this winter so that's encouraging. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxbear25 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 25 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Not sure I want to be in the jackpot 5-6 days out...but that's an incredible setup on the ICON TECHNICALLY the jackpot would be NJ… but yeah, I know what you mean lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 As much as I’d love that to work out, driving the primary to Buffalo, typically has significant precip type problems for our area. But, as we need any and all precip at this point, let’s land this sucker! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Gfs is a slow moving big snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Monster hit for the coast with plenty of room to Come north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 GFS nearly stalls out south of eastern LI/sne hrs 132-144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 12Z GFS is an improvement over 6Z... stronger and more tucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 15 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 2/17 12z NYC QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 ICON: 1.7 / rain to hvy snow GFS AI AIGFS: 1.8 / rain to hvy snow GFS: 1.3 / Hvy snow Updated 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 12z GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Cmc went from nothing to a huge snowstorm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Jeez CMC is insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Bonkers run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Cmc is a weenies dream! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Jeez CMC is insane You’re going to make me renew my stormvista.STOP! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Typical model progression GGEM robust 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 I thought the 0z OP runs were high end... 12z runs going wild. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 This would be our biggest rabbit out of hat event in years if we get the storm spacing and phasing to work out just right. The general storm signal continues to grow. But it’s tough to lock in details around day 5-6 when so much can change between now and then. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 cmc that's the best case scenario for us! Biggest blizzard of our lives possible! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, SACRUS said: Typical model progression GGEM robust Insane 3-4 qpf now showing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 It’s cause Central Park got 3” In December. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 45 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 2/17 12z NYC QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 ICON: 1.7 / rain to hvy snow GFS AI AIGFS: 1.8 / rain to hvy snow GFS: 1.3 / Hvy snow GGEM: 1.9 / Hvy prolific snow Updated 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Just now, qg_omega said: Insane 3-4 qpf now showing up The CMC is also trying to turn Fri-Sat into an event followed by one of the biggest blizzards in NYC metro area history. If that’s correct, it would completely cripple the area for days on end, probably over a week 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 This is a really strong signal for five days in advance... and the models have noted the potential for several days now. Let's hope the signal is still here in a couple days after at least one preceding storm has cleared and model error is down. There was pretty good model to model and run to run consistency about five or six days prior to January's storm... gives me some hope. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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