RedSky Posted Thursday at 07:34 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:34 PM First time since October I don't see an arctic airmass moving southeast in the long range. Seriously. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted Thursday at 08:39 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:39 PM 4 hours ago, The Iceman said: I think there's an outside shot we hit 90 next week if things progress as progged Next Wednesday looks like it may be the day. I don't think the burbs but Philly maybe? 60F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted Friday at 05:30 AM Share Posted Friday at 05:30 AM Another big swing in temps coming up....I'll take rain and 50s any day. 39F at 1:30am...thinking 35-ish will be the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted Friday at 12:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:08 PM Today will be our first above normal temperature day since Easter Sunday. We should see some sun later today with temperatures well into the 60's. We chill back to normal temperatures over the weekend with highs in the low 60's before a big warmup next week. The warmest day here in Chester County looks to be Wednesday with highs in the low to mid 80's (1st 90+ possible near the Philly heat island area) Temperatures start to cool a bit later next week. Sadly, no rain in the forecast at all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted Friday at 12:58 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:58 PM 16 hours ago, Birds~69 said: Next Wednesday looks like it may be the day. I don't think the burbs but Philly maybe? 60F CMC is in the low to mid 90's for the city and surrounding burbs Euro keeps the 90's towards DC and only gets us up to the upper 80's. GFS says no one on the east coast hits 90. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted Friday at 01:02 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:02 PM I'm with drought guy @Albedoman though growing a bit concerned about the lack of rain in the forecast. April is typically one of our wettest months and the long range looks mostly warm and dry outside of a few brief frontal passages. No mud season this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted Friday at 11:21 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 11:21 PM 10 hours ago, The Iceman said: I'm with drought guy @Albedoman though growing a bit concerned about the lack of rain in the forecast. April is typically one of our wettest months and the long range looks mostly warm and dry outside of a few brief frontal passages. No mud season this year. Who knows, maybe we'll get a nice rainstorm/mud season in October this time, when the high school football season is in full swing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted yesterday at 03:35 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:35 AM Here you go guys- I am the Township Manager of Lowhill Township. You will find this pretty neat. The smoke could probaly be seen all the way To Red Skys house https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QA7GFlTinxw 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted yesterday at 02:59 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 02:59 PM Weeklies, by the way: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted yesterday at 03:35 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:35 PM Today way back in 1894 Chester County shoveled out of the largest April snowstorm in County history with over a foot of snow across much of the county including 29.2" at the Coatesville 1SW NWS cooperative observer station. Nothing like that in our future this April as after near normal temperatures around 60 degrees both today and tomorrow we start a nice warmup peaking with high temperatures in the mid 80's both Wednesday and Thursday. Our best chances of showers arrive by the end of the upcoming work week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted yesterday at 04:39 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:39 PM Ice cream guy out and about.. 58F/gusty and sunny 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted yesterday at 04:49 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:49 PM There's no weather, but we've got returns. Large brush fire in West Deptford at an elementary school. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted yesterday at 05:33 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:33 PM No mud season here. Just got the first mow done and was kicking up dust like it’s mid August. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 2 hours ago, JTA66 said: No mud season here. Just got the first mow done and was kicking up dust like it’s mid August. Big fan of droughts...plus drought guy may flip out. 63F/Gusty/DP 33F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Big fan of droughts...plus drought guy may flip out. 63F/Gusty/DP 33F Yeah, we’re overdue for an epic drought guy meltdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 5 hours ago, JTA66 said: Yeah, we’re overdue for an epic drought guy meltdown. He may have reason looking long term. I'm thinking a 4569 character multi paragraph mind explosion post....always welcomed of course. 53F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago not looking long term guys. I just want to get through May. If I do not see a major pattern change where more gulf moisture infused in these cold frontal passages, we are really screwed. Every front is coming through bone dry as this progressive pattern is relentless. Folks, I cannot actually remember the last time when we had a stationary front over the east coast/mid atlantic with a barrage of LP shortwaves riding the front with temps producing warm enough to produce instability and thunderstorms. I am hoping May will bring this change or we are in trouble. Past history indicates a major pattern change in mid May. