Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range

[MDSnow93]

48 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

Yeah I’m not talking about the specifics like that, I’m talking about the general Synoptics of where the storm would be. 

Fair, but didn't it show back-end snow because it had the low a few mbs stronger?

[Ji]

5 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Damn I thought you moved to the desert too. Prevailing winds off of the higher terrain to the west into the valley...downsloping sucks. Otoh coastal storms or tropical storms with an easterly component do well there.

Winchester did really well in 1993. they really need a storm that goes up the bay!

[mitchnick]

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

Winchester did really well in 1993. they really need a storm that goes up the bay!

Don't forget 1/16.

[CAPE]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Don't forget 1/16.

Yeah they got crushed with that deform band while I got dry slotted. Got half a storm here lol.

[stormtracker]

1 hour ago, Ji said:

it actually was

Cool.  Enjoy all the snow it showed

[mitchnick]

6 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Yeah they got crushed with that deform band while I got dry slotted. Got half a storm here lol.

I got temporarily dry slotted, which was frustrating at the time, but the remnants of the deform band finally made it through with acceptable results. That storm was great because of the warm ground, we were able to get out the next day to go shopping at the Sam's club in Severn. Pretty good considering we had 28" officially I think.

[Nomz]

I'll gladly welcome the Euro AIFS in our corner. 

[Ji]

Cool.  Enjoy all the snow it showed

The EPS was snowy so there

[Ji]

The EPS was snowy so there

We are 120 hours away lol

[stormtracker]

7 minutes ago, Ji said:

The EPS was snowy so there

I hope you get an inch of ice

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

32 minutes ago, MDSnow93 said:

Fair, but didn't it show back-end snow because it had the low a few mbs stronger?

Perhaps but it was the first to get it sort of right and then the first to get it all the way right. 

[Ji]

I hope you get an inch of ice

I hope you do play by play and stay up every night and get 2 hours of sleep a day to only get a rug pull on Saturday

[WesternFringe]

3 hours ago, stormy said:

GFS coming in a little suppressed at 18z but still a winner

A winner for whom?  You and I get zero snow in Augusta County.

[bncho]

21 minutes ago, Ji said:

I hope you do play by play and stay up every night and get 2 hours of sleep a day to only get a rug pull on Saturday

Shots fired in the Late Feb/Early March LR thread!

[stormtracker]

1 hour ago, Ji said:

I hope you do play by play and stay up every night and get 2 hours of sleep a day to only get a rug pull on Saturday

I’ll be in Houston eating well Saturday and you’ll be smoking high cirrus probably.  But I’ll still do pbp just for you to see you go into a calamity and call it disastrous when it shows 17” instead of 20

[Weather Will]

0Z ICON nothing like its 12Z hit.  Weak low well off the SE coast.  At least it is not a cutter.  Struggling with the multiple vortices at 500MB with no phase.

[paulythegun]

Simple setup

[NorthArlington101]

GFS gonna be a very nice hit

[mitchnick]

GfsAI is a hit with some mix, but turns into a decent bomb. Not perfectly clean, but another tick in the right direction.  Not sure how much snow though with lousy TT maps.

[Solution Man]

GFS is solid

[Scraff]

GFS about to go off 

 

[NorthArlington101]

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

GFS gonna be a very nice hit

Surface temps are a little sketchy - crashes as it goes. But pretty nice. Maps coming

[NorthArlington101]

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Surface temps are a little sketchy - crashes as it goes. But pretty nice. Maps coming

10:1. Kuchie a little less

[Scraff]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

10:1. Kuchie a little less

We abscond. 

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

10:1. Kuchie a little less

 

[stormtracker]

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

10:1. Kuchie a little less

if surface wasn't a little toasty, prob would have been more.

[bncho]

CMC looks a lot better than 12z but it probably won't do it

[mitchnick]

Qpf on GfsAI. Not all is snow, but you can see a similar idea to the regular Gfs, but a bomb for sure.

[stormtracker]

CMC has something out west, let's see how it fucks it up.  Don't know how 12z looked for comparison tho

[Jake Wx]

Colder sfc and we are COOKING