Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

2-4 

Let’s see what the rest of 0z says?  I’m thinking right now,  if I get 1” that might be a lot. If the rest of 0z juices up, that’ll be a good sign here. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Let’s see what the rest of 0z says?  I’m thinking right now,  if I get 1” that might be a lot. If the rest of 0z juices up, that’ll be a good sign here. 

Ya hrrr juiced up Hartford NE, south of 84 is a major question mark . Could be 0-2”. 2-4” potential far north ct into mass 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya hrrr juiced up Hartford NE, south of 84 is a major question mark . Could be 0-2”. 2-4” potential far north ct into mass 

Well I’m right on 84 here in Southington. Don’t know if that matters? 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Let’s see what the rest of 0z says?  I’m thinking right now,  if I get 1” that might be a lot. If the rest of 0z juices up, that’ll be a good sign here. 

Should be solid 1-3 there 

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Where... For north of Ct? 

NH and ME

[HoarfrostHubb]

HRRR would argue for 3-5” here depending on ratios 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Geez, NAM gives me like 6"...sell that with H5 north. It tries to redevelop south at the surface, last minute, but too late.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

All that meant was that it was going with the flow..which has been cold.  I didn’t say it was right. I said it’s following the tenor. The model isn’t impressive. I didn’t hump it when it showed the blizzard the other day for next Sunday. It’s just another model. Period. 

I'll back you up on that.....you have been skeptical of the blizzard runs.

[Ginx snewx]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Geez, NAM gives me like 6"...sell that with H5 north. It tries to redevelop south at the surface, last minute, but too late.

Watch the mesos. I bet you hit 4 to 6 easy

[ineedsnow]

Nam came  back down a bit at 0z

[dendrite]

23 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

HRRR would argue for 3-5” here depending on ratios 

HRRR modeled snowfall 

[CoastalWx]

Yeah Nam more like 2-4” where it was like 3-5”

[HoarfrostHubb]

Yeah. It’s zonked up near you.  But I sorta agree with it there. 

any idea how it determines ratios in that version?  

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah Nam more like 2-4” where it was like 3-5”

Only shot of 4" is up by like Amesbury.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I would err on the side of caution with H5 so far north. 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I would err on the side of caution with H5 so far north. 

I think 1-3” is prob the best forecast at the moment down in the pike region. We are relying on like 3 hours of WAA precip. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Everything coming in warmer for most of CT.  Looks like mostly sleet/freezing rain/rain.  Snow northern tier of state. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I think 1-3” is prob the best forecast at the moment down in the pike region. We are relying on like 3 hours of WAA precip. 

It's just one of those system that doesn't pass the "smell test" when some of these meso models try to sniff a few lines and border on warning criteria...like when we see a over 12" printed out for run-of-the-mill SWFE....NOT one with an incredibly anomalous airmass like last month.

[DavisStraight]

54 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

NH and ME

I think im in a good spot for this one, im due, got a dusting for the last storm.

[Ginx snewx]

15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Only shot of 4" is up by like Amesbury.

Why the weenie on my post saying watch the mesos. Don't post Wednesday how surprised you are. Don't want to hear it 4 to 6

[DavisStraight]

43 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Geez, NAM gives me like 6"...sell that with H5 north. It tries to redevelop south at the surface, last minute, but too late.

Looks like your in one of the better areas for this.

[Ginx snewx]

Nam freak out posts.  Like clockwork 

[40/70 Benchmark]

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/02/messy-tuesday-evening-on-tap.html

First & Final Call:

 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Looks like your in one of the better areas for this.

Agree.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

For the ct folks 

[CoastalWx]

Reggie still like .4” here. 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Reggie still like .4” here. 

 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Reggie still like .4” here. 

Reggie juiced up a decent amount for a lot of eastern SNE. 

[Ginx snewx]

22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/02/messy-tuesday-evening-on-tap.html

First & Final Call:

 

 

Another under stated map

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Reggie juiced up a decent amount for a lot of eastern SNE. 

Still a bit of an unusual setup to get more than 3” or so.