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 9 minutes ago, Albedoman said: not looking long term guys. I just want to get through May. If I do not see a major pattern change where more gulf moisture infused in these cold frontal passages, we are really screwed. Every front is coming through bone dry as this progressive pattern is relentless. Folks, I cannot actually remember the last time when we had a stationary front over the east coast/mid atlantic with a barrage of LP shortwaves riding the front with temps producing warm enough to produce instability and thunderstorms. I am hoping May will bring this change or we are in trouble. Past history indicates a major pattern change in mid May. Drought guy! Only thing I have to add at 12:15am as I was walking through a park in upper Mont County today....stuff does appear to be dry, streams weak flow...perhaps Blatter problems. (RedSky?) Montgomery drought maps: Stuff is dry but not super smash yourself in the face horrible... https://www.drought.gov/states/pennsylvania/county/montgomery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Another near normal temperature day today with highs around 60 degrees before we see much warmer weather moving in tomorrow and lasting much of the upcoming work week. The warmest day looks to be Wednesday with highs in the middle 80's. We have a slight chance of some showers both tomorrow night and again on Wednesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 21 hours ago, BBasile said: There's no weather, but we've got returns. Large brush fire in West Deptford at an elementary school. I know KYW heavily reported on that. it's the season in Jersey! 10 hours ago, Albedoman said: not looking long term guys. I just want to get through May. If I do not see a major pattern change where more gulf moisture infused in these cold frontal passages, we are really screwed. Every front is coming through bone dry as this progressive pattern is relentless. Folks, I cannot actually remember the last time when we had a stationary front over the east coast/mid atlantic with a barrage of LP shortwaves riding the front with temps producing warm enough to produce instability and thunderstorms. I am hoping May will bring this change or we are in trouble. Past history indicates a major pattern change in mid May. CPC (or what is left of it) put out their last La Nina Advisory and has started an El Nino Watch - https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml Quote EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS 9 April 2026 ENSO Alert System Status: Final La Niña Advisory / El Niño Watch Synopsis: ENSO-neutral conditions are present and are favored through April-June 2026 (80% chance). In May-July 2026, El Niño is likely to emerge (61% chance) and persist through at least the end of 2026. During the last month, ENSO-neutral conditions emerged, as indicated by near-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central and east-central equatorial Pacific Ocean [Fig. 1]. The latest weekly Niño-3.4 index value was -0.2°C, with the westernmost (Niño-4) and easternmost (Niño-1+2) indices at +0.3°C and +0.6°C, respectively [Fig. 2]. The equatorial subsurface temperature index (average from 180°-100°W) increased for the fifth consecutive month [Fig. 3], with above-average subsurface temperatures extending across the Pacific [Fig. 4]. Westerly wind anomalies were observed over the western equatorial Pacific at low levels, and were evident over the eastern Pacific at high levels. Convection was near average over the Date Line, with suppressed convection over western Indonesia [Fig. 5]. Collectively, the coupled ocean-atmosphere system reflected ENSO-neutral conditions. The North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) average, including the NCEP CFSv2 [Fig. 6], favors ENSO-neutral through April-June 2026, with a transition to El Niño thereafter. El Niño is likely because of increasing subsurface temperature anomalies and recent westerly wind anomalies over the western Pacific Ocean. However, the possible outcomes range from ENSO-neutral to a very strong El Niño during the upcoming Northern Hemisphere winter [Figs. 7 & 8]. The possibility of a very strong El Niño (1 in 4 chance of Niño-3.4 ≥ +2.0°C) largely depends on the continuation of westerly wind anomalies across the equatorial Pacific throughout the Northern Hemisphere summer months, which is not assured. In summary, ENSO-neutral conditions are present and are favored through April-June 2026 (80% chance). In May-July 2026, El Niño is likely to emerge (61% chance) and persist through at least the end of 2026. This discussion is a consolidated effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NOAA's National Weather Service, and their funded institutions. Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions). A probabilistic strength forecast is available here. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion is scheduled for 14 May 2026. There was some historical data compiled for strong El Nino years to show general trends. The data goes back to the late '50s through to 2016 - https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/el-nino As an obs, I bottomed out at 42 this morning and am currently a sunny 57 with dp 37. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 11 hours ago, Albedoman said: not looking long term guys. I just want to get through May. If I do not see a major pattern change where more gulf moisture infused in these cold frontal passages, we are really screwed. Every front is coming through bone dry as this progressive pattern is relentless. Folks, I cannot actually remember the last time when we had a stationary front over the east coast/mid atlantic with a barrage of LP shortwaves riding the front with temps producing warm enough to produce instability and thunderstorms. I am hoping May will bring this change or we are in trouble. Past history indicates a major pattern change in mid May. That’s all you got? 57F/DP 35F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago If it wasn't for the blooming trees I would think it's Fall... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 23 hours ago, BBasile said: There's no weather, but we've got returns. Large brush fire in West Deptford at an elementary school. I know several places in Burlington have been doing controlled burns in the last week. Wanna say it was Wednesday I thought there was a brushfire along 295 but it was just a scheduled controlled burn. Dust pollen and smoke now, my allergies are the worst ever already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Looks like another pretty good fire up by the Lehigh Tunnel this morning. I was coming home from the cabin upstate and there were about 20 fire trucks lined up on both sides of the tunnel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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