Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range

[CAPE]

Cant lie, I am looking forward to the 50s this weekend, and we shall see what happens early next week. Good luck to the NW crew - hope the wave is significant enough to produce with decent HP to the north. Looks like we all see upper 50s/ low 60s the following weekend as of now.

[JenkinsJinkies]

3 hours ago, blizzardmeiser said:

another daffodil destroyer and crocus crusher?  One of these years he will be right.

According to status of spring first leaf is still in North Carolina.

[stormtracker]

Second precip max out west heading here with thermals starting to cool off.  Let's see if we can get some fortuitous timing here

[stormtracker]

2 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Cant lie, I am looking forward to the 50s this weekend, and we shall see what happens early next week. Good luck to the NW crew - hope the wave is significant enough to produce with decent HP to the north. Looks like we all see upper 50s/ low 60s the following weekend as of now.

I just need one more man.  Just one more doc

[stormtracker]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Second precip max out west heading here with thermals starting to cool off.  Let's see if we can get some fortuitous timing here

Well, that was a bust.  Cold air sinking in also pushing moisture south.  We get some freezing rain.  So there's that. 

[stormtracker]

Nightime freezing rain with a shit antecedent airmass in early march.  Hell yeah!  Thanks 1038 High that moves in late, for nothing.

[mitchnick]

Still feasible at this range to get into the yellow 24"+. 

[CAPE]

4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Nightime freezing rain with a shit antecedent airmass in early march.  Hell yeah!  Thanks 1038 High that moves in late, for nothing.

Timing not resolved at this range.. need that HP to be robust to have a shot at frozen.

[bncho]

7 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Nightime freezing rain with a shit antecedent airmass in early march.  Hell yeah!  Thanks 1038 High that moves in late, for nothing.

Dear Randy,
Do not fear.
The first event doesn't work out,
But the second one is here!

[NorthArlington101]

8 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Nightime freezing rain with a shit antecedent airmass in early march.  Hell yeah!  Thanks 1038 High that moves in late, for nothing.

GFS has like 4 different shots honestly

thursday: see separate thread
sunday: light t-1" nonsense
monday/tuesday: FRZA for MD and interior NE/Boston MECS before it sinks down and gives everyone some frza
LATER tuesday: 1-4" of snow 
 

[mitchnick]

5 minutes ago, bncho said:

Dear Randy,
Do not fear.
The first event doesn't work out,
But the second one is here!

That's threat #3

[stormtracker]

17 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

That's threat #3

Didn't even pay attention after the threat.  Nice

[SnowenOutThere]

21 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

GFS has like 4 different shots honestly

thursday: see separate thread
sunday: light t-1" nonsense
monday/tuesday: FRZA for MD and interior NE/Boston MECS before it sinks down and gives everyone some frza
LATER tuesday: 1-4" of snow 
 

We’re gonna hit all 4 and get an epic series of light snow on snow events just you watch. 

[stormtracker]

25 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Still feasible at this range to get into the yellow 24"+. 

It's a nice slug of moisture to be sure.  We just need some help with better CA.  We know that always works out for us.

[Solution Man]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

It's a nice slug of moisture to be sure.  We just need some help with better CA.  We know that always works out for us.

We trust that right 

[87storms]

50 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Cant lie, I am looking forward to the 50s this weekend, and we shall see what happens early next week. Good luck to the NW crew - hope the wave is significant enough to produce with decent HP to the north. Looks like we all see upper 50s/ low 60s the following weekend as of now.

Shooting hoops on my lunch break and getting a bike ride in after work was a nice consolation prize to getting roughly one inch of accumulating snow from a nor’easter. And I agree re weekend temps. I’m down for a snowstorm, but I don’t need one.

Edit: Thought I was in banter. Oops.

[stormtracker]

Euro ends at 144, but looked tempting on approach.  Prob about the same as 12z

[stormtracker]

Yall really are exhausted in this mofo.  Dead as hell.  Wake up! This has a better airmass leading in.  We can do this team!

[CAPE]

[bncho]

5 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Euro ends at 144, but looked tempting on approach.  Prob about the same as 12z

1st wave was more amped than 12z. Maybe that's what we want if we can't get that high to cooperate.