Sunday night South Coast Graze?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Not much to say on this one. Just a place for the 5 of us that might see some snow to discuss without pissing everyone else off in the main thread.  Has a chance to be the biggest Feb snowfall for this area.

Main thing we want is for the northern stream to slow down to allow earlier phasing closer to the coast. The trend has been to bring meaningful precip to just south of 84 on most guidance. Here’s the latest 6z guidance another tic north on euro, as well as all other guidance, euro AIFS did tic back south however. 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

1-3 pike south?

[CoastalWx]

Hope you guys get something. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

1-3 pike south?

Merrit south?

[Kitz Craver]

Fab 5?

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Merrit south?

Still coming north 

[Hoth]

Would be nice to catch a break on this one. We've been outside looking in since January while folks north/east have cashed in.

[Baroclinic Zone]

It’s been a slow trickle north. Promising look for south coast.

[Kitz Craver]

Was in the berks yesterday, surprised at the amount of snow up there and still a solid deep winter appeal. Way more than MBY. My pack is ripe and crusty, took a hit yesterday. I’d happily take a little refresh 

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

It’s been a slow trickle north. Promising look for south coast.

Everything should be onshore and better sampled at 12z.. 

[Damage In Tolland]

It may be one of those deals that has a band well north even of what’s modeled 

[ineedsnow]

9z SREFS have a few fun members 

Well north of 3z

[ineedsnow]

I'll take the 984mb low over the cape 

[dendrite]

Not gonna be happy if I end up with clouds out of this Monday

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Not gonna be happy if I end up with clouds out of this Monday

 

[dendrite]

Definitely a trend to speed up that southern stream though allowing that northern stream to dig and partially phase. 

[Damage In Tolland]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Not gonna be happy if I end up with clouds out of this Monday

Why?

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Why?

Because I’m not a vampire 

[SouthCoastMA]

Will be a struggle to get it up this far. But speed that southern vort a tad more, and things would look better. 

[UnitedWx]

32 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Because I’m not a vampire 

HA! I am, I despise being in the the sun

[ORH_wxman]

NAM looks a lot more phased through 36h

[Damage In Tolland]

It’s got that look… that feeling 

[DDweatherman]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

NAM looks a lot more phased through 36h

It does indeed, bet this shows something of implication for the 84 and south folk up your way. 

[DDweatherman]

Edit to say it’s gonna be a bigtime run for the south coast folks, lots of phasing evident early on. I may not be able to make it up to CT for work Monday morning 

[ORH_wxman]

Not enough this run. Tickles the south coast. Maybe an inch or two for SW CT. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Not enough this run. Tickles the south coast. Maybe an inch or two for SW CT. 

There is something objectively hilarious about the fact that this has made big moves in the last 24 hours and it’s still not going to end up with anyone getting snow, save for maybe far SW CT

[Damage In Tolland]

Another nice bump . This will be at minimum a 1-3” event up to the Pike

[Sey-Mour Snow]

13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

NAM looks a lot more phased through 36h

It still kicks SE rather than comes up to us.. one more tic like that with northern stream should allow it to come north more . Might be too late for tics that big 36 hours out 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

There is something objectively hilarious about the fact that this has made big moves in the last 24 hours and it’s still not going to end up with anyone getting snow, save for maybe far SW CT

Ya no doubt I mean a huge bust in the short term on all guidance only to tease us lmao .. 

[Kitz Craver]