mappy Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 18 minutes ago, mappy said: When will yall learn that snow maps are shit, especially in marginal setups. Qpf and knowing your climo is key. Ok back on topic. I looked at the gfs. Gfs is lol with snow maps. I’m 34/33 for most of event, with maybe .2 at the end with temps at 32/31. Snow map is 5” at 10:1. lol no way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, mappy said: Ok back on topic. I looked at the gfs. Gfs is lol with snow maps. I’m 34/33 for most of event, with maybe .2 at the end with temps at 32/31. Snow map is 5” at 10:1. lol no way. Where you see that? I got you at 30-31 dropping to 28ish. But doesn’t matter 0z, 6z, 12z etc will have something different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago End of a long thread 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Where you see that? I got you at 30-31 dropping to 28ish. But doesn’t matter 0z, 6z, 12z etc will have something different The model? I didn’t look at soundings, but I don’t get below freezing until after 4, most the qpf is done for me by this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 15 minutes ago, bncho said: @stormtracker, you have been summoned There are at least 3 that need to be 5-posted or even banned. Let the rest of us enjoy what may be one of the last trackable events of the season. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 6 minutes ago, mappy said: The model? I didn’t look at soundings, but I don’t get below freezing until after 4, most the qpf is done for me by this point Colder on here so idk qpf may go little longer than you think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Colder on here so idk qpf may go little longer than you think. Won’t matter probably when 0z has it over Istanbul. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 6 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Colder on here so idk qpf may go little longer than you think. Cool. My point was and still is that snow maps are lol. But thanks anyways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 31 minutes ago, mappy said: Friend, I’ve been ignoring you for years . You only bother me when everyone falls for your bait and it sucks a thread into a black hole. Holy crap! Gotta love Mappys brutal honesty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Won’t matter probably when 0z has it over Istanbul. Hmm wonder if it's too late to book a trip to Istanbul before Sunday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, mappy said: Cool. My point was and still is that snow maps are lol. But thanks anyways They are especially lol day 2 and greater. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: They are especially lol day 2 and greater. Hence the nickname clown map, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, winter_warlock said: Hmm wonder if it's too late to book a trip to Istanbul before Sunday I heard L.U. rather be there so you should book it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: They are especially lol day 2 and greater. They are useful in better setups when warm air isn’t present in any part of the column. Which lately, is hard to come by around here. But we love our pinks and purples Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Just now, mappy said: They are useful in better setups when warm air isn’t present in any part of the column. Which lately, is hard to come by around here. But we love our pinks and purples Lanina,doesn't help.. and of course..the dreaded southeast ridge! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 9 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Won’t matter probably when 0z has it over Istanbul. Nah don't worry all we'll need is 5 west ticks of 500 miles each to reel that baby back in!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 minutes ago, mappy said: They are useful in better setups when warm air isn’t present in any part of the column. Which lately, is hard to come by around here. But we love our pinks and purples Oh the humanity. 2016 blizzard broke us. I’m still in shock I haven’t seen a storm over 9” since then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Just now, TSSN+ said: Oh the humanity. 2016 blizzard broke us. Now that was a steady as she goes for like a week of model tracking. When instead of worrying about a warm nose, or the column evap cooling… it was will I get 26 or 30 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Oh the humanity. 2016 blizzard broke us. Little did we know how long we'd be waiting for our next HECS, lol Sheesh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 hour ago, jewell2188 said: Negative PNA AND NEUTRAL NAO means wiff for the a big nor’easter. We were already threading the needle with this setup, we don’t do well with that and I’m pretty sure I can count on one hand the last 20 years when we have. The current pattern doesn’t support the last 2 days of nonsense the day to day runs have been showing. But most in here are gullible and refuse to except it’s not happening. If we scored every time it wouldn't be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Just now, Nomz said: If we scored every time it wouldn't be fun. Yes it would 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Yes it would It would be a lot more fun. Then we wouldn't be so jaded constantly expecting the worst outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Just now, EastCoast NPZ said: It would be a lot more fun. Then we wouldn't be so jaded constantly expecting the worst outcome. ^ This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Nomz said: If we scored every time it wouldn't be fun. lol speak for your backyard only Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LordBaltimore Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 hour ago, jewell2188 said: Negative PNA AND NEUTRAL NAO means wiff for the a big nor’easter. We were already threading the needle with this setup, we don’t do well with that and I’m pretty sure I can count on one hand the last 20 years when we have. The current pattern doesn’t support the last 2 days of nonsense the day to day runs have been showing. But most in here are gullible and refuse to except it’s not happening. For the love of God can people stop using teleconnections like this? If all that weather prediction was was matching patterns then the AI models would win every time. Ironic because the AIFS is showing the best snow right now and it takes into account like several hundred million indexes besides the PNA and NAO speaking abstractly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 53 minutes ago, mappy said: Not a power I have You know I'll follow yalls recommendation. I'm too much of a softie. But say the word 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: You know I'll follow yalls recommendation. I'm too much of a softie. But say the word Softie, ummmmmm...................Forget it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: You know I'll follow yalls recommendation. I'm too much of a softie. But say the word If I could, I would. It wouldn’t be that bad if he said those things in banter or panic room. It’s just unnecessary here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: You know I'll follow yalls recommendation. I'm too much of a softie. But say the word Charges? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: You know I'll follow yalls recommendation. I'm too much of a softie. But say the word 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now