Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,614
    Total Members
    14,841
    Most Online
    SENCMike
    Newest Member
    SENCMike
    Joined

February 2026


Recommended Posts

We have a light dusting on the grass and roofs.  There are a few places in my driveway that have turned white, but the roads are still looking uncovered. We now have some bigger flakes the largest of the night, but I do not think the roads are going to be a problem unless it does this for a few more hours.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

38 minutes ago, bearman said:

We have a light dusting on the grass and roofs.  There are a few places in my driveway that have turned white, but the roads are still looking uncovered. We now have some bigger flakes the largest of the night, but I do not think the roads are going to be a problem unless it does this for a few more hours.

Maybe that band of more steady snow that's currently in N Knox County/S Anderson County can get down here before dissipating

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I just went out and took a walk around my block.  The Roads are mostly wet but are starting to get white on the slopes that are shaded from the sun.  It is coming down the hardest of the night, but I still don't think we are going to have road problems unless it does what it is doing now for about 2 to 3 more hours.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, bearman said:

I just went out and took a walk around my block.  The Roads are mostly wet but are starting to get white on the slopes that are shaded from the sun.  It is coming down the hardest of the night, but I still don't think we are going to have road problems unless it does what it is doing now for about 2 to 3 more hours.

A nice dusting on the grass and wet roads would be ideal for my drive to work tomorrow, especially since I'm sure the rain washed away the salt they put down for the last storm

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looking at the tropical West Pacific this am and noticed we just have a tropical storm hitting the Philippines in February with a less organized twin storm over western Australia's coast. This sort of set up seems to associated with westerly wind bursts and just a quick search shows that it tends to happen in years with El Ninos that develop in the late summer and fall (2015/ 2023).
 

Last few days of satellite:

FIIB2yZ.gif

 

Looks like we art going to do early Jan all over again, at least wrt tropical forcing:

ADmFZi3.png

 

GEFS still likes a decent strat. disruption around Valentines Day:

XACLLTk.gif

A true sudden stratosperic warming event (SSWE) has to have a wind reversal (blue lines drop below 0):

VqoGj6e.png

EPS (above) isn't as enthused as it has been recently, even though the Euro OP still shows some significant warming:

68oC9C0.gif

 

Any potential impacts, if we get a SSWE at some point this month, would likely be at least a couple of weeks minimum, after the event. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

About a quarter inch of snow at my house, I'm curious if there's larger totals up by Halls because it seemed like they were under a steadier band of snow for longer before it weakened as it moved south

About the same, maybe a little more in Halls. Nothing crazy though


.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looking at the tropical West Pacific this am and noticed we just have a tropical storm hitting the Philippines in February with a less organized twin storm over western Australia's coast. This sort of set up seems to associated with westerly wind bursts and just a quick search shows that it tends to happen in years with El Ninos that develop in the late summer and fall (2015/ 2023).
 
Last few days of satellite:
FIIB2yZ.gif
 
Looks like we art going to do early Jan all over again, at least wrt tropical forcing:
ADmFZi3.png
 
GEFS still likes a decent strat. disruption around Valentines Day:
XACLLTk.gif
A true sudden stratosperic warming event (SSWE) has to have a wind reversal (blue lines drop below 0):
VqoGj6e.png
EPS (above) isn't as enthused as it has been recently, even though the Euro OP still shows some significant warming:
68oC9C0.gif
 
Any potential impacts, if we get a SSWE at some point this month, would likely be at least a couple of weeks minimum, after the event. 

What was first of Jan like? It’s been cold for so long, i can’t remember what warm feel like. lol


.
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, GBOVolz said:


What was first of Jan like? It’s been cold for so long, i can’t remember what warm feel like. lol


.

I think we warmed up for a while from around just after Christmas through mid January. Torch weenies kept predicting a big torch, but it was just average or a little abv. average. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The storm around Valentines Day maybe Middle TN last chance to get a significant winter storm.  Reason being the pattern setting up could last the average 6 weeks which puts us well into March.  Hopefully no severe wx with any fronts this year.  The last thing areas with ice storm damage needs is winds. A lot of clean up for the next several months.  

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

I think we warmed up for a while from around just after Christmas through mid January. Torch weenies kept predicting a big torch, but it was just average or a little abv. average. 

Yeah, it went against the grain of the MJO. It was well above normal until the 13th. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Roads up her were/are a mess today.  Snow(light) began falling last night at around 8:00PM and continued for about 5-6 hours.  We got about .5-1” of snow and it absolutely wrecked I81.  The rain froze on the spot as the front rolled in.  That is the second time that has happened this year.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

I think we warmed up for a while from around just after Christmas through mid January. Torch weenies kept predicting a big torch, but it was just average or a little abv. average. 

We were WAY above normal Dec 23rd - 28th, then again Jan 5th - 10th. The rest of the period was mostly normalish until the bottom dropped out January 24th. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, nrgjeff said:

Ice storm started as a heavy rain outlook from CPC. Let's not do that again! Instead, how about severe weather?

image.png.90989e5f517522a3d457b1b8cea3c216.png

Severe works for me, I would much rather hear the thunder rolling versus transformers blowing...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Coach B said:

We were WAY above normal Dec 23rd - 28th, then again Jan 5th - 10th. The rest of the period was mostly normalish until the bottom dropped out January 24th. 

Agreed. Even expanding that out a bit, the period from December 20th to January 10th was the 2nd warmest on record at Tri-Cities Airport and 3rd warmest at Knoxville (exceeded only by a couple of questionable recordings from the 19th century - it was more than 3F warmer than any year since 1890). Yes, it's been very cold since mid-January, but I don't know why some feel the need to carry on with this myth that there was no torch around the Holidays / New Year. The 3-week period centered around New Year's was about as warm as it gets in the Tennessee Valley.

Tri-Cities

iwyJtXd.png

Knoxville

X7WRgDK.png

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...