SouthWake33 Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 NWS service still daying 3-5 Sat 3-5 more Sat night SE WakeTell them to check in with WRAL for what’s going to actually happen. . 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 1 minute ago, SouthWake33 said: Tell them to check in with WRAL for what’s going to actually happen. . You’re joking right? They blew it last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 WFMY’s in-house model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 The NWS only updates every 8hrs or so right? They are not going to nowcast like the TV broadcast mets do on model run cycles. Let's see where they are on the next update cycle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 You’re joking right? They blew it last week.Yes I’m being sarcastic. Hoping NWS is right. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 At this rate the Bojangles crew will be at work at 5am and I can still get my biskies in the morning. Thats the best forecast I could ask for. We are going to get smoked on the 5-8 WSW in the triad. We'll be lucky to see 2-3" as Gianna goes to visit the fish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 The NWS only updates every 8hrs or so right? They are not going to nowcast like the TV broadcast mets do on model run cycles. Let's see where they are on the next update cycle.Yes I think their last update was at 8:22pm. Seems they would’ve had reason enough to change their forecast at that time and didn’t. We’ll see. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 2 minutes ago, CaryWx said: The NWS only updates every 8hrs or so right? They are not going to nowcast like the TV broadcast mets do on model run cycles. Let's see where they are on the next update cycle. Well. They didn’t a small one at 1:54am, another in the 8am window, then and afternoon. They did one around 8pm too. I don’t know when they do the big discos though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 KAT CAMPBELL tweeted: These are new Euro ensembles - still showing a good bet that you'll see snow but the odds of 3" decreased a bit in the western part of our viewing area. Our saving grace? The high resolution models aren't seeing the snow band in our northern counties that's been around for hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowncanes Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Since it’s now casting time, our upper low looks to have closed off over Illinois tonight 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 At this rate the Bojangles crew will be at work at 5am and I can still get my biskies in the morning. Thats the best forecast I could ask for. We are going to get smoked on the 5-8 WSW in the triad. We'll be lucky to see 2-3" as Gianna goes to visit the fish.What are you going to get kvegas? If I were to partake, I would get a ham and egg biscuit (mustard and pepper a must).. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 1 minute ago, Snowncanes said: Since it’s now casting time, our upper low looks to have closed off over Illinois tonight Any thoughts you have share away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolBreeze Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 When I look at the wind field on Ventusky, the center of circulation appears to be about 50 miles off the SC coast, and it's been moving slowly parallel to the coast all evening. I hope that means the low will hug the coast more than the models have said as it deepens... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 03Z HRRR fills in much faster for Wake. Hopefully the start of a good trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 3 minutes ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said: What are you going to get kvegas? If I were to partake, I would get a ham and egg biscuit (mustard and pepper a must). . Ham and egg all the way my man!! Did you know you can order double meat? Or even double egg or cheese! Just ask when you order. The AI struggles with it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Radar starting to ignite 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowncanes Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 4 minutes ago, Snowncanes said: Since it’s now casting time, our upper low looks to have closed off over Illinois tonight Models that are most correct with this feature at this point in time: RDPS, RAP, UKMET, in that order. Doesn’t necessarily mean to treat these as gospel but have a better chance of accurately depicting downstream if you’re not way off of a major feature (looking at you HRRR) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYweatherguy Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Radar is filling in nicely in N. Georgia. It's already snowing at my buddy's house in Dahlonega. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Too bad this Hrrr only goes out to about 4pm. Wonder what we’d have ended up with 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Since it’s now casting time, our upper low looks to have closed off over Illinois tonightGo time. Gonna be interesting. Waning - NAO - does that effect south push? Overall H5 generally favorable for the next 10 days with a bonafide small break. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGA_Dawg Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Off to bed. Hope the ground’s white in the morning. If not, oh well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 31 Author Share Posted January 31 1 minute ago, NEGA_Dawg said: Off to bed. Hope the ground’s white in the morning. If not, oh well. Are you crazy? You can’t sleep at a time like this. I never get any sleep and look at how I turned out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Just now, NEGA_Dawg said: Off to bed. Hope the ground’s white in the morning. If not, oh well. Should be snowing at your house within the hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGA_Dawg Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 2 minutes ago, neatlburbwthrguy said: Should be snowing at your house within the hour The radar looks very scattered at the moment. I will be up in a few hours to see what's going on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowncanes Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Another thing the RDPS has nailed down of somewhat importance is the PWAT values. (How much available moisture there is in the air). It’s been very consistent over the last 6 runs or so with this as well. If I had to pick a model that seems to be handling this storm the best right now, that would be it. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Charlotte deserves this 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 1 hour ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Dry Slot Risk Thats.. Well thats new. 25 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Are you crazy? You can’t sleep at a time like this. I never get any sleep and look at how I turned out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 GSO and INT reporting light snow now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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