February 2026 OBS & Discussion

[WeatherGeek2025]

1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said:

Trying to get clicks. At most it's a sloppy 2-3" 

if it trends north it's not, it'll be way below freezing with the dynamics

[WestBabylonWeather]

I grade this winter a B

 

If that Montauk mauler last week was 50 miles west it would be borderline A

[WeatherGeek2025]

2 hours ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

I grade this winter a B

 

If that Montauk mauler last week was 50 miles west it would be borderline A

This is by far the most talked about winter so I would grade it a (A-) only because we should have 50-60 inches so far

[Franklin0529]

5 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

if it trends north it's not, it'll be way below freezing with the dynamics

You're the ultimate weenie. It could show snow in August an you'd say it's got a chance

[WestBabylonWeather]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

this is by far the most talked about winter so i would grade it a -A only because we should have 50-60 inches so far

Cold check 

snow cover check

frozen waterways check

extended cold check

above average snow only thing missing 

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

25 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

18z Graf is 12 plus for NYC north. 

Good enough for me. I never heard of it until today, but It's never been wrong since I've followed it. 

[weatherpruf]

17 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

we are in drought conditions-that's a face-some places moderate drought.

south jersey seems better off, but north is hurting. 

[NEG NAO]

23 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

what the heck....a few days ago people were in here talking about how winter is over, or snow is done, its too dry, and i even read a piece in nj.com that we are near drought conditions....well we shall see...

and you said you emptied the gas out of your snow blowers - that might have sealed the deal !

[NEG NAO]

5 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

south jersey seems better off, but north is hurting. 

weren't the models just showing some rain over Monmouth and Ocean County  a few runs ago ? Thats interesting to say the least I think its snow now because of dynamic cooling with heavier precip

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

19 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

this is by far the most talked about winter so i would grade it a -A only because we should have 50-60 inches so far

I'm not sure how old you are but we've had some really good winters the last 35 years. This winter doesn't compete with those yet. Let's see where it stands at the end of March. 

[mriceyman]

I'm not sure how old you are but we've had some really good winters the last 35 years. This winter doesn't compete with those yet. Let's see where it stands at the end of March. 

Hes 13


.

[weatherpruf]

9 minutes ago, mriceyman said:

Hes 13


.

i can almost assure you if he were 13 he would not be here...you know what he'd be looking at.

[hooralph]

Are people still trying to make this storm happen? 

[mriceyman]

Are people still trying to make this storm happen? 

It wont go away


.

[Cobalt]

15 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

i can almost assure you if he were 13 he would not be here...you know what he'd be looking at.

what an odd thing to say.

[MJO812]

Sref

[NorthShoreWx]

1 hour ago, weatherpruf said:

believe we had a couple march events back to back in 2019? melted right away, also feb 2018 iirc...

The March 2019 snowfalls were during a cold spell...mostly 30s

[NorthShoreWx]

In the unlikely event that this pans out we should seriously consider making a habit out of locking storm potential threads.

[winterwarlock]

1 hour ago, RU848789 said:

In case folks didn't see the big snowstorm on the GRAF; courtesy of Jeff Berardelli...

https://x.com/weatherprof/status/2022432636526883311

 

He deleted it in shame

[WeatherGeek2025]

11 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

He deleted it in shame

 

[Dark Star]

59 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

I'm not sure how old you are but we've had some really good winters the last 35 years. This winter doesn't compete with those yet. Let's see where it stands at the end of March. 

True dat, but at least we did have a winter.  Relatively short, as it looks like it we will be in a warming trend to close out February?

[WeatherGeek2025]

Just now, Dark Star said:

True dat, but at least we did have a winter.  Relatively short, as it looks like it we will be in a warming trend to close out February?

 

[weatherpruf]

22 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

He deleted it in shame

so its a false alarm then....

[weatherpruf]

34 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

The March 2019 snowfalls were during a cold spell...mostly 30s

it snowed over a weekend iirc.....my son was supposed to have surgery that almost got canceled. that melted and then it snowed again on sunday i think....both around 5-6 inches...

[doncat]

Calling this winter "relatively short" ...don't know about that, Dec and Jan both with -3.5° temp departures and double normal snowfall for many of us. Feb with a -9° departure so far. Of course we've been so dry this month however.

[WeatherGeek2025]

Because of the Bermuda High pressure, this could realistically partially phase and have snow break out between 6-9 hours depicted on the map

[SnoSki14]

33 minutes ago, doncat said:

Calling this winter "relatively short" ...don't know about that, Dec and Jan both with -3.5° temp departures and double normal snowfall for many of us. Feb with a -9° departure so far. Of course we've been so dry this month however.

Really good winter. Cold and snow pack longevity, at least one big storm. Below normal temps Dec-Feb but needs one more good storm (6"+) to move this winter from a B to an A. Snowfall currently near average 

Feb has 2 weeks left so we'll see if it can deliver something otherwise it'll be a solid B winter. March weather is always extra to me. 

[nycsnow]

Nam only jumped a few hundred miles north

[nycsnow]

[Monty]

27 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

Because of the Bermuda High pressure, this could realistically partially phase and have snow break out between 6-9 hours depicted on the map

We have heard about your burmuda high pressure theory for days. Please stop posting unscientific drivel.